(NFL) Dog plus 4 minus 109 or buy to plus 5.5 minus 128?

[4putt]

4-5.5 are basically the same number. buying 4-5 is worth 2.7cents and you will be charged 15-20c.

 

[TheGeneral+]

minus 4 101 or minus 3 135, minus 2.5 161

 

[4putt]

I would play 4 -101, as buying on or off 3 is worth about 16c.

 

[TheGeneral+]

Best bet i see is prop


Seattle to score rushing TD minus 236 at Pinny.

 

[Rainbow]

Best bet i see is prop


Seattle to score rushing TD minus 236 at Pinny.

I like that prop real good. the Rams cant stop the run.

 

[TANG]

I bet seattle rushing td last night only bet on the game laid -200 when it opened.

Here are the stats Seattle has had at least 1 rushing td in 7 of 8 home games.

Also placed a bet on sd -268 yikes i know. They have had at least 1 rushing td in all 8 of their home games.

 

[Know1]

The numbers I have ( from Wong's "Sharps Spors Betting") say

4 = 3%
5 = 2%

So, should you bet:
1000 + 917 = 1917 ?
or
1000 + 781 = 1781 ?

If you buy the points, 3% of the time you will win rather than push, winning 781*.03 = $23.4
2% of the time you will win rather than lose gaining
1781*.02 = $35.6

So you gain 23.4+35.6 = $59 by buying the points. The cost of buying the points (assuming it is a 50/50 bet at +4) is (917-781)/2 = $68

So, I'd say you lose 68-35.6 = $32.4 by buying the points.

 

[LEYKIS101]

I would think that prop wins, but STL held them without a rushing TD the last game in STL, that kept me off. I think Alexander is in for a big day though.

 

[TheGeneral+]

Hope we nail it Tang. Hate to start the playoffs with a healthy loss.

GL

 

[TANG]

Hope we nail it early. I bet this 1 other time last month needed a pittsburgh rushing td had to wait till 4th qtr for it. It was against the Giants. The numbers sure indicate these should be winners.

 

[LEYKIS101]

Hope we nail it Tang. Hate to start the playoffs with a healthy loss.

GL

Any FG bets on this one General?

 

[LEYKIS101]

Also, what was your M.O.S. when you were in the Corps?

 

[TheGeneral+]

No FG bets Sir.


I was in pay, auditing, finance, and accounting. Disbursing!

 

[LEYKIS101]

I see, still a much appreciated job you had, I was a C-130 powerplant mech.

 

[TheGeneral+]

Thank you for your service. Now, let's see if the VA will give us a loan to pay off gambling debts. LOL

 

[LEYKIS101]

RIIIIIIIGHT. :biglaugh:

 

[PO69]

This has probably been said earlier, but the buy for the 1.5 points is so low because of the 5 number! It is EXTREMELY rare that a game falls on 5 points. +4 and +5 are essentially the same number.

Having said all of this, maybe i am a bit biased since i have bet the rams on the moneyline already!!

 

[TANG]

General What Chance Do We Have For A Rushing Td What Would You Make Seattle To Put Up A Rushing Td In Second Half.

 

[TheGeneral+]

We are looking good Tang.

 

[TANG]

No We Are Done