on the over in this one.
Pitt has been leaving a lot of points on the field, mostly because of Tino Sunseri missing wide open receivers, but at least he's now throwing to the correct man. He certainly made better reads vs Iowa than against either Buffalo or Maine so he's progressing week by week. He'll never be a good QB in this system but he was two badly underthrown balls away from putting up 40+ in Iowa last week. The Grahams, Hubie and Ray, are the best players in the Big East at their positions and Pitt has nice size on their WR's so I expect no less than 30 from them against Notre Dame. The Domers secondary is poor, 97th in nation in passing yards allowed, and as you saw against Michigan they get beat for every 1-on-1 ball and allow guys to run free all over the place. With Pitt's WR size (both Street and Shanahan go 6'4"+) they will have a field day as long as Graham gets his normal 100+ rush yards.
Not much to say about Pitt's secondary other than they rank 119th in the nation in passing yards allowed after playing Buffalo, Maine, and Iowa. Notre Dame have some great WR and are completing 2/3 of their passes for almost 300 yards per game against UM, MSU, and South Florida. Although this is a different coaching staff than Kelly faced while at Cincy, Pitt has never shown the ability to stop his offenses and I expect them to be in the upper 30's or low 40's.
Pitt's up-tempo offense is working against them as their defense has been on the field for the majority of games. As a result they're folding in the 4th quarter. Buffalo only scored 6 but had their RB drop a wide open pass that would have been a sure TD while Maine put up 14 and Iowa 21. And we're talking serious drives here with Iowa putting up consecutive TD drives of 73-64-64 and Maine going b2b 81 and 63. Buffalo did not have any of their final 8 drives last less than 7 plays while Pitt's been more of a quick strike offense which means this defense gets worn down in 2H.
Grabbed this early over 53 but think the better value may lie in 2H. This total is way off IMO and should rise during the week
Pitt has been leaving a lot of points on the field, mostly because of Tino Sunseri missing wide open receivers, but at least he's now throwing to the correct man. He certainly made better reads vs Iowa than against either Buffalo or Maine so he's progressing week by week. He'll never be a good QB in this system but he was two badly underthrown balls away from putting up 40+ in Iowa last week. The Grahams, Hubie and Ray, are the best players in the Big East at their positions and Pitt has nice size on their WR's so I expect no less than 30 from them against Notre Dame. The Domers secondary is poor, 97th in nation in passing yards allowed, and as you saw against Michigan they get beat for every 1-on-1 ball and allow guys to run free all over the place. With Pitt's WR size (both Street and Shanahan go 6'4"+) they will have a field day as long as Graham gets his normal 100+ rush yards.
Not much to say about Pitt's secondary other than they rank 119th in the nation in passing yards allowed after playing Buffalo, Maine, and Iowa. Notre Dame have some great WR and are completing 2/3 of their passes for almost 300 yards per game against UM, MSU, and South Florida. Although this is a different coaching staff than Kelly faced while at Cincy, Pitt has never shown the ability to stop his offenses and I expect them to be in the upper 30's or low 40's.
Pitt's up-tempo offense is working against them as their defense has been on the field for the majority of games. As a result they're folding in the 4th quarter. Buffalo only scored 6 but had their RB drop a wide open pass that would have been a sure TD while Maine put up 14 and Iowa 21. And we're talking serious drives here with Iowa putting up consecutive TD drives of 73-64-64 and Maine going b2b 81 and 63. Buffalo did not have any of their final 8 drives last less than 7 plays while Pitt's been more of a quick strike offense which means this defense gets worn down in 2H.
Grabbed this early over 53 but think the better value may lie in 2H. This total is way off IMO and should rise during the week
