My book hasnt put up props yet.
Still recovering from 2 years ago when i lost a $hit load on Isiah Simmons props and then having "inside information" on what the dolphins were going to do that draft and NOT happening.
I dont really plan on watching much as my team doesnt draft until the 3rd round
Still recovering from 2 years ago when i lost a $hit load on Isiah Simmons props and then having "inside information" on what the dolphins were going to do that draft and NOT happening.
I dont really plan on watching much as my team doesnt draft until the 3rd round
Jags Walker (Hutch the majority’s 1)
Lions Hutch
Texans Sauce ( nobody really in Sauce at 3)
Jets Tibby
Giants Neal (Rumors Of medical concern smoke/truth idk)
Panthers IKem (Nobody has Ikem to 6 most top 4)
Giants Stingley (Not much talk before 8)
Falcons Willis (Nada in him 8 screams ATL in play)
Seahawks Johnson (Penning in play also here)
Jets Williams
One of weirdest drafts in many years. Most likely team to trade down first, if the board falls a bit with certain players 1.Washington 2.Minnesota (most likely imo) 3. Ravens. Panthers Falcons Seahawks will be wanting to trade down but will only be able to if they take less than trade chart value (which teams are dumb and live too much by) so not sure they move. Seattle is an absolute wild card. They may Take Edge Guy like Mafe at 9 or Penning. Seattle has their big board and will stick to it and reach. Like a honey badger they just don’t care.
First team to trade up 1.Steelers (most likely imo) 2. Saints 3 Chargers. And Pick 11 is most likely starting point for first trade up to happen. Though Minnesota imo is where a trade goes down. Good spot if QB falls WR or OT teams 15-20 will make a move.
It’s definitely one of the most unpredictable drafts in many years. With no clear cut top 3 picks, predicting the top 10 is very hard to get 4-5 to the right team.
Not suggesting any crazy juiced odds as lines are pretty tight. But a few plays with value imo below.
Sauce Under 7.5 -115 (no longer available) but 5.5 Under is there at decent value. Sauce to go 3 was +1600 now +400 has value. I can see sauce going 2-5 as very possible. OT makes logical sense to Texans. But logic and draft don’t pair. I’m a big believer he goes 3 to Texans against the grain.
Over 0.5 RB +150 RD 1. B. Hall is a stud, Somebody imo takes him. I have Bills as first landing spot. With Jets a potential trade back in RD 1 for him. Chargers Ravens Bucs Texans all sleeper teams who via trade down back up may go for him. The RB RD ain’t for everyone. But a team like the bills with a few other needs but not great value on the board can double down on offense and get a perfect playmaker for them. Moss and Singletary aren’t it. Hall is super fast with hands. He won’t be drafted top 7. But reminds me of J Taylor who was Top 7 on my rankings few years ago. Hall is Top 7 my board this year. He is another J Taylor. But taller 6’1 and bit leaner 218 ish. Taylor was 3rd Rb taken around pick 38 I believe. Both sub 4.4 guys with size. Teams are taking note of the J Taylor draft position and Hall legitimately can be RD 1 guy.
B.Hall 1st RB -300
B.Hall Under 39.5 -125
Drake London +500 Malik Willis +500 to go 8 to Falcons. Falcons have ex Titans front office guys. They were bigger WR can work slot guys and London fits mold. Nobody talking about Willis to Falcons. They have done too much work with him not to be an option if he falls and he imo very well could fall to as low as 12 (Minnesota trade up territory possibly Steelers or saints if you believe the smoke).
Sam Howell 1st Rd pick +125. Imo best QB in draft though not by much. Weak QB class. Being overlooked because of last year but as true freshman was making all the throws. Big arm and has mobility. He ran so much last year because team just wasn’t that good. Did what he did to win. I tend to go off the grain with QB for top picks so take it fwiw. I posted last year here Davis Mills was Top QB and thought Tampa or Carolina were good investment teams for him. Typical I have no more than 3 draftable QBs. And many of the big names I just don’t find draftable. Past 5 years my Top QBS I can recall exactly who they were and it was never the top names. 2017-2021 Mahomes ( if you didn’t watch him play baseball for Texas Tech you missed out) Allen, Lock, Herbert and Mills. FWIW I was also big on Bryce Petty so I can’t say I know anything. And was also big on a guy who was from Harvard that was brought in to Just throw balls at combine. Guy by name Of FitzMagic who became solid QB.
S.Howell Under 45.4 +120
Will a kicker go before round 3 (Yes) as this prop is sometimes offered and usually it’s round 4 or above. The Punt God from San Diego st is not to be laughed at. I truly believe end round 3 is in play. People say it’s a waste drafting kickers like that. But the raiders selected Guy and SeaBass rounds 1 ahead of the curve realizing the value. Lil Bill loved left footed punters because they produced different spin. Weird Small things teams try to find advantages. If you don’t know who the Punt God is I’d ask his teammates what they think lol. He can also kickoff and kick FG,s (60 yard ability) so offers just more than punting. Out on a limb but RD 3 imo
Over 4.5 CB +130 (Teams always reach in for CB)
Elam Sauce McDuffie Gordon Booth Stingley. 5 of the 6 have a good shot going. I’d definitely say 5 if not for medical concerns on Booth and Elam. But teams always say BS to knock guys value. Impossible for anyone to know if they are real.
Elam Under 35.5 +110
Walker Over 31.5 +120
Dean Over 30.5 +110
Z. Johnson Under 25.5 -125
Longshots
Pick 9 (trade up team)
Penning Wilson London Williams all 12-1 to 22-1
All potential move up for players teams 13-17
Lions Hutch
Texans Sauce ( nobody really in Sauce at 3)
Jets Tibby
Giants Neal (Rumors Of medical concern smoke/truth idk)
Panthers IKem (Nobody has Ikem to 6 most top 4)
Giants Stingley (Not much talk before 8)
Falcons Willis (Nada in him 8 screams ATL in play)
Seahawks Johnson (Penning in play also here)
Jets Williams
One of weirdest drafts in many years. Most likely team to trade down first, if the board falls a bit with certain players 1.Washington 2.Minnesota (most likely imo) 3. Ravens. Panthers Falcons Seahawks will be wanting to trade down but will only be able to if they take less than trade chart value (which teams are dumb and live too much by) so not sure they move. Seattle is an absolute wild card. They may Take Edge Guy like Mafe at 9 or Penning. Seattle has their big board and will stick to it and reach. Like a honey badger they just don’t care.
First team to trade up 1.Steelers (most likely imo) 2. Saints 3 Chargers. And Pick 11 is most likely starting point for first trade up to happen. Though Minnesota imo is where a trade goes down. Good spot if QB falls WR or OT teams 15-20 will make a move.
It’s definitely one of the most unpredictable drafts in many years. With no clear cut top 3 picks, predicting the top 10 is very hard to get 4-5 to the right team.
Not suggesting any crazy juiced odds as lines are pretty tight. But a few plays with value imo below.
Sauce Under 7.5 -115 (no longer available) but 5.5 Under is there at decent value. Sauce to go 3 was +1600 now +400 has value. I can see sauce going 2-5 as very possible. OT makes logical sense to Texans. But logic and draft don’t pair. I’m a big believer he goes 3 to Texans against the grain.
Over 0.5 RB +150 RD 1. B. Hall is a stud, Somebody imo takes him. I have Bills as first landing spot. With Jets a potential trade back in RD 1 for him. Chargers Ravens Bucs Texans all sleeper teams who via trade down back up may go for him. The RB RD ain’t for everyone. But a team like the bills with a few other needs but not great value on the board can double down on offense and get a perfect playmaker for them. Moss and Singletary aren’t it. Hall is super fast with hands. He won’t be drafted top 7. But reminds me of J Taylor who was Top 7 on my rankings few years ago. Hall is Top 7 my board this year. He is another J Taylor. But taller 6’1 and bit leaner 218 ish. Taylor was 3rd Rb taken around pick 38 I believe. Both sub 4.4 guys with size. Teams are taking note of the J Taylor draft position and Hall legitimately can be RD 1 guy.
B.Hall 1st RB -300
B.Hall Under 39.5 -125
Drake London +500 Malik Willis +500 to go 8 to Falcons. Falcons have ex Titans front office guys. They were bigger WR can work slot guys and London fits mold. Nobody talking about Willis to Falcons. They have done too much work with him not to be an option if he falls and he imo very well could fall to as low as 12 (Minnesota trade up territory possibly Steelers or saints if you believe the smoke).
Sam Howell 1st Rd pick +125. Imo best QB in draft though not by much. Weak QB class. Being overlooked because of last year but as true freshman was making all the throws. Big arm and has mobility. He ran so much last year because team just wasn’t that good. Did what he did to win. I tend to go off the grain with QB for top picks so take it fwiw. I posted last year here Davis Mills was Top QB and thought Tampa or Carolina were good investment teams for him. Typical I have no more than 3 draftable QBs. And many of the big names I just don’t find draftable. Past 5 years my Top QBS I can recall exactly who they were and it was never the top names. 2017-2021 Mahomes ( if you didn’t watch him play baseball for Texas Tech you missed out) Allen, Lock, Herbert and Mills. FWIW I was also big on Bryce Petty so I can’t say I know anything. And was also big on a guy who was from Harvard that was brought in to Just throw balls at combine. Guy by name Of FitzMagic who became solid QB.
S.Howell Under 45.4 +120
Will a kicker go before round 3 (Yes) as this prop is sometimes offered and usually it’s round 4 or above. The Punt God from San Diego st is not to be laughed at. I truly believe end round 3 is in play. People say it’s a waste drafting kickers like that. But the raiders selected Guy and SeaBass rounds 1 ahead of the curve realizing the value. Lil Bill loved left footed punters because they produced different spin. Weird Small things teams try to find advantages. If you don’t know who the Punt God is I’d ask his teammates what they think lol. He can also kickoff and kick FG,s (60 yard ability) so offers just more than punting. Out on a limb but RD 3 imo
Over 4.5 CB +130 (Teams always reach in for CB)
Elam Sauce McDuffie Gordon Booth Stingley. 5 of the 6 have a good shot going. I’d definitely say 5 if not for medical concerns on Booth and Elam. But teams always say BS to knock guys value. Impossible for anyone to know if they are real.
Elam Under 35.5 +110
Walker Over 31.5 +120
Dean Over 30.5 +110
Z. Johnson Under 25.5 -125
Longshots
Pick 9 (trade up team)
Penning Wilson London Williams all 12-1 to 22-1
All potential move up for players teams 13-17
Love a good draft.
I think Howell may have the best chance of being a franchise qB out of those available in a limited class compared to recent years. I know last fall i took NotreDame -7.5 vs NC, and i was cursing all through the second half as Howell was making Aaron Rodgers type plays to keep TarHeels in it, and I started playing NC more as the season wore on because of Howell. One critique pundits have is he's only 6'1", but so are a lot of successful QBs the past two decades.
Few Decent Values out there for Flyers
Arazia (punter) Under 118.5 -110
Pitre Under 45.5 -110
Z Johnson Under 23.5 -120
Wilson Over 9.5 +100
Willis Under 13.5 +130
Davis Under 14.5 +110
Watson Under 39.5 -110
Tibby +450 pick 4
Sauce +600 pick 3
Neal +350 pick 5
Ikem +450 pick 6
Willis +700 pick 8
Penning +1000 pick 9
3rd WR Olave +700
Arazia (punter) Under 118.5 -110
Pitre Under 45.5 -110
Z Johnson Under 23.5 -120
Wilson Over 9.5 +100
Willis Under 13.5 +130
Davis Under 14.5 +110
Watson Under 39.5 -110
Tibby +450 pick 4
Sauce +600 pick 3
Neal +350 pick 5
Ikem +450 pick 6
Willis +700 pick 8
Penning +1000 pick 9
3rd WR Olave +700
Jacksonville is on the clock...
