NC -10 1/2 (2)
NC coming off a record low shooting% (24.6) and only 1-18 from 3 pt land. I would say they ran into a Mich St team who played bad in one of their early games and look at them go now, so why not a big bounce back at home for NC. I think Michigan will be forced to run with them. This will be Michigan's first ranked opponent and their first true road game on a opponents home turf. I honestly believe that NC was so worn out from Ark game and Portland game before that, their legs were just gone and that definitely affects your shot. NC worth the max 4-5 at home and I really think they are the better team to begin with. Will take my chances and expect a bounce back just like X the night before.
Minny -5 (2)
Minny at 7-0 and 5-1 ats
MF at 5-0 and 2-1 ats. Only 3 lines games for MF says something about some of the weak teams on their schedule that have helped them accumulate some inflated stats. Minny will be nothing like Gardner Webb, Navy, Florida A & M, North Florida, and LaSalle was MF toughest test so far. I'm not knocking the MF team because they are big and athletic and could very well win or cover this spread. I just think we have some value in Minny. They have been tested playing at Providence, playing Bama and Umass, they also beat up on a couple of cupcakes to inflate their numbers. This will ne MF first true road game and that usually is not a good thing when playing against tough teams that can explode, Minny averaging 90.7 ppg.
Minny with the better shooting %, MF shooting 57.2 from the ft line compared to 67.2 for Minny.
I could be way off target, but I feel good about the play. I'm sure Minny players have heard that Bama outscored them 3-5 in that last game. They will be a little extra pumped up.
Duke -10 1/2 (2)
Duke at 8-0 SU and 5-2 ATS coming off that incredible comeback against a Florida team that I think can take it all. They just kept coming back and that W surely has to help carry over in the challenge and playing at Assembly Hall.
Indiana at 4-2 SU and 2-3-1 ATS
Indiana is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games (not the same explosive team and style of play that Tom Crean ran) definitely not the talent of players on this team. The crowd will help some, but they can't rebound and put it in the basket.
Duke scoring 90.62 ppg and giving up 73.12 ppg.
IU scoring 77.83 ppg and giving up 73.50 ppg
diff of around 13 in fav or Duke, home worth 4 at IU, so line says around 9 (Indiana is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home) (LIKE IT)
What this doesn't tell us is IU toughest opponent was Seton Hall. Little old Ind St smoked IU at IU, and hell their not a very good team yet either so far this season. IU struggled to beat Howard, and ARk St and S. Florida hung around for awhile.
Duke definitely has played the tougher schedule. Duke spanked Indy by 20 in 2015, so I know the players are different, my point is IU was real good then and now they are a team trying to play a entirely different brand of basketball with a new coach who was left with pretty much a bare cabinet.
I just wish Duke would have lost that game against Florida and this line would have been a littler lower.
good luck everyone
