Purdue @ Louisville -6 1/2 (2)
Purdue at 5-1 and 2-2 ats scoring 84.8 ppg and giving up 67.2 ppg for a diff of 17.7
Louisville at 5-1 and 4-2 ats scoring 75.0 ppg giving up 56.8 ppg for a diff of 18.2
Line is right. Diff of 1/2 and Louis worth 5-6 at home imo.
Louis is always tough at home and you got to like a team that is only giving up 56.8 ppg. They have played very tough schedule with their only loss to Baylor by on a neutral, I was really impressed with the way they handled a very tough Wichita St team by 10. They pound the boards and if you don't get a body on them they will get lots of 2nd chances.
Purdue off to a decent start to the season as their only loss was to Nova by 3 at home though. This will be their first true road game. Their bigs have had their way on the boards and in the paint so far this season. I believe this one will be much different.
NC at IU over 163 (2)
NC at 7-0 and 5-2 ats scoring 92.9 ppg giving up 65.6 ppg for a diff of 27.3
IU at 4-1 and 1-2 ats scoring 88.6 ppg giving up 69.6 ppg for a diff of 19.0
NC ranked#6 in scoring at 92.9 ppg.
IU at #14 scoring 88.6 ppg.
NC 51.9% fg, 39.2 % from 3 pt land and 74.2% ft.
IU 49.5% fg, 39.8% form 3 pt land and 70.5% ft.
NC has averaged 17.1 3pt attempts and average 6.7 3's a game.
IU has averaged 25.5 3pt attempts and average 10.2 makes a game.
NC averaging 26 fta and hitting 19.3 a game.
IU averaging 24.4 fta and hitting 17.2 a game. (That's 36.5 points with the clock stopped.
Both team like to run and play fast. There should be lots of possessions in this game. I just hope the shots are falling for both teams.
UCIrvine @ UCLA -24 -110 (3)
UCI at 2-3 and 1-2 ats scoring 72.2 ppg and giving up 65.0 ppg for a diff of 7.2
UCLA at 7-0 and 5-2 ats scoring 96.9 ppg and giving up 75.3 ppg for a diff of 21.6
A diff of 14 and UCLA worth 4-5 at home. Line is high as UCLA is a public team. Even though the line is higher than what it should be I still think they can name the score in this one. They are so much better with the freshman Ball running the point and Alford as the shooting guard. Ball at 6'6 is a nightmare for any team to try and guard.
Ball scoring 16 ppg and 5.3 rebs and a incredible 9.1 assists with only 2.4 TO"S a game.
He's shooting 57.4 % fg, and 48.6 from 3 point land and 72% from the ft line.
Alford also scoring 17 ppg and shootin47% fg and 44.2 from 3 pt land and 93.8 ft.
Two more players are scoring 16 a game.
Who do you guard? How do you stop this offense.
They are #3 at 96.9 ppg.
So I understand why the line is high.
UCI lost to UTAH 85-67 (18), to UNLV 74-62 and Portland 71-56.
I just can't see them hanging around forever in this game.
Virginia Tech @ Michigan -4 -110 (2)
VATEC at 5-1 and 2-2 ats scoring 81.7 ppg and giving up 67.5 1ppg for a diff of 4.2
Michigan at 5-1 and 2-2 ats scoring 69.7 ppg and giving up 57.7 ppg for a diff of 12.0
Diff of 8 and Michigan worth 3-4 at home line could be higher imo and glad it's not.
Virginia Tech is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road (like it)
I like Michigan's D this year and they have a lot of experience and have looked good so far in the young season.
I also like that they are shooting their ft's at a 82.3% clip.
VT playing very well and already took care of Nebraska by 13 last game. Their only loss was to A & M by 3.
I really value the home court in these challenges and even though Maryland backfired it's on to the next one and I'm liking the Wolverines in this one.
St Mary's -2 1/2 @ Stanford (2)
STMAR 5-0 and 3-1 ats scoring 81.8 ppg giving up 63.8 ppg for a diff of 18.0
STANF 6-1 and 4-3 ats scoring 69.0 ppg giving up 59.7 ppg for a diff of 9.3
Diff of 9 and Stanford and worth 3-4 at home so I have line around 5-6.
New Stanford coach has the Cardinals playing some very good basketball. They will have to play very good to win tomorrow imho.
St M have beaten some decent teams in Dayton (4), Nevada (12), UAB (13) and took care of business against the weaker teams on their schedule so far. They return the Army from last season and if you read my reasons last year I rode this team until they lines makers caught up with them.
St. Mary's is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road (not bad)
St M shooting 52.8 fg% and a very nice 82.7 from the ft line.
Taking a shot with the well coached veteran team in a very attainable spread.
Northern Illinois @ Ind State -5 -110 (3)
N.ILL 4-3 and 3-3 ats scoring 80.0 ppg giving up 71.4 ppg for a diff of 8.6
INDST 2-4 and 4-1 ats scoring 77.3 ppg giving up 71.2 ppg for a diff of 6.2
Diff of 2 and ISU worth 3 at home, so maybe a 1 or 2 point fav would be in order.
Why is the line -5 ? Maybe it's because ISU had this great showing in Orlando. Although they went 0-3 they lost on a last second shot to Iowa St 73-71 and a last second shot to Stanford by 65-62, and to Quinn by 3. Maybe it's because they are in a revenge mode already losing to N Illinois in OT at N. I. Regardless, the line is -5 and I really think they have a very good shot at getting a comfortable W and cover.
Northern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road (good)
Northern Illinois is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road (like it)
Indiana State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home (like it)
I will be at this game and will do everything in my power to help get the W and the cover.
I hope I don't have to run out on the court or anything like that to stop N. Ill momentum.
Western Carolina @ Marquette -24 (3)
W.CAR at 2-4 and 0-3 ats scoring 58.0 ppg giving up 69.5 ppg for a diff of -11.5
MARQ 4-2 and 3-3 ats scoring 86.2 ppg giving up 72.5 ppg for a diff of 13.7
Diff of 25 and Marq worth 3-4 at home so I have line at 28-29. I like their chances against a team that is only scoring 58 ppg and Marq scoring 86.2.
WC shooting 34.4 %fg and 62.2 ft%
Marq shooting 49.9% fg and 82.1 ft%
Marquette averaging 8.8 steals a game.
WC averaging 16 TO'S a game. (ouch)
WC has losses to Ohio St 66-38 (28) and Marshall 98-63 (35)
WC shooting 26% from 3 pt land
Going to take the gamble that Coach Wojciechowski will want to run, score, and run and get a nice big win.
good luck my fiends and always bet reasonably