NFL 12/01/2025 ➔

[itchy_pickle]

Dallas (6-5-1) at Detroit (7-5)
Thursday, Dec 4, 2025 - 8:15 PM ET

O55½ (-110)
Circa Sports - Las Vegas, Nevada

In week 14 I'll have 3 game totals dependant on line movement, and this is one of them. My Statistical-Implied Line is 51 while Circa Sports has it on 55½, sporadically juiced to the over. I'll also be playing a few sides/moneylines (underdogs only).

NO adding points, NO buying points. Win or lose, on to the next bet. The objective is a positive return for the week. Good luck.....
-Itchy Pickle

 

[XENO]

Thats your perogative but im way ahead and dont mind paying points -yet in loong run guess it dont matter -bol

 

[richporter]

Dallas (6-5-1) at Detroit (7-5)
Thursday, Dec 4, 2025 - 8:15 PM ET

O55½ (-110)
Circa Sports - Las Vegas, Nevada

In week 14 I'll have 3 game totals dependant on line movement, and this is one of them. My Statistical-Implied Line is 51 while Circa Sports has it on 55½, sporadically juiced to the over. I'll also be playing a few sides/moneylines (underdogs only).

NO adding points, NO buying points. Win or lose, on to the next bet. The objective is a positive return for the week. Good luck.....
-Itchy Pickle

so your playing the over here ? just to confirm was confused by your implied line being 51 or are you just giving us some info on the total

 

[itchy_pickle]

@richporter That's correct. Circa Sports (see below) opened the line at 53½ and have since moved it to 55½. I bet the side of the book as compared to my statistical-Implied Line with totals only.

 

[itchy_pickle]

@XENO Sounds like easy come, easy go. In the long run it does matter.

 

[itchy_pickle]

@richporter If I post it, I bet it.

 

[itchy_pickle]

74 points scored with 8 FG's. 32 possible points left off the board.

If you teased the game total under or the Dallas side you didn't really like either.

Trust your numbers, not teams.

 

[ashack1]

Well done once again, itchy. Great job,sir…

 

[XENO]

Good call

 

[XENO]

look i dont like your comments , ive rarely ever had a loosing year -stay out of my thread ok -do your own thing. I dont ever bother you . bol going forward

 

[itchy_pickle]

@XENO I always congratulate you when you have a winning day which is a lot. I get along with everyone, at least I try to. Your first comment in this post was defensive for some reason. I'm here to share winning bets, hopefully. Good luck going forward.

 

[itchy_pickle]

@ashack1 @XENO Thank you. Good luck this week to both of you.

 

[itchy_pickle]

Cincinnati (4-8) at Buffalo (8-4)
Sunday, Dec 7, 2025 - 1:00 PM ET

O53 (-110)
Circa Sports - Las Vegas, Nevada

My Statistical-Implied Line is 46½ while Circa Sports has it on 53.

NO adding points, NO buying points. Win or lose, on to the next bet. The objective is a positive return for the week. Good luck.....
-Itchy Pickle

 

[itchy_pickle]

Miami (5-7) at New York J (3-9)
Sunday, Dec 7, 2025 - 1:00 PM ET

New York J +3 (-120)
Circa Sports - Las Vegas, Nevada

My Statistical-Implied Line is Miami -1.9 and Market-Implied Line is Miami -2.15 providing value with the New York J.

NO adding points, NO buying points. Win or lose, on to the next bet. The objective is a positive return for the week. Good luck.....
-Itchy Pickle

 

[uscmd]

Itchy nice capping. Like the jets. Mia hates the cold. Temp NJ Sun ~30

BOl.

 

[itchy_pickle]

Los Angeles R (9-3) at Arizona (3-9)
Sunday, Dec 7, 2025 - 4:25 PM ET

Arizona +10 (-115)
Circa Sports - Las Vegas, Nevada

My Statistical-Implied Line is Los Angeles R -9.5 and Market-Implied Line is Los Angeles R -7.5 providing value with the Arizona Cardinals.

NO adding points, NO buying points. Win or lose, on to the next bet. The objective is a positive return for the week. Good luck.....
-Itchy Pickle

 

[itchy_pickle]

Washington (9-3) at Minnesota (4-8)
Sunday, Dec 7, 2025 - 1:00 PM ET

Minnesota +1 (-110)
Circa Sports - Las Vegas, Nevada

My Statistical-Implied Line is a PK and Market-Implied Line is Minnesota -½ providing value with the Minnesota Vikings.

NO adding points, NO buying points. Win or lose, on to the next bet. The objective is a positive return for the week. Good luck.....
-Itchy Pickle

 

[richporter]

@richporter If I post it, I bet it.

no I wasn't questioning brother.. I just wanted to be sure I understood correctly is all.. wish u nothin but luck chop the books head off today

 

[doogieboy]

Wash 3-9 of course lol
GL today!

 

[itchy_pickle]

WEEK 14 BET SUMMARY
This does not include a possible bet on SNF

Dallas at Detroit O55½ (-110)
Cincinnati at Buffalo O53 (-110)
New York J +3 (-120)
Arizona +10 (-115)