Still wanting more points with a couple of home dogs and one has already starting to move in my favor.
#702 St Joes -3 -110
Dayton at 21-3 (11-1) and 12-11 ats scoring 74.2 ppg giving up 64.0 ppg for a diff of 10.2
St. Joes at 21-4 (10-2) and 17-7 ats scoring 76.0 ppg giving up of 67.2 ppg for a diff of 8.8
Line is spot on. Game on. This would be a game that I would like to watch live. Dayton leading the conf at 11-1 and a VCU at 11-2 and St Joes and St Joes at 10-2. A St Joes w and there would be a 3 way ties for first. St Joes has a slight edge on the boards and are the better ft shooting team. Dayton edged them last year by 4 at Dayton. Now they are home and pretty sure all 4,200 seats and more will be full for this one.
St joes has a player in Bembry , who besides Ben Simmons of LSU, are the only two players that average over 16 points a game, over 8 rebs a game, and over 4 assists a game. To be honest, I never heard of him but we don't get St. Joe games around here. ST Joes are 10-3 at home with losses to Nova, VCU, and St Bonny. This will be their last chance to get a really marquee win at home over a ranked team.
St Joes leads the conf in def fg% (39.5) and 3 pt def % (29.9) (they will need to d it up against this Dayton team who are on a 9 game winning streak)
Dayton has lost 7 straight games at St Joes dating all the way back to 2000. (doesn't mean much, except maybe St Joes is a tough place to win in)
#734 Indiana -12 1/2 -110
Nebraska at 14-12 (6-7) and 13-8 ats scoring 73.6 ppg giving up 68.1 ppg for a diff of 5.5
Indy at 20-6 (10-3) and 13-13 ats scoring 83.5 ppg giving up 69.6 ppg for a diff of 14.0
Diff of 9 1/2, IU worth 5 at assembly, take off a couple of points from the diff because as always, IU diffs are not true when it comes to conf time because of the cupcake schedule and how Crean runs up the scores in those games. Anyway line is right. Indy won back on Jan 2 by 10 at Neb. I really see no reason why they can't win by more than that at home. IU coming off a loss at Mich St, which didn't surprise me one bit as I played the Spartans in that game. IU on the road, (3-7 ats) never a very safe bet, at home (10-6 ats) you stand a above average shot on them. They are a scoring machine and at home even better.
IU 2nd in NCAA fg% (50.3) and 7th in 3 pt% (41.7) averaging 9.9 a game and over 10 a game at home. (like it)
IU 14-0 at home. (and 10-6 ats)
Iowa at 11-2 and IU and Maryland at 10-3 in conf play. IU must win this game at home to keep their hopes of winning conf alive. They do have Purdue on deck Sat, but they won't be overlooking Neb in this game.
Shavon Shields for Neb still listed with a head injury. This young Neb team are very capable of hanging around. They have 3 road w's in conf this season.
What it comes to for me is the way IU shoots the 3 ball. Hartman, Zeisloft, Johnson, are all shooting it over a 42% clip. Ferrell can hit it to, score from anywhere, and make his team mates look really good with his penetration and kick outs for wife open 3's.
I betrayed the Hoosiers many times on the road and jump back on the bandwagon at home.
#735 Oklahoma -5 -110
Oklahoma at 20-4 (8-4) and 10-12 ats scoring 83.6 ppg giving up 71.6 ppg for a diff of 12.0
Texas T at 15-9 (5-7) and 11-10 ats scoring 73.2 ppg giving up 69.5 ppg for a diff of 3
Diff of 8, TT worth 4 at home, line is 5, line is pretty close, TT are a very dangerous team right now. Tubby has them playing some of their best basketball right now. They have two straight conf wins over top 15 teams. They knocked off Baylor at Baylor and beat Iowa St at home. They will be fired up and this place will be rocking.
Texas Tech is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home (rolling along)
Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road (why am I playing them?) Which does make me wonder why I bet this game.
Oklahoma is still getting a lot of credit from the experts even though they trail Kansas and WV in conf play. A Oklahoma win would tie them with WV and put them a game behind Kansas.
The main reason I like Oklahoma because it is getting down to the nitty gritty battling for the higher seeds for the big dance. I still like this Oklahoma team because of the veteran experience that they have.
Oklahoma have Held, Cousins, Spangler, Woodard, (92) straight games over the past 3 seasons that they have started and played together. (really like it)
Oklahoma rank 1st in 3 pt fg%(44.3) and the starting 5 alone are at 46.1 % from 3 pt land. (incredible shooting from out there)
Oklahoma has been holding opponents to (40.1) def fg % and leads the conf in rebs and blocked shots.
It won't be like the first game when Oklahoma beat them up 91-67, but I still think the Sooners cover the spread.
#740 Georgetown -2 1/2 -110
Seton Hall at 17-7 (7-5) and 16-7 ats scoring 74.2 ppg giving up 66.9 ppg for a diff of 7.3
GT at 14-12 (7-6) and 13-11 ats scoring 73.6 ppg giving up 69.8 ppg for a diff of 3.9
Diff of 3, GT worth 4, line is a tad high imo but n ot enough to keep me off this game. GT have struggled this year and at times just looked bad. The most recent example would be their last game at Providence. They were down as much as 26 points before making a mad run and cutting it down to 1 point before losing 75-72. Now as a coach you have to try and find the positive out of all that. I'm sure this coach for GT is hearing all about it from his dad.
Stats are close, I do like the way GT shoots 75.7 from the ft line compared to 65% for Seton Hall. (game stands a good chance at being decided at the line)
Seton Hall is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at GT (like it)
Seton Hall won earlier in the year by a score of 69-61. They are a scrappy team.
Right now college hoops is like trying to put a puzzle piece in when you think it's time for that piece to go in. It's time, their home, reasonable spread, none giving them much of a chance or even expects it anymore at 14-12 season. I think they have enough left in them to at least win a winnable game at home in conf play.
And this is GT first of 3 straight home games, and with Xavier and Butler coming in next, you better get this one!
#752 Arizona -13 -110
Arizona St at 14-12 (4-9) and 12-12-1 ats scoring 75.5 ppg giving up 73.1 ppg for a diff of 2.4
Arizona at 21-5 (9-4) and 14-12 ats scoring 81.4 ppg giving up 68.3 ppg for a diff of 13.1
Diff of 11, Zona worth 4 at home, line could be higher, but already pretty high for a state rivalry game. Zona got them the first time at their place 94-82. I just can't imagine them not getting them again at home by even more.
Zona is one of two teams in the NCAA with 4 players that have scored over a 1000 points in the lineup. Can you name the other team? I can, just read it. (GW)
Zona (McKale Center) has led the conf in attendance for 31 straight seasons, 14, 644, and they love their hoops and expect to win.
The Zona teams are coming off their games with USC and UCLA, where Ariz St split and Zona swept.
Zona leads in most of the stats except made 3's and offensive rebs, which surprised me but must be because of all the long rebounds form missed 3 pointers.
Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona (like it)
Arizona State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona (expected)
Zona has won the last 4 at home in this series by margins of 24, 15, 23, and 17 points. (I think it once again will be dd's as Zona will prove they are still at the top team in this state.
Good luck everyone
