Need help with an early mismatch: Nebraska -6 at Missouri

[BigGamesOnly]

OK, I'm an admitted Nebraska fan so I'm not seeing this game in an even light. I think most of us have seen how Nebraska has been playing, especially on defense. Nebraska's running game is also racking up 241 yards per game.

Here is one fly in the ointment: Missouri actually has a good run defense giving up only 128 yards per game. However I think the linesmakers have not taken this into consideration: that defense was against mostly creampuffs, Illinois, Ball St., E. Illinois, etc. They have not been tested and I think their 4-1 record is misleading and therefore skewing this line toward their favor.

Last year the score was Nebr. 24, Missouri 13 in Lincoln. The year before it was Nebr. 36, Missouri 3 in Columbia.

I believe Nebraska's excellent defense will shut down this untested Missouri team and their dominating running game will run over Missouri resulting in a 30-10 score.

Can anyone add anything I might be missing?

 

[Proman]

If you saw the Missu/ Kansas game from a few weeks ago, you probably noticed that the KU QB killed them on the ground. Missu's defense is nothing special both against the air and pass. They are not in good form as Middle Tennessee even converted a majority of their third conversions and moved the ball rather well on them in the game prior to Kansas. Big defense advantage to Nebraska in this game.

 

[yellowman]

I grabbed it at -4.5 at betjamaica...i doubt it stays at 4.5 for long. I agree, the corn is the play there.

 

[BigGamesOnly]

Thanks for the input guys.

I just see another So. Miss. scenario here. The Corn is on the road, blah, blah, blah.

The stats would show that Missou has a good rushing defense but 4 of the 5 games they played were against pass-oriented offenses. When they were up against a run-oriented offense (Kansas) they lost 35-14.

I don't see Nebraska doing much worse than Kansas here.

 

[jetdriverjoe]

Okay, here's an opinion from the other side. The problem for Mizzou is not their D, that is much improved from last year. Its the Offense which could not keep KU off the field last week. Brad Smith has not played up to last year's standard which may be expected when you consider all the hype. The receiving corps is missing Justin Gage and the O line which was supposed to be one of the best in Big 12 is not getting it done.
All that being said, Farout Field will be full, and Mizzou has been a pretty good home dog since Pinkel came to town. I don't know why the line is so low. I would put it at 10 to 12. Could be a trap. Mizzou has had two weeks to prepare and I liked the way they were playing until the trip to Lawrence. I was not impressed with the way they finished against the Hawkers.
If they don't get behind early. They have a shot to cover or even win. They certainly won't have any trouble getting up for the game.
gl

 

[BigGamesOnly]

Thanks for the view from the other side. Being a Husker fan I don't always see things from that viewpoint.

I just have one word of advice for Tiger fans, look out for balls kicked up in the end zone!

 

[ClayHenry]

Missouri's showed a very vanilla playbook because Pinkel felt that the first five games were all very winnable on talent alone.

Missouri will definately open things up this weekend. Their run defense is pretty stout up the middle so Nebraska will try to attack them along the edges.


If there is one game Missouri was looking at in the offseason as the game they wanted to win more than any other, this would be the one.
Personally I think 25 years of frustration comes to an end Saturday night.

 

[soccerbob]

Clay- Missouri's defense and the word "stout" can't be used in the same sentence. Their defense is atrocious. They can't stop anybody. Midd Tenn St moved up and down the field on them. This line is up to 7 and will go higher. Jammal Lord has actually started to look like a decent QB. Nebraska's running game will hold the ball for about 40 minutes in this game. They will wax Missouri.

 

[sammythesage]

ah a homer touting his own team. so much for credibilty, ie. like kodiak saying mich. would kill oregon. never bet/tout teams your personally pulling for.

 

[sphincter]

keep thinking back to last year when a much better missou team got embarrassed at home by kansas st.....granted,last year`s k.st. team was much better than this year`s nebraska team.....but those defensive performances against kansas and middle tenn st have to open some eyes....

nebraska`s defense has to be much better than missou`s.....but,as we all know,jamaal lord can be the great equalizer......the guy may be missou`s secret weapon.....certainly any decent big 12 tean has a shot vs the big red with lord at the controls....

 

[BigGamesOnly]

sammy:

This is quite different than Kodiak touting his team. I'm asking for dissenting opinions.

While it is a good thing to be careful about betting on your favorite team, never say never. You may end up losing out on some good bets on a team that covers the spread.

 

[pops69]

The worse bets on made on teams that you are a fan of. I have no idea as to the reasons why but the "Unknown Soldier" has posted in the RX Pick of the week Missouri +7 and he's 5-1 this year in POW's. Good Luck, and post your POW as well

 

[winkyduck]

getting a full 7 - i'll be on missou against the steroid m0ngers, too.