NCAA Week 10/4 (YTD 49-33 ATS 59.8%)

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Sides 28-24 (will improve this)
Totals 21-9
Overall 49-33 59.8%

Looking over the matchups now and will have some leans on the early lines. Going to wait to post plays as I think I had more success with that.
 

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Early leans are as follows:

West Virginia
Penn State
Tennessee
Air Force
E. Michigan
Iowa
Alabama
Georgia Tech
Illinois
Iowa State
UTEP
Troy State
UL-Lafayette

Would like to narrow down from this list ONLY and be a little more selective this week.
 

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Just found out I will be extremely busy this week and may have to go out of town, so will play with the opening lines.

Playing:

West Virginia +27

Penn State +1.5

Eastern Michigan +15

Georgia Tech +7

Illinois +14

Iowa State +21

Troy State +28

All dogs. May have one or two more plays with the OTB games, and will have totals later in the week.
 

bhg

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Illinois is one that jumped right out at me too - good value at 14.5
 

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absolutely LOVE Houston on Tuesday night, will see if I can ride my ECU streak to 5-0 betting on/against the Pirates...
 

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Thanks BGO. Not a great weekend with my sides plays but I need to get more selective and bounce back above 60%. Take care.
 

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Sports betting is a work in progress that we learn from constantly. I see you only getting better and better with time.
 

bhg

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any thoughts on akron +18.5 @ Miami OH That's a whole bunch of points for a good offense.
 

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BHG-

Line is almost too far off to me to bet it. Miami (OH) should not be laying that kind of number. Really like Akron in the spot...there is a reason the number is falling off the table. I am gonna lay off b/c I think I have enough sides, but if I had to play it, I am on the dog with the points. 17.5 is still a good number and available now.
 

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I like ECU in tonight's game. Stats are all pointing to Houston, and my original number had Houston by about 12. When line opened at 4 and then was pushed down pretty heavily, I had to go with the flow and take ECU +2. I look for both teams to establish a running game and try to work the pass from that. Home dog in a national tv game has value most of the time.

Once this line dropped below 3, Houston had no value to me. This is a PK game in all reality. 0-4 team is the way to go in a spot like this.

Last week Nebraska was a big road favorite and the line was jumping up from the open. The public followed the line and created a nightmare for the books. This week I don't see the same thing happening. Public likes Houston, but the line is dropping towards ECU and more people are jumping on Cougar High. Vegas will take the cash this time (a very classic set-up). Good luck to you.
 

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Checked over a few message boards and absolutely love what I came up with.

28 on Cougar High
7 on ECU (including me)

That's 80% on UH with the line crossing a key number and hitting PK at some places!!!

ECU all the way.
 

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NASDAQ, YOUVE GOT BALLS BIGGER THAN JEEP TIRES IF YOU CAPPED THIS AT HOUSTON -12 AND YOU STILL ARE TAKING ECU.
icon_confused.gif
 

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Sometimes if you cap a game too large and the line is "off" by a lot...there is a reason Vegas made the line a lot less. In those cases you have to fade yourself and figure why the line is off. I have my own system and it does the job, you;d be surprised how many times I cap a game at X and see the line 10+ pts too low and take the dog. It's all part of the strategies I use.
 

bhg

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Thanks for the thougts on akron, small play on them for me, it did drop to 17
 

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West Va looking good, should go into the weekend 1-1.

Closing out the card with:

Central Florida -24

Akron/Miami(OH) Under 64

UAB/Memphis Under 49

Oklahoma/Iowa State Under 54.5

Hawaii/Tulsa Under 62.5

USC/Arizona State Under 53

Not as many totals as I expected, lines were sharp this week in both NFL and college.
 

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BHG-

Don't like that Hawaii game as much with the huge drop, especially as it cleared 10. Good luck.
 

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