Rhode Island @ Valpo +1 1/2 (2)
Rhode Island at 5-1 and 3-3 ats scoring 82.2 ppg and giving up 69.5 ppg for a diff of 12.7
Valpo at 6-1 and 2-3 ats scoring 77.0 ppg and giving up 70.9 ppg for a diff of 6.1
A diff of 6-7 and Valpo worth 4 at home and line is 1 1/2. So line is close but there are reasons why you don't want to give this mid major points at home. They seldom lose at home. Valpo won 30 games last year and 28 the year before. They are a well established program. So the Drew's are finally gone at Valpo but coach Lottich has been an assistant there for 3 years. They return 3 starters and have lots of experienced players. They don't get much better than 6'9 senior Alec Peters averaging 25.1 ppg and 9.1 rebs and is shooting 42.5 from the field and 93,5 from the ft line.
I like that Rhode is playing their first true road game at a very tough venue.
Rhode Island is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games on the road (like it)
Rhode Island is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road (like it)
Valpo has a couple of nice W's over Bama and BYU and their only loss was to Oregon.
Rhode has a nice w over Cincy and their only loss was to Duke.
Should be a really good game and I'm taking the homer.
Long Beach St @ Kansas -24 1/2 (2)
LBS at 1-7 and 1-4 ats scoring 71.1 ppg and giving up 85.0 ppg for a diff of -13.9
Kansas at 5-1 and 2-3 ats scoring 84.2 ppg and giving up 69.5 ppg for a diff of 14.7
A diff of 28.6 and Kansas worth 5 at home. I think the line is off about 5-6 points. Probably because Kansas hasn't really been spanking teams until last game where they won by 38. They have two starting guards that rank right up there with the best combo out there. Mason scoring 21.5 and 5 assists a game shooting 54.9 from the field and 77.1 from the ft line and 48% from 3 point land. Graham 13 ppg and 5.7 assists and shooting 77.8 from the ft line. No need to go on and on about Kansas at home. I'm on this game because of their opponent.
LBS is just having a terrible season. They have been beaten by 1, 8. 6, 37, and 32 points. UCLA beat them by 37 and Louisville by 32. I see Kansas being added to the mix with a big win. LBS averaging 17 to's a game and with Kansas guards ad tough as this I can envision many a easy layups off to's in this game.
Pitt @ Maryland -4 (2)
Pitt at 5-1 1and -4-1 ats scoring 81.3 ppg giving up 75.7 ppg for a diff of 5.7
Mary at 7-0 and 2-4 ats scoring 76.6 ppg and giving up 65.0 ppg for a diff of 11.6
A diff of 6 and Maryland worth 4-5 at home. Line could be higher and just like NW game should be higher. I have it at 8 so of course I'll play on Maryland at home. After all, they are 7-0 and are led by veteran Trimble scoring 21.1 ppg with 3 rebs and 2 assists and a 47.2 fg% and 80% form the line. Maryland is a very young team that is starting to mesh their young talent with some of the vets and are improving every game. They can shoot the basketball and Maryland very seldom loses a home game.
Pitt is also getting better as they adjust to Stallings and are certainly very capable of winning this game. They have to prove it to me.
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road (like it) tough to win on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road (like it)
Northern Colorado @ Oklahoma -25 (2)
NCOLO at 2-4 and 1 -2 ats scoring 69.5 ppg and giving up 75.8 ppg for a diff -6.3
OKLA at 4-1 and 2-1 ats scoring 79.0 ppg and giving up 66.4 ppg for a diff of 12.6
A diff of 18 and Oklahoma worth 4-5 at home so line is a tad high. Another one of those games where it's tough to put a line on. You have to try and pick your spots when you think a home team is going to take care of business in a big way. NC w's were over Sacred Heart by 22 and Colorado Christian 95-73. I just think they are going to be in big trouble trhying to keep up with the Sooners.
Northern Colorado is 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 games on the road (bad team on the road as they are not only losing road games but not covering many of them at all.
NC shooting 58% from the ft line and turning it over 14 times a game.
Going to take a chance on the Sooners who are led by Woodard at 17.6 ppg and 4.8 rebs and 4.2 assists shooting 81.5 ft%. They have a nice cast around them. If you remember Oklahoma from last year, you know that they are not bashful and this years team is even playing better Def so far.
Delaware St @ St Johns -21 (2)
DELST at 1-5 and 0-0 ats scoring 73.0 ppg and giving up 79.0 ppg for a diff of -6.0
St John's at 2-4 and 4-2 ats scoring 74.8 ppg giving up 69.5 ppg for a diff of 5.3
Don't let this diff confuse you. In Del St only win was 103-56 over Babtist College. SInce that opener they have been beaten by Texas Southern 94-61, UMBC 90-68, Louis Laf 83-82, and most recently Rice 80-58 and Montana St 91-66 in their last game. I just don't think they are very good.
It's hard for me to back a St John's team that St. John's is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games and 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home. Not only play them but to have to have them win by more than 21!!! I'm backing them because they have been very competitive in their 4 losses only losing b y 8, 6, 11, and 6 respectively to Old D, VCU, Mich St and Minny. So I really believe that this hungry St Jon's team will take it all out on Delaware St.
good luck my friends and always bet reasonably