NFL System (17-6 ytd)

[Drpzne]

Play on any NFL away dog of at least 3.5 points when (a) the opposing team has allowed more than 20 points in their previous game and (b) the O/U line for the current game is over 42.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

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2002: 25-7-1<o></o>

2003: 19-16<o></o>

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This season: 17-6<o></o>

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9/19/04<o></o>

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Sf +7.5/42.5 vs NO (21 PA vs Sea) NO 30 SF 27 W 1-0<o></o>

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Car+6.5/46 vs KC (34 PA vs Den) CAR 28 KC 17 W 2-0<o></o>

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9/26/04<o></o>

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Hou +8.5/47.5 vs KC (28 PA vs Car) HOU 24 KC 21 W 3-0<o></o>

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No+7/48 vs STL (34 PA vs Atl) NO 28 STL 25 W 4-0<o></o>

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Chi+9/44.5 vs MIN (27 PA vs Phl) MIN 27 CHI 22 W 5-0<o></o>

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10/3/04<o></o>

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Nyg+7/44 vs GB (45 PA vs Ind) NYG 14 GB 7 W 6-0<o></o>

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10/17/04<o></o>

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Hou+7/46 vs TEN ( 27 PA vs Gb) HOU 20 TEN 10 W 7-0<o></o>

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TB+6.5/42.5 vs STL (27 PA vs Sea) STL 28 TB 21 L 7-1<o></o>

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10/24/04<o></o>

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Ten+7/53 vs MIN (31 PA vs No) MIN 20 TEN 3 L 7-2 <o></o>

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Atl+4/44.5 vs KC (22 PA vs Jax) KC 56 ATL 10 L 7-3<o></o>

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11/8/04 <o></o>

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Min+7/57.5 vs IND (45 PA vs Kc) IND 31 MIN 28 W 8-3 <o></o>

11/14/04 <o></o>

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Hou+9.5/53.5 vs IND (28 PA vs Min) IND 49 HOU 14 L 8-4<o></o>

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11/21/04 <o></o>

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Det+7.5/48 vs MIN (34 PA vs Gb) MIN 22 DET 19 W 9-4<o></o>

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12/5/04 <o></o>

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Sf+11/48 vs STL (45 PA vs Gb) STL 16 SF 6 W 10-4<o></o>

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Dal+7/43 vs SEA (38 PA vs Buf) DAL 43 SEA 39 W 11-4<o></o>

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12/12/04 <o></o>

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Det+9.5/44 vs GB (47 PA vs Phl) GB 16 DET 13 W 12-4<o></o>

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Sea+6.5/51.5 vs MIN (24 PA vs Chi) SEA 27 MIN 23 W 13-4<o></o>

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Oak+7.5/46 vs ATL (27 PA vs Tb) ATL 35 OAK 10 L 13-5<o></o>

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No+7/48 vs DAL (39 PA vs Sea) NO 27 DAL 13 W 14-5<o></o>

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Stl+7/44 vs CAR (21 PA vs No) CAR 20 STL 7 L 14-6<o></o>

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12/19/04 <o></o>

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No+8/44 vs TB (31 PA vs SD) NO 21 TB 17 W 15-6


12/26/04

Nyg+6/44 vs CIN (33 PA vs Buf) CIN 23 NYG 22 W 16-6

Az+7/44 vs SEA (37 PA vs NYJ) SEA 24 AZ 21 W 17-6<o></o>

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1/2/2005 This Week’s Play:<o></o>

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Atl+5.5/42.5 vs SEA (21 PA vs Az)<o></o>

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Good luck,<o></o>

-DZ-<o></o>

 

[LEYKIS101]

You're still gonna go with ATL even though the starters will likely go a half or less? I think ATL will play them longer than last week, but that's not saying much. ATL's coaching staff and Vick are saying the right things, but the last week with no playoff implications for the Falcons is difficult.

By the way, I found a guy with who ran this system through his NFL database, this is a long-term winner.

Record of:
207-174-6 going back to 1983
160-120-5 record for Conference games in that same time frame.

 

[Salsantorre]

that would net you 1,560 over all those years at 100 a play(78$ a year)

 

[LEYKIS101]

that would net you 1,560 over all those years at 100 a play(78$ a year)

Yipppeee. Yeah, not much, but it a lot of plays and still in the plus.

The ATL game seems to be a SMART MONEY game at Sportsinsights, 70% of the bets are for SEA, but the line has held at 6, ATL may well be the right side.

 

[cruisin]

Man, another winner. Can you use this in the playoffs?

 

[jwblue]

Does the total line have to be 42.5 or can it be 42?

Does the line have to OPEN at over 42?

IS

 

[Drpzne]

IS,

I use lines at game time and the total must be atleast 42.5.

Cruisin,
As for the playoffs, I have no data but I would think that the theory of the system still applies. I will post any possible plays throughout the playoffs.

Good Luck,
-DZ-

 

[jeffksu]

drpzne.....i think the plays this would include 2 road dogs would it not.....maybe i'm missing something here but they are both dogs and both gave up at least 20 points and the over under on all is over 42...help me out please...thanks....jeffksu.... DENVER and the RAMS

 

[ShedClub]

Good Pick'ns for the year! GL in the playoffs!
Shed

 

[Mariah]

What happens when the over/under is 42 or less. Any records for that. Thanks.

 

[xaznguy24x]

Does this system work for play offs?

 

[dabigdawg3]

Drpzne

I think his picks would be ....

VIKS +6....o/u 49.5
JETS +6.5...o/u 44
BRONCOS +10...o/u 56
RAMS +4...o/u 50.5

DRPZNE......let me know if this is close?
I know you dont make your picks until game time,but is this looking like your picks?

THANKS:fballch3:

 

[xaznguy24x]

That is wrong. it says 20+ points allowed the week before

only 2 that qualify are denver and rams. but does this system actully work with teams resting their starters like indi rested their entire starting defense to allow that many pts scored.