New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars 12/9/2012

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Expect a close game with the New York Jets winning 44% of simulations, and the Jacksonville Jaguars 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Jets commit fewer turnovers in 48% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. The Jacksonville Jaguars wins 78% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Shonn Greene is averaging 49 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (16% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Maurice Jones-Drew is averaging 67 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22% chance) then he helps his team win 79%.
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