New Mexico State vs Hawaii 10/23/2021

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Hawaii is a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over New Mexico State. Chevan Cordeiro is averaging 331 passing yards and 1.9 TDs per simulation and Dae Dae Hunter is projected for 229 rushing yards and a 86% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22% of simulations where New Mexico State wins, Josh Adkins averages 1.37 TD passes vs 1.46 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.64 TDs to 1.81 interceptions. Josh Adkins averages 101 rushing yards and 0.93 rushing TDs when New Mexico State wins and 86 yards and 0.49 TDs in losses. Hawaii has a 30% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HAW -18.5 --- Over/Under line is 59.5
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