New thread, carrying over my 2014-2015 season record

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120-112 ATS/picks

small card tonight but a couple games I like....

oregon state -25: grambling state may be the worst program in the nation, and they can't do anything right. I like osu to cover.

pepperdine -10.5: seems like a lot but they are 6-0 ATS so far and play good perimeter defense. They also make their free throws, s. Alabama struggles at the line and are a long way away from home. I'll take Pepperdine off a close loss to Arizona state to bounce back here.

Tennessee-Martin +1: they just seem like the better team in this matchup.

troy +4: Austin peay got blown out by southern Illinois and they are awful. Troy seems to try and play defense so I'll gladly take the points.

elon +33: duke is very good, and can shoot the lights out, but 33 is a lot to cover and elon isn't half bad. They shoot well enough as a team at 43% and 70% from the charity stripe, they are also 4-1 ATS this season and play respectable defense. I Want to play this game rather large, because I truly feel elon can keep this within 25 points and duke has Uconn on the radar in the next couple days. Coach k should have the guys prepared but I like the backdoor cover here in what should be 80-57 type game. This will be a larger wager for me, maybe 100$ but we will see, the line is still climbing

bol
 

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Dang, missed that Pepperdine game by 1 missed free throw at the end lol... The hook got me... Oh well

124-113 ATS
 

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Not big on tuesdays plays so these are very small amounts for me: tread lightly

buffalo-10 : they hung with kentucky and Drexel is decimated by injuries

arizona state +2: I think they are the better team, plain and simple

college of charleston +9.5: they play better defense, and shoot better from the free throw line...??? Why are they such big underdogs...? I don't know but I'm riding with them

ok state -14.5: this team is dangerous right now, playing as good as anyone in the country as a team. I think they got this easily.


waiting on the Oklahoma line to come out....
 

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Wow you have posted 237 plays in 2 months ? And you are winning ? If true that's pretty FN Good!!
 

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Yeah.... Not exactly proud of it by any means.... Lol... I don't play heavy on 2-4 games a day like most of the cappers on here who are much better than me. I am very small when it comes to bets, usually 20-50$ per wager, 5-10 games a day. Don't know how or why it's works but it does. I'm clearly not over 60% but I am iver 50%.... Seems like whenever I play big amounts on only 2-3 games I get beat up and lose those, not really sure why, maybe I just overthink it.

So instead i ad I play small amounts all over the board... Small profits... But +20 everyday adds up over a week or two lol
 

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Here are my actual plays for tonight

Asu +3.5
20$


Oklahoma -16
20$


Mercer -4
20$


Tenn. State +16
20$


Bama/whichita st. Ov144
20$


Oakland/arizona OV 142
20$


W. Carolina/vandy Ov135
20$


Buffalo -7.5
20$
 

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I'll still count my original picks against the spread for the duplicates, buffalo and arizona state. The rest are new additions, sorry for the confusion
 

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Quack Attack is Back!!!!! We're on the same page tonight my good friend. The geese are in the back yard feeding, honk, honk, honk....no ducks to be seen, LOL.

~T~
 

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Wednesday's picks:

washington -36: yeah that's a ton of chalk, but they are playing grambling at home. Oregon state just beat them by 28 and were up by 40 at one point... This is a small bet... 20$...huskies are great but will be playing reserves starting the 2nd half. Tread lightly

baylor -13.5: New Mexico state has caught the injury bug and baylor plays air tight defense at home. This should be a fairly easy cover, medium bet 50$...

Green Bay -11: these guys are good at home and I like them cover this but I'm not sold so just a small bet, 20$...

tenn. Martin +10.5: these guys can straight up play and cover these types of spreads. Medium bet 50$

e. Michigan +14.5: they just knocked off Michigan and play phenomenal defense. They only have one loss on the year and I expect them to give Michigan state fits who has been a jekyl and Hyde team so far.... 20$

san Diego state pick'em : cincy is a good team and they are very similar to the Aztecs but Steve fisher is the better coach. Akeel Quinn is still out for the Aztecs which makes this a scary play but I see the Aztecs pulling this out late by doing what they do best, playing the best defense in the nation... Small bet, 20$

georgia state +3: this team catching points is nuts in my opinion, this is arguably the best backcourt in the country and they are now starting to score in bunches... They also play some defense too.... ODU may be good but georgia state routed green bay last game by a boatload. Medium 50$

plays of the day:

oregon ( currently -18 but I'm going to wait and here's why) : cs north ridge has 6 players suspended pending an investigation, which means their bench is virtually empty. They will be playing walk ons and reserves against an uptempo and free moving offense in oregon. Oregon also plays great defense believe it or not lol.... I didn't expect them too but hey I'll take it. With all that being said oregon is 6-3 and has played decent competition, but my site shows 83% of the side plays have gone towards cs north ridge which should continue and ultimately drop the line.... Or so im hoping. I think oregon will win this by 20 exactly but im hoping the line drops to add some value to my play...if the line stays at -18 or drops im playing this for 100$.... I can't for the life of me see north ridge hanging with the ducks in Eugene, especially after oregon just beat illinois by 7 on the road...if they fail to cover I'll wear it because I know this is a crazy play to most, but I love it.

san Diego state / cincy total: im waiting to see the total here as it should be very low....for the past 3 seasons sdsu has been a huge moneymaker for me when I play the unders. They run the shot clock down everytime and are terrible at 3's and free throw shooting.... They always seem to go under... I wouldn't be surprised if there is no total released as that does seem to happen from time to time... But my rule of thumb for sdsu is any total of 120+ is an automatic play on the under for me... I could see this total being released at 110-113 lol.... And with these two teams if still play the under.... When/if the total is released I'll post that play later with likely a huge play for 100-200$

bol guys

all of those plays are currently in except for my oregon play and sdsu under .... Check back later tomorrow
 

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134-121 currently but still pending on oregon and Washington games... Hope to go 5-5 today... Lost 2 picks by last second shots... Oh well... That's how it goes

some early plays I love for tomorrow

seton -6: this team is undefeated and 8-0 ATS.... Laying a pretty big bet here 100$

virginia -18.5: this is at home against Cleveland state, not a bad team but this is one of the best teams in the nation with a ferocious defense at home... I think they win by 25+....50$

Lsu -3.5: very atheltic team playing a struggling UAB team, seems to easy, probably is lol... Oh well 50$

Evansville -10.5: this team is very streaky when it comes to scoring points, but I like them right now and they play good defense.... I'll take the purple aces at home and the chalk 50$

coastal carolina +7.5: not sure how this team is getting 7.5 when these two teams always play each ither close....I'll gladly take the chalk... 50$

duke -10.5: im not over thinking this... Uconn isn't bad but they aren't anywhere near as good as they were with Napier last year... 50$
 

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134-121 currently but still pending on oregon and Washington games... Hope to go 5-5 today... Lost 2 picks by last second shots... Oh well... That's how it goes

some early plays I love for tomorrow

seton -6: this team is undefeated and 8-0 ATS.... Laying a pretty big bet here 100$

virginia -18.5: this is at home against Cleveland state, not a bad team but this is one of the best teams in the nation with a ferocious defense at home... I think they win by 25+....50$

Lsu -3.5: very atheltic team playing a struggling UAB team, seems to easy, probably is lol... Oh well 50$

Evansville -10.5: this team is very streaky when it comes to scoring points, but I like them right now and they play good defense.... I'll take the purple aces at home and the chalk 50$

coastal carolina +7.5: not sure how this team is getting 7.5 when these two teams always play each ither close....I'll gladly take the chalk... 50$

duke -10.5: im not over thinking this... Uconn isn't bad but they aren't anywhere near as good as they were with Napier last year... 50$

Like the plays my friend.... thanks and good luck tonight!!! :103631605
 

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LSU line is short b/c they have point guard issues my friend. Starter Gray will be out, and his backup Quarterman got hurt in Monday's practice, had a collision with another teammate. I'd sure like to hear RollTide's take on UAB, but leaning LSU myself. GL, Quack, Quack, Quack.

~T~
 

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Adding coastal Carolina/ole miss total....
these two teams play defense very well, especially coastal Carolina... I also like CC toncover as I posted earlier at +7.5.... I don't think this game makes it to 120 points.


Coastal carolina/ole miss under 130.5
50-100$
 

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