Hey Cruncher,
Good to see you back in action again.
Duke is in a sweet revenge spot after last years 38-14 pounding at home that gave them their first loss of the season. GT is coming off a big hard fought (w) 28-17 game over rival Miami at home. You know they were celebrating and a 5-0 start to boot. Duke was undefeated last year heading into this game at home when GT laid it on them. Plus the fact that Duke has had an extra week to prepare for that awesome ground attack of GT. I'm aware that their averaging almost 300 ry per game and scoring 34.6 ppg. Duke D has been playing stingy only giving up 13.6 ppg. They also have a strong running game and are scoring 36.8 ppg. This is sort of a sandwich game for GT as they have NC on deck. I guess what it comes down to is that I'm hoping the preparation along with the revenge factor and the possible over look of a team they thumped last year will be enough to keep this game close to the vest.
Hey, I've been wrong a lot this season in college so don't let my reasons influence you.
Good to see you back and good luck this Saturday.
Duke has certainly shown enough rush defense to hang in this one. When playing the "intangibles," do they hold up in road games as well, do you think? Does anyone need to get up for NC this year? hehe. Tough play, when looking at the Miami spanked Duke, and GT spanked Miami, but still betting Duke against GT on the road simple handicapping, lol. I will certainly give props if this one comes through for you, gl!
GT didn't spank Miami. If Duke has enough Defense to stop/slow down the run, then they have a chance. GT does not have a passing game to speak of. I haven't watched Duke this year, so I don't know what they have but GT is very beatable at home. GT's run Defense is very capable and if Duke doesn't have a passing Offense, then I'd say that they will be SOL. Line is @ 4pts and I'd still say that the game is a toss up for the SU winner.
One thing to keep in mind if you are betting on a GT game is that they will gamble anywhere on the field and go for it on 4th down. This is a very important piece of info to consider. Believe me and Trust me on this. You'll find yourself talking to the TV and saying " Punt the ball, what in the hell are you thinking?" They are very efficient at running the triple option, it's very basic and they very seldom turn it over on the pitch out. The GT QB does make some good reads. There is nothing hurry up about GT.
IU +7 @ Iowa (1)
IU coming off a nice 49024 W over NT. They just pounded the ball on the ground as they are averaging 300 ry per game. Unfortunately their D are allowing 28.6 ppg. Iowa only scoring 22.6 ppg. In their last game Iowa got a very late score to beat Purdue 24-10. I just think IU has to strong of a run game to have a td spot and Iowa doesn't appear to have blowout potential on offense.
Auburn @ Miss St +3 (2)
Here we go! Both at 5-0 and kicking tail so far this year. Aub scoring 42 ppg and Miss ST 42.6. Auburn giving up 14.4 ppg and Miss St 18.4, Auburn 268 ry oer game and Miss St 274 per game. The rb are separated by 2 total yards. Last year Auburn won 24-20 at home. Just about equal in most statistical breakdowns. I like Prescott as he brings a dual threat with the run and pass for Miss St. Auburn has only played one road game and escaped with a 20-14 w at Kansas St. This road game going to be, or at least should be much tougher for Auburn. I have Miss St favored by 3 so I'll gladly take the +3. That place is going to be rocking.
Miss @ A & M -2 1/2 (2)
Miss off to a fine 5-0 start and 5-0 ats. A & M off to a decent 4-1 start and 3-3 ats. A & M scoring 47.8 ppg and Miss D only giving up 10.2 ppg. Something has to give. A & M always a very tough place to play as they are 5-0 last 5 at home. Sometimes I get myself in trouble trying to read to much into the lines. I actually thought A & M would be getting +3. I was planning on betting them and perhaps the ML. I was wrong as they are the small fav but that's okay. Maybe Vegas is baiting Miss bettors into taking the points. After all Miss is 5-0 and beat Bama. Anyway, taking the small home fav to bounce back at home against a Miss team that just might be a little intimidated on the road.
LSU -1 1/2 @ Florida (1)
LSU at 4-2 and 4-2 ats coming off a butt kicking at home. Florida at 3-1 and 2-2 ats and coming off a very close low scoring w a Tenn. They are having qb problems again this season. You would think playing at home would be a big cushion for Florida but they are only 2-10-1 last 13 at home. More of a play on LSU and that Miles will have his team in bounce back mode. They maybe screaming for Mus head after this one. I could be wrong as I usually take the home team in big conf games.
USC -2 1/2 @ Zona (1)
Zona at 5-0 and have very high powered offense this season. They dominate in almost every stat in this match up. How can they be dogs against a 3-2 USC team that just lost to Arizona St and early to BC ? Once again this is college football and strange things happen. I may be a sucker but just can't picture Zona at 6-0 and USC losing 2 straight.
Washington +3 1/2 @ Cal (1)
Just not buying into Cal yet. They just beat Wash St 60-59. They are 4-1 and scoring tons at 50 ppg, while giving up 40 ppg. I haven't seen them play but they must be very entertaining team to watch. Wash at 4-1 and last played Stanford and lost 20-14. Now that was a defensive game. What will this one be? Wash has two linemen in the top 10 with 8 and 7 sacks so far. Wash is 5-0 last 5 straight up vs Cal/ Cal is 5-17 SU last 22 games and 2-10 ats last 12 at home. They are going to have to prove to me that they are for real this year.
Oregon -2 1/2 @ UCLA (1)
Both at 4-1 and 1-4 ats. Somethings got to give. Can Oregon lose two in a row in the regular season? I guess it's possible. But I don't think so! Oregon is 5-0 straight up and the last 3 yearas have beaten the Bruins byscores of 42-19, 49-31, and 60-13. If UCLA is going to keep up tey better score and more important protect their QB who has taken a beating again this year. UCLA is 1-4 ats last 5 at home in this series.
MTS +23 @ Marshall (1)
I may be sorry going against a strong home team. Marshall is 7-0-1 ats last 8 home games. They are a perfect 5-0 and just lighting up the scoreboard. I look at their past games and I just don't see any of those teams that I'd by in a garage sale. MTS at 4-4 and 4-2 ats have at least played a couple of teams that can play a little defense. Marshall at 47.6 ppg and MTS scoring 38.3 ppg. Give me a team scoring at 38 points per game +23 and I'll take a shot on them. Marshall travels to Florida In next week so just maybe relaxing a little bit in the 4th is not out of the question.
NW @ Minny -3 (1)
NW on a 3 game winning streak and a big w at Wiscy last week. Minny has had some rest since beating up on Michigan at Michigan and stand 4-1. NW is 3-12 ats last 15 games and 1-4 ats last 5 vs Minny. Minny plays well at home at 8-3 straight up last 11. Minny leads in almost every stat in this matchup. Just thinking that NW resorts back to their normal pattern of letting everyone down.
Louisville @ Clemson -10 (2)
I wish this game was in the evening instead of 3:30 in the afternoon. I still like the home team in one of the toughest places to play a game on the road. Louis at 5-1 and 4-2 ats. They have played well and of course are well coached. I mean it's a second chance for him. Clemson at 3-2 but definitely have played the tougher schedule in this matchup. Their two losses were on the road to Florida St 23-17 (could have won) and were right with Georgia (45-21) until the explosion by Georgia in the 4th. Louisville played at Cuse last week and now have to hit the road to play again. This team is no WF, Murray St, or florida Int. I think we will really find out a lot about both of these teams this game. I'm only an hour away from Louis and I don't like to go against them but just find this a tough out for them this Sat.
good luck my friends and bet reasonably so you don't have a heart attack
IU coming off a nice 49024 W over NT. They just pounded the ball on the ground as they are averaging 300 ry per game. Unfortunately their D are allowing 28.6 ppg. Iowa only scoring 22.6 ppg. In their last game Iowa got a very late score to beat Purdue 24-10. I just think IU has to strong of a run game to have a td spot and Iowa doesn't appear to have blowout potential on offense.
Auburn @ Miss St +3 (2)
Here we go! Both at 5-0 and kicking tail so far this year. Aub scoring 42 ppg and Miss ST 42.6. Auburn giving up 14.4 ppg and Miss St 18.4, Auburn 268 ry oer game and Miss St 274 per game. The rb are separated by 2 total yards. Last year Auburn won 24-20 at home. Just about equal in most statistical breakdowns. I like Prescott as he brings a dual threat with the run and pass for Miss St. Auburn has only played one road game and escaped with a 20-14 w at Kansas St. This road game going to be, or at least should be much tougher for Auburn. I have Miss St favored by 3 so I'll gladly take the +3. That place is going to be rocking.
Miss @ A & M -2 1/2 (2)
Miss off to a fine 5-0 start and 5-0 ats. A & M off to a decent 4-1 start and 3-3 ats. A & M scoring 47.8 ppg and Miss D only giving up 10.2 ppg. Something has to give. A & M always a very tough place to play as they are 5-0 last 5 at home. Sometimes I get myself in trouble trying to read to much into the lines. I actually thought A & M would be getting +3. I was planning on betting them and perhaps the ML. I was wrong as they are the small fav but that's okay. Maybe Vegas is baiting Miss bettors into taking the points. After all Miss is 5-0 and beat Bama. Anyway, taking the small home fav to bounce back at home against a Miss team that just might be a little intimidated on the road.
LSU -1 1/2 @ Florida (1)
LSU at 4-2 and 4-2 ats coming off a butt kicking at home. Florida at 3-1 and 2-2 ats and coming off a very close low scoring w a Tenn. They are having qb problems again this season. You would think playing at home would be a big cushion for Florida but they are only 2-10-1 last 13 at home. More of a play on LSU and that Miles will have his team in bounce back mode. They maybe screaming for Mus head after this one. I could be wrong as I usually take the home team in big conf games.
USC -2 1/2 @ Zona (1)
Zona at 5-0 and have very high powered offense this season. They dominate in almost every stat in this match up. How can they be dogs against a 3-2 USC team that just lost to Arizona St and early to BC ? Once again this is college football and strange things happen. I may be a sucker but just can't picture Zona at 6-0 and USC losing 2 straight.
Washington +3 1/2 @ Cal (1)
Just not buying into Cal yet. They just beat Wash St 60-59. They are 4-1 and scoring tons at 50 ppg, while giving up 40 ppg. I haven't seen them play but they must be very entertaining team to watch. Wash at 4-1 and last played Stanford and lost 20-14. Now that was a defensive game. What will this one be? Wash has two linemen in the top 10 with 8 and 7 sacks so far. Wash is 5-0 last 5 straight up vs Cal/ Cal is 5-17 SU last 22 games and 2-10 ats last 12 at home. They are going to have to prove to me that they are for real this year.
Oregon -2 1/2 @ UCLA (1)
Both at 4-1 and 1-4 ats. Somethings got to give. Can Oregon lose two in a row in the regular season? I guess it's possible. But I don't think so! Oregon is 5-0 straight up and the last 3 yearas have beaten the Bruins byscores of 42-19, 49-31, and 60-13. If UCLA is going to keep up tey better score and more important protect their QB who has taken a beating again this year. UCLA is 1-4 ats last 5 at home in this series.
MTS +23 @ Marshall (1)
I may be sorry going against a strong home team. Marshall is 7-0-1 ats last 8 home games. They are a perfect 5-0 and just lighting up the scoreboard. I look at their past games and I just don't see any of those teams that I'd by in a garage sale. MTS at 4-4 and 4-2 ats have at least played a couple of teams that can play a little defense. Marshall at 47.6 ppg and MTS scoring 38.3 ppg. Give me a team scoring at 38 points per game +23 and I'll take a shot on them. Marshall travels to Florida In next week so just maybe relaxing a little bit in the 4th is not out of the question.
NW @ Minny -3 (1)
NW on a 3 game winning streak and a big w at Wiscy last week. Minny has had some rest since beating up on Michigan at Michigan and stand 4-1. NW is 3-12 ats last 15 games and 1-4 ats last 5 vs Minny. Minny plays well at home at 8-3 straight up last 11. Minny leads in almost every stat in this matchup. Just thinking that NW resorts back to their normal pattern of letting everyone down.
Louisville @ Clemson -10 (2)
I wish this game was in the evening instead of 3:30 in the afternoon. I still like the home team in one of the toughest places to play a game on the road. Louis at 5-1 and 4-2 ats. They have played well and of course are well coached. I mean it's a second chance for him. Clemson at 3-2 but definitely have played the tougher schedule in this matchup. Their two losses were on the road to Florida St 23-17 (could have won) and were right with Georgia (45-21) until the explosion by Georgia in the 4th. Louisville played at Cuse last week and now have to hit the road to play again. This team is no WF, Murray St, or florida Int. I think we will really find out a lot about both of these teams this game. I'm only an hour away from Louis and I don't like to go against them but just find this a tough out for them this Sat.
good luck my friends and bet reasonably so you don't have a heart attack
I was ready to get down on MINN -3 after looking at this year's games, but then the line moved up to 4 so I'ma have to lay off unless it comes back down. We were on opposite sides of many PAC games -- that could be a bad sign for me, I don't know, lol, the PAC seems to have a lot of parity this year, and difficult to predict. I'm definitely fading WASH, though, because even if you don't believe in CAL I haven't seen a good reason to believe in WASH, either, especially on the road.
My overall record is not very good in college foots this season. I've lost a lot of close games. I played the wrong games from my leans. Don't we always do that!! One of my best excuses! So being on the other side of my take is about 50-50 this season.
IU line dropped all the way down to +3 from 7. I'm glad I got them early. This Cal team is obviously explosive. I just think Wash playing Stanford to a 6 point game and Cal winning a hoops score at 61-60 is setting up for offense vs defense. And you do know that Cal is giving up 40 a game defensively. I could be all wrong as I am many a times.
Good luck Cruncher
Central F -3 -115 (2)
Indy +7 (1)
Miss St +3 (2)
A & M -2 1/2 (2)
Duke +5 (1)
adding:
LSU -1 1/2 (1)
USC -2 1/2 (1)
Oregon -2 1/2 (1)
MTS +23 (2)
Minnesota 3 (1)
Washington +3 1/2 (1)
Missouri +3 (1)
Clemson -10 (2)
Adding:
Michigan P (2)
Notre Dame under 63 1/2 (1)
Georgia S over 62 1/2 (1)
Oregon over 69 1/2 (1)
Indy +7 (1)
Miss St +3 (2)
A & M -2 1/2 (2)
Duke +5 (1)
adding:
LSU -1 1/2 (1)
USC -2 1/2 (1)
Oregon -2 1/2 (1)
MTS +23 (2)
Minnesota 3 (1)
Washington +3 1/2 (1)
Missouri +3 (1)
Clemson -10 (2)
Adding:
Michigan P (2)
Notre Dame under 63 1/2 (1)
Georgia S over 62 1/2 (1)
Oregon over 69 1/2 (1)
The total is high because the NC D are giving up 42 ppg and their offense scoring 36 ppg. They can't stop anyone right now. I'm hoping the Notre Dame can contain their QB ( Williams) who is leading their team in both passing and rushing. Plus their coach Fedora is known for offense. So far in 3 years NC has broken 40 offensive records under him. I just think Notre Dame D will slow them down and hopefully playing on the grass will help slow them down. ND has nothing to prove by trying to change their offensive style because it's been working so far. I'm a little worried after the Stanford game that this D of NC may give up 40 or more to the Irish. Not one of my strong plays but going to play the under in case Notre Dame just starts pounding the ball on the ground.
