~Tennessee Titans (9-7) at New England Patriots (12-4)~
Patriots are 42-20-3 ATS in their last 64 home games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six versus the AFC. The over is 5-1 in New England’s last six versus the AFC and the under is 18-9 in their last 27 as a favorite.New England lost 3 of its final 5 regular season games and the Patriots are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 versus an opponent with a winning record and have failed to cover the number in 5 of the last 6 versus an AFC opponent.
Tennessee had just a seven-point lead heading into the fourth quarter against the Texans, but a 14-0 spot in that frame sealed the win and put the icing on a much better-than-expected campaign for the Titans. Ryan Tannehill, who saw plenty of New England during his tenure with Miami, went 7-3 after taking over as the starting quarterback and wound up leading the league with a passer rating of 117.5. Who threw for 22 touchdowns versus six interceptions and has a 1,000-yard receiver in rookie A.J. Brown (eight TDs). ***Tennessee will lean heavily on AFC Offensive Player of the Week Derrick Henry, who won the league rushing title with 1,540 yards after piling up 211 yards and scoring three of his 18 touchdowns in last Sunday's win.
New England hasn’t quite been themselves over the past couple of weeks either, especially in that shocking loss to the Dolphins that kicked the team out of a first-round bye. ***The Pats offense has not been good this year and there's no way they score enough points here to cover***. The Titans rank 24th against the pass at 255.0 yards per game. Unlike previous years when the team relied on Brady to lead them to victory, their defense will be the key to this game.
New England is not great against the run and Henry should run wild. But on top of that, Tannehill and Brown gives the Titans another dimension to their offense they hadn't had with Mariota under center.
***If the Pats do win, it will be by a field goal or less -- but I don't think they'll win or cover. The defense couldn't stop Fitzpatrick and Dolphins -- they won't be able to stop Henry and Tannehill.
My Bet> Tennessee +6 1/2 [ Buying a point at -$130]
Buffalo Bills (10-6) at Houston Texans (10-6)
The Bills are known for their unders because they have the second-best defense in the NFL. Houston has struggled at times but they're finally getting their defensive leader (Watt) back for this game and that's going to help the entire group, not just physically but emotionally and spiritually. Last year, Houston's defense allowed just 21 points and in the last five meetings between Houston and Buffalo, the under has hit four times. This game is going to continue that trend.
The Bills run the ball a ton and keep the clock flowing; they have only had one over in their last six games. Plus, public action has pushed this total way up since its opening line - 2 Buffalo is a solid 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 road games and 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. Houston is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games while the under is 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Bills are a dangerous team that can do some damage with their defense, and I think this is another spot where Houston just crumbles under the pressure so I’ll take a shot with the Bills and the points here with a teaser.
My Bet> 2 Team 7 Point Teaser > Bills +9 1/2 & Under 50 1/2 Points
Saturday, January 4, 2020
**** Handicapping information taken from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc.,USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti, HarryTheHat NFL Capper, Harold Windham NFL Analyst, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper, Trev Rogers NFL Capper, Steve Janus NFL Analyst, Sal Limonti NFL Capper, Harv Rubenstein NFL Capper * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power,B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~
*****Note>> My picks with analysis for Sunday's games will posted on Sunday on a seperate thread. Waiting for point spread and moneyline to adjust to action. Also more depth in my evaluation on Stats.
Patriots are 42-20-3 ATS in their last 64 home games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six versus the AFC. The over is 5-1 in New England’s last six versus the AFC and the under is 18-9 in their last 27 as a favorite.New England lost 3 of its final 5 regular season games and the Patriots are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 versus an opponent with a winning record and have failed to cover the number in 5 of the last 6 versus an AFC opponent.
Tennessee had just a seven-point lead heading into the fourth quarter against the Texans, but a 14-0 spot in that frame sealed the win and put the icing on a much better-than-expected campaign for the Titans. Ryan Tannehill, who saw plenty of New England during his tenure with Miami, went 7-3 after taking over as the starting quarterback and wound up leading the league with a passer rating of 117.5. Who threw for 22 touchdowns versus six interceptions and has a 1,000-yard receiver in rookie A.J. Brown (eight TDs). ***Tennessee will lean heavily on AFC Offensive Player of the Week Derrick Henry, who won the league rushing title with 1,540 yards after piling up 211 yards and scoring three of his 18 touchdowns in last Sunday's win.
New England hasn’t quite been themselves over the past couple of weeks either, especially in that shocking loss to the Dolphins that kicked the team out of a first-round bye. ***The Pats offense has not been good this year and there's no way they score enough points here to cover***. The Titans rank 24th against the pass at 255.0 yards per game. Unlike previous years when the team relied on Brady to lead them to victory, their defense will be the key to this game.
New England is not great against the run and Henry should run wild. But on top of that, Tannehill and Brown gives the Titans another dimension to their offense they hadn't had with Mariota under center.
***If the Pats do win, it will be by a field goal or less -- but I don't think they'll win or cover. The defense couldn't stop Fitzpatrick and Dolphins -- they won't be able to stop Henry and Tannehill.
My Bet> Tennessee +6 1/2 [ Buying a point at -$130]
Buffalo Bills (10-6) at Houston Texans (10-6)
The Bills are known for their unders because they have the second-best defense in the NFL. Houston has struggled at times but they're finally getting their defensive leader (Watt) back for this game and that's going to help the entire group, not just physically but emotionally and spiritually. Last year, Houston's defense allowed just 21 points and in the last five meetings between Houston and Buffalo, the under has hit four times. This game is going to continue that trend.
The Bills run the ball a ton and keep the clock flowing; they have only had one over in their last six games. Plus, public action has pushed this total way up since its opening line - 2 Buffalo is a solid 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 road games and 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. Houston is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games while the under is 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Bills are a dangerous team that can do some damage with their defense, and I think this is another spot where Houston just crumbles under the pressure so I’ll take a shot with the Bills and the points here with a teaser.
My Bet> 2 Team 7 Point Teaser > Bills +9 1/2 & Under 50 1/2 Points
Saturday, January 4, 2020
Tennessee Titans @ New England Patriots
EST
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Game Preview | Series History
EST
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Game Preview | Series History
**** Handicapping information taken from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc.,USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti, HarryTheHat NFL Capper, Harold Windham NFL Analyst, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper, Trev Rogers NFL Capper, Steve Janus NFL Analyst, Sal Limonti NFL Capper, Harv Rubenstein NFL Capper * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power,B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~
*****Note>> My picks with analysis for Sunday's games will posted on Sunday on a seperate thread. Waiting for point spread and moneyline to adjust to action. Also more depth in my evaluation on Stats.
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