#527 Ball St +4 1/2 -110
Ball St at 7-3 and 2-4 ats scoring 70.6 ppg giving up 62.8 ppg for a diff of 7.8
Ind St at 5-6 and 6-4 ats scoring 67.7 ppg giving up up 67.8 ppg for a diff -0.1
Ball St has the edge in all of the statistical categories. I'm a season ticket holder to ISU. I still bet against them when I don't think they can win or cover. Quite honestly they are a very up and down team and one never really knows what to expect when they take the court. They lost to E. Ill and Valpo, while Ball St beat both of those teams. ISU are a very poor shooting team and have missed many big ft's. IMO, this state rivalry game could go either way, which has prompted me to take the points in what should be a close exciting game.
#538 Cincy -4 1/2 -110
Iowa St at 9-1 and 4-3-1 ats scoring 84.8 ppg giving up 69.3 ppg for a diff of 15.5
Cincy at 10-2 and 3-4-1 ats scoring 78.1 ppg giving up 59.4 ppg for a diff of 18.
Iowa St having a nice season but just lost at home to N. Iowa. They suffered a even bigger loss with the injury to Naz Long. A veteran player who averaged 12 ppg and 3 rebs and 2 assists. They have played one rue road game beating a down Illinois team by 10. Obviously, this game will be much more difficult. Cincy only losses to Butler by 2 and Xavier by 10. And we all know how good those two teams are playing. I really like Cincy defense and imo they have played the tougher schedule and thought the line should be 6 to 7 points.
#540 Old D -2 1/2 -110
Rhode Island at 7-4 and 3-6 ats scoring 69.4 ppg giving up 61.7 ppg for a diff of 7.6
Old D at 5-6 and 1-7 ats scoring 65.9 ppg giving up 58.6 ppg for a diff of 7.4
Stats are close but the one stat that stands out to me in a close low spread is the ft shooting. Old D shooting 69 % to 60 for RI.
Old D is a tough home team at 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home.
Rhode Island is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road.
Just riding a little home flavor in a game that should be at 5-6 point spread.
#543 Xavier -7 -105
Xavier at 11-0 and 8-3 ats scoring 81.7 ppg giving up 62.9 ppg for a diff of 18.8
Wake F at 8-2 and 3-5 ats scoring 79.7 ppg giving up 78.8 ppg for a diff of 0.9
X leads in every stat except FG% and that is close at 48.8 to 48.2.
X are tough from the line at 73.4% and causing numerous to's a game. They have played the much tougher schedule and just keep covering games. (8-3 ats)
WF having a nice season but they are 0-4 ats at home. I know it's very dangerous to give this many on the road. But if you know me any at all by now I like to ride the teams that are hot and continue to prove themselves until things change. I mean X have destroyed teams that are very good. Yes, it's possible WF plays a game of the year and X struggles, but I'd much rather have my money on the team that's on a roll.
#560 Virginia -12 -105
Cal at 9-2 and 4-7 ats scoring 77.6 ppg giving up 65.4 ppg for a diff of 12.3
Virginia at 9-1 and 5-3 ats scoring 77.3 ppg giving up 58.9 ppg for a diff of 18.4
There is not value in this line. I'm only playing this game because of a young Cal team that I think will be exposed at a tough venue againstt a tough def team.
Cal is 1-1 on true road games losing to SDS by 14 and beating Wyoming by 6. The only w against a decent team was over St. Mary's by 4. That was St Mary's first true road game.
Anyway, just think they will run in to a buzz saw on strange turf. If Virginia can beat teams like Nova by 11, WV by 16, W & M by 15, LBS by 35, I like their chances of beating a young Cal team.
#567 Kansas -6 -115
Kansas at 9-1 and 6-2 ats scoring 89.8 ppg giving up 66.1 ppg for a diff of 23.7
San Diego St at 7-5 and 3-3-2 ats scoring 65.7 ppg giving up 59.3 ppg for a diff of 6.3
Got to like the line based on the above.
SDS is a very tough place to play. They are 20-5 straight up last 25 home games. SDS have been struggling, or at least not playing like most of us expected. Their crowd will be ready, pretty sure the players will be fired up, and Kansas will be extremely tested on the road as a favorite in the tough environment.
Why Kansas?
Maybe it's because they are beating teams by 23.7 ppg, or that they score almost 90 ppg, or that they are loaded with talented players, or maybe a little revenge form a loss to SDS in 2014 by 10. I could go on and on why I like Kansas in this game. SDS lost some very key players from last years team and quite frankly they aren't getting the job done so far this year. You just can't lose to teams like San Diego, Grand Canyon, Ark LR (they are a nice team), and their w's over San Diego Christian, Biola, Nicholas St just don't impress me much.
So going against my principles and taking a road favorite in a tough venue and if I lose I lose.
#571 Harvard +7 -110
BYU at 7-3 and 3-2-2 ats scoring 82.6 ppg giving up 72.1 ppg for a diff of 10.5
Harvard at 3-6 and 1-4 ats scoring 65.1 ppg giving up 63.6 ppg for a diff of 1.6
BYU leads in every stat. They have a big height advantage and are rightfully the fav in this game.
I like the dogs chances in this one. Harvard is very capable of hanging around. They lost at Providence by 12 (closer than the final score indicates) and at Kansas by 6. They are well coached and much better than their record indicates. I also like that these teams have 3 games to play. I would think (hope) that there might be a little save your legs involved for their other games in this tournament. BYU might just play at Harvard's pace with this in mind. If not I could be in trouble and it won't be the first time or the last time that I've been wrong.
good luck everyone and bet reasonably, have a great holiday week
Ball St at 7-3 and 2-4 ats scoring 70.6 ppg giving up 62.8 ppg for a diff of 7.8
Ind St at 5-6 and 6-4 ats scoring 67.7 ppg giving up up 67.8 ppg for a diff -0.1
Ball St has the edge in all of the statistical categories. I'm a season ticket holder to ISU. I still bet against them when I don't think they can win or cover. Quite honestly they are a very up and down team and one never really knows what to expect when they take the court. They lost to E. Ill and Valpo, while Ball St beat both of those teams. ISU are a very poor shooting team and have missed many big ft's. IMO, this state rivalry game could go either way, which has prompted me to take the points in what should be a close exciting game.
#538 Cincy -4 1/2 -110
Iowa St at 9-1 and 4-3-1 ats scoring 84.8 ppg giving up 69.3 ppg for a diff of 15.5
Cincy at 10-2 and 3-4-1 ats scoring 78.1 ppg giving up 59.4 ppg for a diff of 18.
Iowa St having a nice season but just lost at home to N. Iowa. They suffered a even bigger loss with the injury to Naz Long. A veteran player who averaged 12 ppg and 3 rebs and 2 assists. They have played one rue road game beating a down Illinois team by 10. Obviously, this game will be much more difficult. Cincy only losses to Butler by 2 and Xavier by 10. And we all know how good those two teams are playing. I really like Cincy defense and imo they have played the tougher schedule and thought the line should be 6 to 7 points.
#540 Old D -2 1/2 -110
Rhode Island at 7-4 and 3-6 ats scoring 69.4 ppg giving up 61.7 ppg for a diff of 7.6
Old D at 5-6 and 1-7 ats scoring 65.9 ppg giving up 58.6 ppg for a diff of 7.4
Stats are close but the one stat that stands out to me in a close low spread is the ft shooting. Old D shooting 69 % to 60 for RI.
Old D is a tough home team at 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home.
Rhode Island is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road.
Just riding a little home flavor in a game that should be at 5-6 point spread.
#543 Xavier -7 -105
Xavier at 11-0 and 8-3 ats scoring 81.7 ppg giving up 62.9 ppg for a diff of 18.8
Wake F at 8-2 and 3-5 ats scoring 79.7 ppg giving up 78.8 ppg for a diff of 0.9
X leads in every stat except FG% and that is close at 48.8 to 48.2.
X are tough from the line at 73.4% and causing numerous to's a game. They have played the much tougher schedule and just keep covering games. (8-3 ats)
WF having a nice season but they are 0-4 ats at home. I know it's very dangerous to give this many on the road. But if you know me any at all by now I like to ride the teams that are hot and continue to prove themselves until things change. I mean X have destroyed teams that are very good. Yes, it's possible WF plays a game of the year and X struggles, but I'd much rather have my money on the team that's on a roll.
#560 Virginia -12 -105
Cal at 9-2 and 4-7 ats scoring 77.6 ppg giving up 65.4 ppg for a diff of 12.3
Virginia at 9-1 and 5-3 ats scoring 77.3 ppg giving up 58.9 ppg for a diff of 18.4
There is not value in this line. I'm only playing this game because of a young Cal team that I think will be exposed at a tough venue againstt a tough def team.
Cal is 1-1 on true road games losing to SDS by 14 and beating Wyoming by 6. The only w against a decent team was over St. Mary's by 4. That was St Mary's first true road game.
Anyway, just think they will run in to a buzz saw on strange turf. If Virginia can beat teams like Nova by 11, WV by 16, W & M by 15, LBS by 35, I like their chances of beating a young Cal team.
#567 Kansas -6 -115
Kansas at 9-1 and 6-2 ats scoring 89.8 ppg giving up 66.1 ppg for a diff of 23.7
San Diego St at 7-5 and 3-3-2 ats scoring 65.7 ppg giving up 59.3 ppg for a diff of 6.3
Got to like the line based on the above.
SDS is a very tough place to play. They are 20-5 straight up last 25 home games. SDS have been struggling, or at least not playing like most of us expected. Their crowd will be ready, pretty sure the players will be fired up, and Kansas will be extremely tested on the road as a favorite in the tough environment.
Why Kansas?
Maybe it's because they are beating teams by 23.7 ppg, or that they score almost 90 ppg, or that they are loaded with talented players, or maybe a little revenge form a loss to SDS in 2014 by 10. I could go on and on why I like Kansas in this game. SDS lost some very key players from last years team and quite frankly they aren't getting the job done so far this year. You just can't lose to teams like San Diego, Grand Canyon, Ark LR (they are a nice team), and their w's over San Diego Christian, Biola, Nicholas St just don't impress me much.
So going against my principles and taking a road favorite in a tough venue and if I lose I lose.
#571 Harvard +7 -110
BYU at 7-3 and 3-2-2 ats scoring 82.6 ppg giving up 72.1 ppg for a diff of 10.5
Harvard at 3-6 and 1-4 ats scoring 65.1 ppg giving up 63.6 ppg for a diff of 1.6
BYU leads in every stat. They have a big height advantage and are rightfully the fav in this game.
I like the dogs chances in this one. Harvard is very capable of hanging around. They lost at Providence by 12 (closer than the final score indicates) and at Kansas by 6. They are well coached and much better than their record indicates. I also like that these teams have 3 games to play. I would think (hope) that there might be a little save your legs involved for their other games in this tournament. BYU might just play at Harvard's pace with this in mind. If not I could be in trouble and it won't be the first time or the last time that I've been wrong.
good luck everyone and bet reasonably, have a great holiday week
