NFL for the week of 10/19

[ATX]

SEA -10 for 1.5%

SEA under 43 for 1.5%

 

[BigLou+]

How about sharing some of the reasons your on Seattle in this game?

Big Lou

 

[ATX]

I have the total closer to 40
line moves of 1.5 points or more on NFL totals do well for the first half of the season.
big, big move on the under from several groups
early public money on the over

I have SEA closer to 13,14
I also have a distribution which predicts a greater than 56% chance of a blowout (+17)
in this situation
team that wins the game covers the spread 84% of the time, I cant make much of a case for SEA losing this game

 

[Oren1]

I'm starting to like Seattle more now....

 

[JESUS]

ATX do you have any numbers on the bears playing on turf or Chandler vs. the seahawks? Im leaning towards taking the seahawks this week in my suicide pool, but i think the bears put more points on the boards with Chandler. Any feedback to my response would be appreciated. Thank you.

 

[Menses]

Two words...Chris Chandler. And if they dont turn the ball over, a back door may well be in order.

 

[ATX]

Menses you're right a backdoor is quite possible. It all comes down to what you think the most likely final score will be.

I'm simply playing the percentages.

SEA is not my strongest play, I just didnt want to be stuck with a worse number.

 

[ATX]

SD and ML
SD under
CAR
CAR under
MINN under

less on (probably)

ST LOU
DEN
PHI
HOU (I'd like 3.5)
SF under
SF

I may pass on CIN, DET

not sure about BUFF, may take WAS at 3.5

 

[ATX]

SD +5.5 for 1.5%
SD ML +180 for .5%

SD under 41.5 for 1.5%

CAR -1 for 1.5%
CAR under 38 for 1.5%

ST LOU -3.5 for 1.5%

MIN under 44 or better for 1.5%

SF under 40 for 1%

PHI under 38 or better for 1%

 

[ATX]

WASH under 39 for 1%

WASH +3 for 1%

PHI +3.5 for 1%

CINCI under 37 -120 for 1%

CINCI +2.5 for 1%

PATS at 7 for 1%

 

[ATX]

ATL +3 for 1%

CAR +1 for 1.5%

 

[ATX]

HOU +3.5 for 1.5%
ML +150 for .5%

WASH +3 for 1%
ml +131 for .5%

SF +4.5 for 1%
Ml +190 for .5%

 

[ATX]

took:

OAK +6 -115 bodog for 1.5%
Oak ML +177 for .6%
Oak +3 -115 canbet for .6%
under 24 1st half .5%