Baylor @ Kansas +44 (2)
I don't think it matters what I say about this game. No one in their right minds would bet against the best offensive team in the country against one of the worst teams in the country. Especially after Baylor just blew out undefeated Texas T while Kansas was getting blown out again at Iowa St. Baylor won last year at home by 46. They called off the dogs after a 38-0 nothing half time lead. They don't need to get anyone hurt with WV on deck. Kansas RB did rush for 175 yards last week and their QB threw for 269 yards. Not even close to Baylor's 700 + total yards a game. Sometimes you have to go with your feelings or intuitions and I think this could be a flat spot for Baylor.
Minnesota @ Purdue over 46
What is your first impression of Minnesota? What a D but the offense stinks. And that would be correct based by the numbers. M scoring 20.2 and giving up 15 ppg. Their opponent P is scoring 28 and giving up 33 ppg. For some reason these two teams seem to get the offenses going when they play each other. The last 3 in this series have gone over totaling 77, 72, 62, and 55. After getting shut out I really expect Minny to open it up and I know Purdue will attack and score their fair share of points. Hell, they had Mich St def on the ropes the entire game. Minnesota is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Purdue, so that tells me they better put some points up or thy will be hearing that dam train siren or whistle, whatever it is, I hope it's going off a lot this Sat.
Akron @ E. Michigan +8 (2)
First thing I wonder is why a 2-3 team and 1-3 ats are more than a TD fav on the road to begin with, then I think that everyone thinks E. Michigan Sucks, or maybe they think after playing LSU pretty tough they will implode in this game. Well anything is possible but E.M is scoring 31.4 ppg and Akron 21.8. Def E.M. giving up 39.4 to Akron's 20.4 ppg. Either teams schedule is nothing to write home about but I do feel like E.m schedule has been the tougher one so far. I couldn't pass up on all of these trends in this series. Akron is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Eastern Michigan. Akron is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan. Akron is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan. Plus this team is spotting 8 when: Akron is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road. So it's not so much that I have all this faith in E.M at home, I just don't have any faith in Akron on the road giving more than 2 scores. So I bet against them.
Duke @ Army +12 1/2 (2)
Duke at 4-1 and heading out to play in the trenches. (first away game) Army will run the ball as they are averaging 278 ypg. Everyone knows its coming, but they still seem to gave some success. The game has been sold out for 2 weeks and you just know they will be pumped up. Army at 1-4 but their losses were all close. 6 at Penn St, 3 at WF, 5 at UConn, and 2 to Fordham. Duke is tough and they do have a bye next week. Duke did beat GT but caught GT coming off a loss at ND. Just hoping that the Army hangs tough and keeps this game within the number. No one likes to beat up on our armed forces. (hoping anyway)
Tulane @ Temple -16 (2)
Tulane at 2-2 and riding a 2 game winning streak with w's over CF (real down this year) and Maine. Prior to that they were beaten by 30 and 55 points by Duke and GT. Temple at 4-0 and 3-1 ats and have a couple of real nice W's 27-10 over Penn St and a 34-26 win at Cincy. Last year Tulane played Temple down to the wire losing 10-3 at home. I like Temple at home in this one to be a lot more ready than last year's game. And you gotta like the fact that Tulane D is giving up 35 ppg compared to Temple's 15.5. Temple returns a very veteran team who would like nothing better to thump this team on HC.
Mass @ BG over 78 (2)
We have two defenses giving up 37.3 and 36 ppg. And two def with one giving up 246.8 rushing yards and the other 294.6 passing yards. I see a lot of offense in this game. The total has gone over in 10 of Massachusetts's last 15 games and over in 8 of Massachusetts's last 9 games on the road. The total has gone over in 6 of Bowling Green's last 8 games and total has gone over in 4 of Bowling Green's last 5 games at home. Going to take my chances s Mass has a lot of returning players on offense so we shall see what happens.
Middle Tenn St +8 @ WK (2)
I'm going to take this spot as I think MTS is a very good football team that has been tested more than WK this season. They lost at Bama, at Illinois by 2, and to Vany by 4. They can compete. WK at 4-1 with only loss to Indiana. Wk did beat Vandy by 2 points. Off and Def points are just about even along with total yards. MTS gets a lot more rushing the ball and WK through the air. Western Kentucky is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Middle Tennessee including last year's loss atg MTS by3 points. This series has been close the last 4 games decided by 3, 5, 3, and 1 point. Going to take the spot and hope MTS can keep it close.
Navy @ Notre Dame over 54 1/2 (2)
They are averaging 38.5 and 37.2 ppg. The last 5 times they have played to the over and totaling 87, 72,60, and 70 points. The total has gone over in 5 of Notre Dame's last 6 games when playing at home against Navy. I don't know how ND will approach this game after the devastating loss last week at Clemson. I do know one thing, Navy could care less. They will attack on the ground where they are averaging 339.8 per game and force the Irish IMO to keep up on the scoreboard. Who does ND play next week? USC betcha! Tempting to play Navy in this game. I'm just playing the over.
Miami F +10 @ Florida St (2)
Florida State is 2-7 ats in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami. I'm taking the points. MF a little more rested and some think Golden's job is on the line and could depend on this game. It was a 4 point loss last year at home so they knop they can compete with them. The question is will they? I've got a 10 point lead with a team that is scoring 37 ppg and 5 more a game than their opponent in a big rivalry game. Taking my chances with the desperate team.
Cal @ Utah -7 (2)
5-0 at 4-0 and college game day on hand. This should be a dandy. Cal has a very explosive offense but so did Oregon. This D isn't Grambling, San Diego St, Texas, or Wash St. They are going to pass, pass, pass, I really hope their QB doesn't get hurt against this aggressive D of Utah's. I can't forget that Utah is scoring at 38.8 ppg. And their qb in my opinion is one of the best and we may be watching him on Sunday's in the future.
Georgia @ Tenn over 55 1/2 (2)
These two teams can score some points between them. G scoring at 38.4 and Tenn at 37 ppg. The total has gone over in 5 of Georgia's last 6 games when playing Tennessee. The total has gone over in 8 of Tennessee's last 11 games The total has gone over in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games at home. The last 3 games between these two teams have totaled 67, 65, 95 points. I'm hoping Georgia can get their offense going again and hopefully a little dryer field to play on. I could be way off base expecting scoring in a sec game but they have started to trend towards offense.
Utah St @ Fresno +11 1/2 (2)
Definitely aware of the injuries to Fresn St qb's. The back up was a starter for a couple of games before being replaced for various reasons. He does have experience with the offense and is their best drop back passer according to the article that I read. Tough to back a fav: Utah State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Fresno State. The home team Fresno State is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home. Fresno has won 9 out of 10 in this series and now I'm getting 11 1/2 at home! If I lose I lose. Hopefully that terrible D of Fresno's that is giving up 40.2 ppg has some pride. Mississippi and Utah are responsible for 73 and 45 of those points. I'm hoping Utah St is not as explosive as those two teams.
Those are my thoughts and reasons. Not an attractive card and full of home dogs that are dogs for reasons. Lets hope that coming into their back yard pisses some of them off this week!
Good luck my friends, thoughts and info always appreciated, bet reasonably, and hope everyone has a + day.
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