#563 St Bonny -2 1/2 -110
St. Bonny at 9-3 and 5-3 ats scoring 76.4 ppg giving up 70.1 ppg diff of 6.3
George Mason at 6-8 and 5-6 ats scoring 62.3 ppg giving up 65.6 ppg diff of -3.3
Diff of 9 and a line of 2-3. I think it's giving to much credit for a team that is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games.
St Bonny has the advantage in all of the shooting stats.
St Bonny shooting 44.8% fg, 77% ft, 34.4 from 3 pt land making (7.6)
GM shooting 40.4% dg, 62.8 ^ ft, and 29.9 from 3 pt land making (5.4)
I like having a team that shoots ft's at a high rate vs a team at such a low rate, especially when every point counts in a close game with pressure situations.
I also like that St Bonny were 18-13 and 10-8 and more important 10-8 in conf play.
GM were 9-22 and 3-14 in cinf play.
St Bonny won and covered ats 75-55 at home and 85-73 at GM last two games.
I will take my chances with the visitors who I believe have the better team.
#544 Central Michigan -4 -115
E. Michigan at 8-5 and 2-4 ats scoring 77.6 ppg giving up 69.7 ppg for a diff of 7.9
C. Michigan at 7-6 and 1-4-1 ats scoring 77.6 ppg giving up 73.5 ppg for a diff of 4.1
Diff favs E. Mich and by the looks of the line once again CM the fav. I wondered why the game wasn't closer to a pick or -1. After further investigation I 'm hoping I know why.
E.M has struggled on the road where they are 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
E.M are 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road at C.M.
Central Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
C.M has lost some close games and were expected to be much improved this year. They lost one of their best players early in the season.
CM won both games last year 72-56 at home and 65-51 at E.M
I like the home team when they shoot better from the field, ft line and 3 pt line where they double their opponent 10-5 on made 3 pointers.
Going to go with the home team as now it's time to turn it up a notch with conf play and it starts by taking care of business at home.
#558 Wichita St -9 1/2
Evansville at 13-2 and 4-5-1 ats scoring 81.0 ppg giving up 68.2 ppg for a diff of 12.8
Wichita at 8-5 and 5-6 ats scoring 72.2 ppg giving up 63.2 ppg for a diff of 9.0
Now that's a heck of a spot to be giving this Ace's team that returned all 5 starters. (one has been hurt for a long time) And they can put up the points in bunches with their 3 pt shooting. Evansville is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road and now their getting this big spot. This was the last game to make my cut as a play.
Why Wichita St? Don't be shocked!
Evansville is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Wichita State and Wichita State is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home. Okay, but still have to win by 10 to get the cover, and that's a lot. BUT
Wichita St won both games last year 62-43 at home and 61- 41 at Evansville. The year before 8-58 and 84-68. Something about the line of the game now makes sense to me. The Aces have got it handed to them 4 straight games in this series, really 5 if you go back another game.
I will take my chances with a very veteran team at home with arguably the best front court in college hoops that has owned their opponent.
#551 Loyola Chicago +6 -110
Loyola C at 7-7 and 3-10 ats scoring 64.9 ppg and giving up 65.4 ppg for a diff of -0.5
Illinois St at 8-7 and 6-7 ats scoring 66.4 ppg giving up 67.6 ppg for a diff of -1.2
It looks like they give Ill St a big advantage at home, a bit more than I do.
Stats are close but a main one is the ft shooting where LC is at 73.5 % and ISU at 62%.
The series has been close in the 6 games played the average score is 65-62. ISU is 5- SU but 2-4 ats in the series.
I just saw LC play at Ind St (season ticket holder) and they just don't give up. B ig things were expected and they just haven't quite put it all together. I still like the + points in a game that they just might win heads up. I'm aware that they could get it handed to them also, but that's gambling.
#577 UNLV -5 -110
UNLV at 9-5 and 7-6 ats scoring 77.4 ppg giving up 66.7 ppg for a diff of 10.7
Colorado St at 8-6 and 4-6 ats scoring 83.4 ppg and giving up 77.9 ppg for a diff of 5.5
I wish I could have got it at -3 but obviously still like UNLV in the match up.
I'm thinking the UNLV D will cause some havoc and that their pressure will lead to to's and some easy points. Always dangerous to play on the visitor giving the points. In this case Colorado St are 1-5 ats at home and UNLW are 3-3 ats away.
Although CS is very dangerous from the arc, I'm thinking they won't be so wide open and that their shots will be contested.
UNLV has played the much tougher schedule and that should help out in a lot of these road games.
#566 Miss St +7 1/2 bth -115
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Texas A.M at 11-2 and 5-2-1 ats scoring 80.6 ppg giving up 64.6 ppg for a diff of 16.0
Miss St at 7-5 and 7-2 ats scoring 78.4 ppg giving up 72.9 ppg for a diff of 5.5
Line is really close and I'm biting on the home dog in this series that the last 5 games have a average score of 66.6 to 64.2.Texas A&M is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road. I do understand that they are really tough this year, but still to go on the road and beat a decent team at home by that many is very tough to accomplish. Once again I have a team that is at home and shooting 74.8% from the ft and their opponent 63.7. There could be some big points gained from the line.
BTY: Miss St are 6-1 ats at home. (I like it)
#572 Northwestern -2 1/2 -110
Ohio St at 10-5 and 7-8 ats scoring 72.2 ppg giving up 63.6 ppg for a diff of 8.6
NW at 13-2 and 5-5-2 ats scoring 78.6 ppg giving up 64.9 ppg for a diff of 13.7
NW still getting no respect. Yes, they lost at home to Maryland by 13, but Maryland at one time was supposed to be the cream of the crop. They still beat a hard fighting Neb team in the road by 9, and if you watched the Iowa Neb game last night you know Neb plays hard. Maybe it's because Ohio St are playing much better with two straight conf wins over Minny and Illinois. I think both of those teams are definitely down this year and finish in the bottom of the pack. Oh, they beat Kentucky, big deal! So did LSU and so will other teams this season.
NW a very smart team that will definitely want to nmake up for the last poor showing at home.
Ohio State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ohio State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Northwestern is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
NW it is.
#576 Oregon -2 1/2 -110
Cal at 12-3 and 8-7 ats scoring 76.8 ppg giving up 64.3 ppg for a diff of 12.5
Oregon at 11-3 and 5-5-1 ats scoring 76.4 ppg giving up 65.8 ppg for a diff of 10.6
I like that Oregon is in a bounce back mode after their loss at OSU. Coach usually has his team ready and hopefully a young Cal team has to come and play on that weird looking court.
California is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
California is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oregon is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing California (I'm bucking the trends)
Oregon is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing California (hope for some luck)
Just betting on Oregon to bounce back against a young talented Cal team. Probably regret it, but will see what happens.
#586 Oregon St -6 -110
Stanford at 8-5 and 5-6 ats scoring 71.2 ppg giving up 64.9 ppg for a diff of 6.3
OSu at 10-2 and 6-5 ats scoring 74.5 ppg giving up 65.7 ppg for a diff of 8.8
Almost all stats fav OSU and the power of the home court and the way this team is playing makes it a must bet for me.
That 75-48 beating Stanfors pout on them last year must also be on their minds. Oh, and most of those players have graduated from Stanford and OSU brings back most of their players from that massacre.
No doubt Payton is the real deal and this coach is just a proven winner.
Stanford is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Stanford is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
OSU it is.
good luck everyone
