Well about 8 weeks ago I spoke of the parity in this league and that the spread would not matter if one concentrated on PICKING THE WINNER and you would COVER the majority of your selections.
It seems many are disgruntled over this years NFL start and want to blame the "public" Everyone is looking for some angle to bet against the public and find that edge.
Stop worrying about what anyone is doing and focus on WINNERS and LOSERS. Money Line DOGS are winnig WEEKLY as I predicted in analysis #1
The spread is not meaning much, unless you are following it, and if you are you are most likely losing money.
The next 4 weeks will send many to the poor house, because MANY will be trying to gamble with make up calls, and teams will disappoint you.
This is a very shared league. Every team gets there "giant killer" week where they look great. REMEMBER THAT. I also said in Analysis #1, that being 5-5 at the week 10 split is acceptable in this NFL. So some teams might go 1-4 which can shock you, but it is true and they can still rebound for the remainder of the season. You might not have any money left at that point.
I also predicted that lines would BE DRIVEN BY THE PUBLIC, because the LINESMAKER were going to allow the public to pick the spreads, because in many games the spread really will NOT MATTER
I also stated that except for a few horrible teams, all spreads would be marginal. The Dolphins, 49ers, Bears, and Cardinals have drawn the highest spreads
Well HERE after week 4 are the GLARING statistics
ONLY 9 GAMES HAS THE SPREAD EVEN HAD AN IMPACT IN THE TOTAL GAMES PLAYED THUS FAR
I used Wagerlines odds for the 4 week analysis. Stats may very on a couple games depending on what exact lines you had. But THE ANALYSIS is still accurate.
There have only been 2 Pushes...
There have been 7 games where the DOG covered.....BUT DID NOT WIN and and out of those 7 games Arizona has 2, San Fran has 2, and Miami has 1 and the Bears and Buffalo have one each.
So the 5 worst teams in the league make up for all the seven DOGS covering but NOT winning ( because remember this the only place where the spread matters. Which EXPOSES my point further. PICK THE WINNER in the MAJORITY of the NFL...not including the minor league group, and YOU COVER
Someone posted a statistic that only 33% of dogs that cover win outright. NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND ( i love corso) NOT IN THIS YEARS NFL FRIENDS
SO STOP THINKING EMOTIOANLLY. Stop Gambling with your heart. Stop gambling on or with the PUBLIC.......and begin looking at each game FIRST without a number involved. And It looks as if you are betting dogs, YOU MIGHT WANT TO HIGHLY CONSIDER BETTING THEM ON THE MONEY LINE to increase your bankroll, UNLESS YOU ARE BETTING THE DOG which happend to be one of the 4 worst teams in the league.
Many thought this trend would only be in pre-season. Thus Far that is VASTLY INCORRECT
THE NEWPORT REPORT
It seems many are disgruntled over this years NFL start and want to blame the "public" Everyone is looking for some angle to bet against the public and find that edge.
Stop worrying about what anyone is doing and focus on WINNERS and LOSERS. Money Line DOGS are winnig WEEKLY as I predicted in analysis #1
The spread is not meaning much, unless you are following it, and if you are you are most likely losing money.
The next 4 weeks will send many to the poor house, because MANY will be trying to gamble with make up calls, and teams will disappoint you.
This is a very shared league. Every team gets there "giant killer" week where they look great. REMEMBER THAT. I also said in Analysis #1, that being 5-5 at the week 10 split is acceptable in this NFL. So some teams might go 1-4 which can shock you, but it is true and they can still rebound for the remainder of the season. You might not have any money left at that point.
I also predicted that lines would BE DRIVEN BY THE PUBLIC, because the LINESMAKER were going to allow the public to pick the spreads, because in many games the spread really will NOT MATTER
I also stated that except for a few horrible teams, all spreads would be marginal. The Dolphins, 49ers, Bears, and Cardinals have drawn the highest spreads
Well HERE after week 4 are the GLARING statistics
ONLY 9 GAMES HAS THE SPREAD EVEN HAD AN IMPACT IN THE TOTAL GAMES PLAYED THUS FAR
I used Wagerlines odds for the 4 week analysis. Stats may very on a couple games depending on what exact lines you had. But THE ANALYSIS is still accurate.
There have only been 2 Pushes...
There have been 7 games where the DOG covered.....BUT DID NOT WIN and and out of those 7 games Arizona has 2, San Fran has 2, and Miami has 1 and the Bears and Buffalo have one each.
So the 5 worst teams in the league make up for all the seven DOGS covering but NOT winning ( because remember this the only place where the spread matters. Which EXPOSES my point further. PICK THE WINNER in the MAJORITY of the NFL...not including the minor league group, and YOU COVER
Someone posted a statistic that only 33% of dogs that cover win outright. NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND ( i love corso) NOT IN THIS YEARS NFL FRIENDS
SO STOP THINKING EMOTIOANLLY. Stop Gambling with your heart. Stop gambling on or with the PUBLIC.......and begin looking at each game FIRST without a number involved. And It looks as if you are betting dogs, YOU MIGHT WANT TO HIGHLY CONSIDER BETTING THEM ON THE MONEY LINE to increase your bankroll, UNLESS YOU ARE BETTING THE DOG which happend to be one of the 4 worst teams in the league.
Many thought this trend would only be in pre-season. Thus Far that is VASTLY INCORRECT
THE NEWPORT REPORT
