New York Jets vs St. Louis Rams 11/18/2012

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Expect a close game with the New York Jets winning 49% of simulations, and the St. Louis Rams 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Jets commit fewer turnovers in 48% of simulations and they go on to win 70% when they take care of the ball. The St. Louis Rams wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Shonn Greene is averaging 68 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. Steven Jackson is averaging 68 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 74%.
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