New York Giants vs Atlanta Falcons 12/16/2012

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Expect a close game with the New York Giants winning 47% of simulations, and the Atlanta Falcons 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Giants commit fewer turnovers in 61% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. The Atlanta Falcons wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Eli Manning is averaging 292 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (31% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Matt Ryan is averaging 317 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 61%.
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