NCAA (Tuesday)

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31-25 +3.45 all for (1)

Home court not as powerful with students gone for break.


#515 Akron -4 -105

Going to play the more experienced team even though they are the fav on the road in this one. Akron (3-1) have been playing some D. They are ranked first in the MAC for scoring defense, field goal defense, and 3-point defense.
Akron 6th in the NCAA for Defensive field goal percentage (31.5) and 31st overall in scoring defense (59.5). The defense has also shut down opponents from beyond the arc. The Zips have limited opponents to 24.0 percent form 3 pt land on just 23 out of 96 attempts. Their 4 experienced returning starters have played together and are just getting it done so far with the only loss to powerful Nova after trailing only by 7 at the half.

GB (1-3) have been struggling so far as they lost a lot from last year's team and have a new coach (Darner, he will be a good one) . Lost 3 straight on the road and then won at home over Minnesota Deluth? They better have won that one. Will be a tough game with the HC advantage. I'm just hoping in the end the experience of Akron wi th the tough D, + Akron has been shooting 3's at a high percentage, will prevail.

#518 Southern Illinois +1 1/2 -105

SI at 4-0 and last played on the 21st in a cruiser. Oak at 1-2 and last game was the 22nd at Colorado St where they lost a very high scoring affair. S Illinois (Carbondale) have always been a tough out at home. They struggled last year but do have 10 upper classmen players on the roster which is very important, especially in the earlier part of the season. Oak can score, but they obviously don't like playing D, and on the road that usually doesn't bold very well. I could be way off base in this one, but I really thought the Salukis would be a 3-5 point fav in this game.

#576 Tennessee -9 1/2 -110

Tenn (3-1) and so far perfect at home host Army (3-1). Army has W's over Ferrum College, Binghamton and Fairleigh Dickinson. I'm betting Tenn is much better than any of these teams. Tenn with new coach Barnes have turned their offense loose and the team has been responding with a lot of promise so far in the early season. Punter is scoring 20.8 ppg and Moore had 15 points and 16 boards last game. Tenn better not take Army lightly, as Tuesday is Military Appreciation Night and that just might fire up Army a little more than normal, plus the fact Army is a very high scoring team. Over the course of this game, I'm thinking the more athletic team at home should be able to do enough to win this game by 10 or more. As they want to go out on a high note for two big road games this weekend. Please do not look ahead Tenn. Make your coach happy so TG will be a happy one for all.

I have a lot of leans, but these holiday times are very tough to try and figure out what teams will really stay focused and what teams will just go through the motions. If I play anymore I will post it, but will not have the time to write up reasons.

good luck everyone, bet reasonably
 

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Thanks for the well wishes everyone

rest of the action:

#1514 1H: Ohio St -5 -110

Playing this game based more on my feelings than stats or trends. I expect them to come out really strong in this game after their embarrassing loss. Matta will have them ready and fired up. LT playing really good and is a solid program. This next level of competition should prove to be a lot more challenging, especially since Ohio St they are coming off the loss to UTSA. Once again I could be wrong, but I just expect a really good half from the Buckeyes in this one.

#520 Oregon St P -115

Valpo have to be just about worn out with their NBA schedule. Played the 17, 18, 19, 22 crushed by Oregon, and 24th today against the Oregon. Valpo is really good the first 6 to 7 off the bench after that is a big drop in talent. This OSU team returns a lot of experience 5 starters, 4 of them who played a lot last year, along with a new coach who really knows what he's doing. I think he will have them ready.

#535 Kansas -9 -110

K is just to deep for this UCLA team IMHO. Their starters are better, bench is deeper, and they play better def than the Bruins. I saw the 2nd half of the UCLA game last night and that was one tired team. Usually a tired team means missed shots, a little step slower for a rebound, a cut to the basket, his son (alford) hardly ever comes out of the game. Kansas needs to beat someone good. K without G Greene suspended for 6 games but still have enough weapons to get the cover. K shooting 52% from the field, 76% from the line, and 47% from 3 pt land. They are quick and already lost to Mich St and I really feel like they will roll UCLA.


Good luck everyone
 

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