NEW YEAR'S EVE BEST BET

[OccamsRazor]

RECORD YTD 22-10 (.687)
SIDES 14-7 (.666)
TOTALS 8-3 (.727)

Memphis/ Seattle went OVER last night and brought in a winner here.

No sides grab my attention today, so I’ll stick with the totals. NJ playing great defense at home and that is reflected by their 4-11 OVER/UNDER home mark. GS is 5-8 to the UNDER away from home and they average out to 179’ when they play a top ten defense on the road. NJ is a top ten defense.. 5-10 game trending numbers in the NBA have the Jersey defense in the 2nd and 3rd spot respectively.

I remember seeing the following from NBA game notes when I capped the Boston/ Warrior bet a couple of games ago:

WARRIORS OWN MOST IMPROVED DEFENSE IN THE NBA: The Warriors are allowing 93.5 points per game (13th in NBA), after allowing a league-high 103.6 ppg last season...The team’s defensive improvement of -10.1 points allowed per game is tops in the NBA, ahead of Indiana (-8.9), Toronto (-7.8), San Antonio (-7.5) and Houston (-6.9)...Golden State held its first seven opponents under 100-points, marking the longest such run to start a season since the 1954-55 Philadelphia Warriors held their first 16 opponents under the century mark...The streak was snapped when the Warriors allowed 100+ in back-to-back games (104 vs. L.A. Clippers and 106 at Sacramento)...Overall this season, the Warriors have allowed over 100 points just six times.

The UNDER is 6-3 when these two meet last 9.

Concerns: GS 6-1 vs Atlantic division. NJ. 5-2 vs Pacific division, both to the OVER this year.

UNDER 183

Opened up at 183 been bouncing around 182' 182. 183 at Canbet as I post this.



I post em you bet em if you like em. Happy New Year and Best of Luck Always.

 

[ChipD]

Happy New year razor, keep up the good work!

 

[kbmnm247]

Like the play GL Occam...

 

[Zapster]

Once again I am with you on this one....I will add the 4 units you won for me yesterday and make this a 14 Unit play.

 

[NickfromNJ]

ZAP - As long as it's not a 15 Unit play !!!

 

[Zapster]

Nick...you mean you aren't impressed with my 33.3% win percentage on my 15's ???

 

[NickfromNJ]

ZAP - I've had stretches where I would have given my left nut for 33.3% !!!

Any agreed plays yet ? I'm thinking UNDER NETS.

Nick

 

[Zapster]

Uhh Nick, Nets UNDER is the play from THIS string (forgive us Razor for making such a racket in your thread !!)

But I did just post an agreed play as well

 

[NickfromNJ]

Zap - I was going with the fact you made it a 14 unit play and , hell, there were only 3 games to choose from !!!

 

[OccamsRazor]

Line just dropped to 180' at Pinnacle 10 min before tip off. Taking the UNDER at 180' is taking the worse of it. Line opened at 183

 

[NickfromNJ]

OR - First half was an easy winner. Hoping for a repeat in the 2nd !
Thanks - Nickfromnj

 

[wjr781]

Between you and Tater and Zapster i made a lot of money, thanks a lot!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[OccamsRazor]

Cashed. We knew that the Jersey defense was going to show up wasn't sure about that much improved State defense. Warrior D did show up enough holding Jersey to 16 and 17 points in the first and last qtr. Nice UNDER as that little blue guy keeps pounding them down.

Its 6:30 here in California, I'm gonna go buy me some Scotch with the winnings and go down to the Rose Parade route with my gal and celebrate the NEW YEAR. Happy New Year Everybody.

 

[elk102873]

Cool, thanks for the profitable play again.

 

[arth]

thanks

and Happy New Year !!!

arth

 

[PatPatriot]

Nice job Occums...thanks for your work.Hope you keep posting early in the day or morning.

 

[jaygordo]

Occam- As usual I was too late for your play

and logged in to the book just at the half. I thought what the hell its looking good for him- So I laid the usual amount anyway and cashed it brother!! Nice 2nd Half Under!! Couldn't have made the call without you though. THanks for a happier NEw Year!