Nfl supercontest

[NFLNewbie26]

I've always wondered... why is it so hard for MANY people to even finish 60%?!?!?!

Last year, you got MAYBE 70 people who finished with at least 51 out of 85, which is exactly 60% but strangely that's only a whopping 5% of the 1404 entries?!?!?

So in a contest as big as this ONLY 5% of people got 60% or better? That # seems WAY LOW! Dont you agree?!

Seems that much more than 5% should finish with even 60% but that just isn't the case historically.... is handicapping sports (NFL) just this difficult, even when you have people PAYING $1500 for a huge ass contest like the SUPERCONTEST??? Then to finish in the elite Top 10 or top 0.7% you have to hit 65% of your plays (55.5/85)... is it really that hard to go from 60%-65% let alone 50/50 to 60%? Because any newbie can filp a coin to hit 50% of their plays, so even when you have THE BEST HANDICAPPERS IN THE WORLD 95% of them still fail to hit even 60% in a 17-week stretch of a contest they invested $1500 in? Help me understand people.... help me understand! :think2:

 

[PigskinArmor]

This is why sportsbetting is profitable for the books. Hitting over 55% has very low probability stretched out over a season.

 

[NFLTrends]

Its takes a lot of work and dedication on my part to consistently hit over 63% every year, and I mean countless hours each week that it's almost another full time job. But, it's a huge hobby of mine and I enjoy it quite a bit.

If you do your homework and but the time and energy into it, it is very possible.

 

[NFLTrends]

Its takes a lot of work and dedication on my part to consistently hit over 63% every year, and I mean countless hours each week that it's almost another full time job. But, it's a huge hobby of mine and I enjoy it quite a bit.

If you do your homework and but the time and energy into it, it is very possible.

 

[NFLNewbie26]

Right, but what about the thousands that are in that SUPERCONTEST yearly? Dont you think they're damn good at it too? Yet 95% of them cant even hit 60% yearly? Common!

 

[TomandJerry]

Right, but what about the thousands that are in that SUPERCONTEST yearly? Dont you think they're damn good at it too? Yet 95% of them cant even hit 60% yearly? Common!

Pick at least 5 every weeks and keeping the record, you will find it is easy or not. If you can do it 3 year straight over 61%, then come back we will see after that. Most capers couldn't keep it.

 

[NFLNewbie26]

But if you think about it.... it's just 6/10.... I could FLIP A COIN and get 6/10 heads sometimes, so how come even with STRONG ass handicappers studying the shit outta these games that 95% OF THEM STILL FAIL TO DO JUST THAT???? Is anyone else in complete awe like I am?

 

[NFLNewbie26]

But if you think about it.... it's just 6/10.... I could FLIP A COIN and get 6/10 heads sometimes, so how come even with STRONG ass handicappers studying the shit outta these games that 95% OF THEM STILL FAIL TO DO JUST THAT???? Is anyone else in complete awe like I am?

You know what im saying people??? Love to get more opinions on this thread....

 

[NFLTrends]

You know what im saying people??? Love to get more opinions on this thread....

Can you get heads 6/10 times every week for 17 weeks straight? Possible but will not happen at all as often as you think...... its law of averages, and most on there do flip a coin for their picks, that's why they hover slightly above or below the 50/50 mark.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Why don't you invest $1,500 & sign up in the Vegas contest & show us all how easy you're making it out to be to pick 60% or higher.........

 

[Mowgli]

60% in NFL is a given and boring. I would actually be very disappointed with that. Top 10 this year will likely require 67% Eventually 60% will not even place you in top 50

 

[BigLouReturns]

But if you think about it.... it's just 6/10.... I could FLIP A COIN and get 6/10 heads sometimes, so how come even with STRONG ass handicappers studying the shit outta these games that 95% OF THEM STILL FAIL TO DO JUST THAT???? Is anyone else in complete awe like I am?

You’re under the delusion that you can pick 50% without even trying. If you pick 5 games a week using the “flip the coin” method you will easily finish under .500 by seasons end.

 

[action]

The reason is....The Contest mandates you play 5 plays ( no totals). So a capper who usually likes 2 maybe 3 plays a week is forced to play an additional 2..that's about 40 plays a year a capper may not like but had to play to follow the rules.

 

[NFLNewbie26]

Why don't you invest $1,500 & sign up in the Vegas contest & show us all how easy you're making it out to be to pick 60% or higher.........

And why dont YOU get your head out your ass and understand what im saying? I never claimed to be capable of picking 60% - if you read my initial post you will actually note that I find it shocking that only 5% of cappers can pick 60%+! Get it now, genius? Slapping-silly90)) English must not be your primarily language.

 

[NFLNewbie26]

60% in NFL is a given and boring. I would actually be very disappointed with that. Top 10 this year will likely require 67% Eventually 60% will not even place you in top 50

I like how you think, Mogley. One of the only posts that actually make sense. Do you say what you said because the more people in a contest the more chances that a higher % will be required to WIN?

 

[NFLNewbie26]

You’re under the delusion that you can pick 50% without even trying. If you pick 5 games a week using the “flip the coin” method you will easily finish under .500 by seasons end.

Prove it.

 

[BigLouReturns]

Plunk down $150 and enter the rx forum NFL contest. Pick any 5 games off the schedule and flip a coin to determine which side you’ll take. You won’t have a good record.

 

[Mowgli]

I like how you think, Mogley. One of the only posts that actually make sense. Do you say what you said because the more people in a contest the more chances that a higher % will be required to WIN?

last year's results are proof in the pudding..see the %age of the top 10 and then the top 30

 

[NFLNewbie26]

Plunk down $150 and enter the rx forum NFL contest. Pick any 5 games off the schedule and flip a coin to determine which side you’ll take. You won’t have a good record.

aint plunking down a dirty red cent. u got so much money how about YOU plunk down the 150 for me?

 

[Chico1856]

What is it about football season that just brings them out of the woodwork?