Nfl goy

[PARGASPORT]

Doing better in NCAA than in NFL this season which is unusual. Anyways, this is my strongest play so far this season. I do not think I will have any stronger play in NFL the rest of the way. Hence, I will call it my NFL GOY.

Washington Redskins +10 (some will ask why buying a hook on a GOY....my answer is simple. 10 is a key number).

Dallas first won in OT against Houston, then came the big upset win @ Seattle, and finally they beat their big divisional rival in a close game last week. Now they play a MNF game against supposedly inferior team, and I see it as a perfect situation for a letdown. Not many expect Washington to win, compared to all those so-called experts that called for upset last week with Giants or easy win for Seahawks before that. Favorite in this series is 9-22 ATS in last 31 meetings (0-6 in last 6 on MNF). Favorite after a win in this series is 0-15 ATS in first 15 weeks of the season.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Those are some nice ATS stats but I'm still looking at this game........problem I have with taking the Skins is when a team like Dallas is reeling & on firie, they love to blowout a team on Monday night, especially a division team.....I'm still up in the air on this game tho........Good Luck on your GOY......

 

[Slurve~Ball]

That's pretty courageous of you.

"During his first two seasons in the NFL, McCoy completed 58.4 percent of his passes for 4,309 yards, 20 touchdowns and 20 interceptions. He was sacked 55 times for a loss of 305 yards, producing 5.4 net yards per passing attempt. That was 16 percent lower than the league average over that span and the fifth worst mark in the past decade among the 26 quarterbacks throwing at least 500 passes in their first two seasons."

 

[wizard1183]

I can see the skins keeping it close. They're hugely discounted. Perfect spot to take them. I'm already on the chargers and Jets.

 

[bobbyjones2]

gl on your play..

i said the same damn thing about dallas last week..was sure they were ready to come back to earth..giants getting a full 7? man..eli even takes care of the ball and they still cant cover?

gl on your play

 

[wizard1183]

Last week I leaned giants. But it was a no play due to how the cowboys have been playing. But a team on a 6 game winning streak where the line is less than -9 and they're home and week=8, they're 31% ATS. A div home game where line is less than -9 on a 6 game win streak, is 20% ATS. There's 60-76% chance cowboys win SU. Only a 20-30% chance they cover the spread. Not to mention, skins haven't covered a spread since wk 3. I think it's a pretty good spot.

 

[bones1980]

I wouldn't even take skins in a 10 pt teaser ! McCoy will throw Atleast 2 picks

 

[wizard1183]

Well they surely can't do any worse than they have been lol

 

[wizard1183]

Well they surely can't do any worse than they have been lol and he didn't throw any picks vs Tenn and scores a TD. If I play on it, it's redskins or nothing.

 

[RussellPeters]

Good luck parga. Appreciate the posts.

Good luck to you as well wiz!

 

[trixxonu]

Third string qb against best team in the league right now...i'll take WAS maybe if it was -17. although mccoy did do alright last week

 

[Daigo23]

I'm all over Washington and ML

 

[METFAN]

GOOD LUCK..Thank you for the early post

 

[wizard1183]

Good luck parga. Appreciate the posts.

Good luck to you as well wiz!

Same to you Russell!

 

[bones1980]

Sportslab on Washington also big. Good luck he has been terrible lately

 

[CUSE15]

Goodluck Parga! Love seeing your plays each week:toast:

 

[PARGASPORT]

sunday plays, all small: tenn +3.5 (3rd string qb, i know, but houston on short rest after a meltdown on national tv). bills +3 (buffalo is doing it with their defense, not their offense). zona+4.5 & cincy+9.5 teaser (home sweet home, #3 and #2 teams ats in nfl at home since last year, 17-5-1 combined). finally steelers +3.5. pitts 37-17-2 ats run at home vs streaking teams (2+ wins in a row) and 40-19-2 ats playing consecutive home games.

 

[marman1224]

Parga

Thanks! I nailed the Penn State and love Washington.

Good Luck!

Mar Man

 

[Ketch]

Nice call yesterday on penn st! GL on wash

 

[JohnnyMags]

Another GOY