#746 UAB -6 -110 (1)
Marshall at 15-12 (11-3) and 17-9 ats scoring 85.0 ppg giving up 82.8 ppg for a diff of 2.2
UAB at 22-5 (12-2) and 12-10 ats scoring 79.0 ppg giving up 68.5 ppg for a diff of 10.5
Diff of 8, UAB worth 3-4 at home, no way you can give 10, 11 points to this high scoring Marshall team, but I will take my chances with the 6.
This will be UAB first home game since Feb. 6. I would think the team and the fans will be pretty excited to play at home again. UAB has a 1 game lead over Marshall in conf play with 4 to go. A win would be huge for them. UAB won the first meeting 81-78 at Marshall.
UAB have won 6 straight in this series and 8 out of the last 9 games in this series. (like it)
UAB riding a 23 game home winning streak (tough to beat at home)
UAB def is tough. Lee is 3rd in the nation in blocked shots at (3.2) a game. Just think how many shots he will influence.
Marshall is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road (seem to struggle on the road)
Marshall is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against UAB (really struggle at UAB)
Marshall is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against UAB (not only winning but covering in this series)
For those interested in totals, the last 9 games in this series have gone under.
Going to ride the home team and staying away from the total because Marshall never gives up and will foul to the end.
#766 Utah -10 1/2 -110 (1)
Arizona St at 14-13 (4-10) and 12-13-1 ats scoring 75.0 ppg giving up 74.1 ppg for a diff of 0.9
Utah at 21-7 (10-5) and 12-13-1 ats scoring 79.0 ppg giving up 69.6 ppg for a diff of 9.4
Diff of 8, Utah worth 4 at home, line could be little higher, especially the way Utah has been playing lately. Utah opens a 3 games home stand, riding a 4 game winning streak including the sweep of the Los Angeles teams. They are hot! They shot over 50% or better in their last 7 games. That's tough to beat a team when they shoot like that.
They are led by Poeltl with 18.1 ppg and 9 rebs, and shooting an amazing 66.8% fg. (get him the ball)
Utah are 13-1 at home. And 47-4 the last 3 seasons at home. (like it)
Utah are 9-1 ats last 10 games in this series. (automatic play for me)
Big ft discrepancy in fav of Utah.
Not a hole to say about Arizona St except that they have gone through a lot of injuries and have lost a lot of close games. Under Coach Hurley they have already become a better team and if they are hitting their 3's could keep this game within the number. That's why it's gambling and I'm on the Ute's.
#776 St Mary's -17 -115 (1)
Santa Clara at 10-18 (6-10) and 12-13-1 ats scoring 68.0 ppg giving up 73.6 ppg for a diff of -5.6
St Mary's at 22-4 (13-3) and 14-9 ats scoring 75.0 ppg giving up 60.2 ppg for a diff of 14.7
Diff of 9, Mary's worth 4-5 at home, line is high, but once again that's the price and the chance you take when you play the really strong home team with a lot on the line. St. Mary's controls their own destiny as they are ties with the Zags at 13-3 in conf play but have beaten the Zags both times so that would break off the tie. Other words, win and their in. of course they have to beat Frisco on Sat unless the Zags lose and they stand a good chance of that at BYU on Sat.
St. Mary's was the hottest team in basketball ats at the start of the season. I don't remember how many times I played them and typed the same reasons over and over about them. The books finally got up with them and they went from dogs to favs, to big favs, to impossible to play on anymore. They are 2-9 ats their last 11 games (Oh my)
At home and with everything riding to win the conf championship and trying to secure the #1 seed in the WCC championships in Vegas, I'm on them again.
St M won 81-59 at Santa Clara way back on Dec 23 and that was when SC still had some hope. Injuries have destroyed this team and they have had to play a lot of young players this season. Obviously, the question here is will Mary's win by 17 or more? I really think they would have to lay down not to cover this one at home. The talent level is just so far off between these two teams and throw in St M team def, and SC will be luck to get to 60 points in this game. I will be ready for 1/2 time in case ST Mary's play a sluggish first half.
#809 IUFW -2 -110 (1)
IU-FW at 22-7 (11-3) and 19-5 ats scoring 80.3 ppg giving up 76.3 ppg for a diff o f4.0
W.Illinois at 9-16 (2-12) and 10-11 ats scoring 69.6 ppg giving up 70.0 ppg for a diff of -0.5
Diff of 4, guess I'll give W. Ill the mandatory 3 at home for travel purposes and home cooking, just in case, line is close, I just don't think the game will be close. There is to much at stake for IUFW, like first place in conf. They control their own destiny now that they took care of both teams last week on their tails. Those team are praying that they get upset. And we all know upsets happen all the time. Just last season W Illinois knocked off IUFW at home. I really don't think their will be an overlook.
IUFW with 4 players in DD scoring and they get up and down the court. W. Ill have two players scoring in DD's.
IUFW are 4-1 ats last 5 in this series.
There is a reason why IU-FW are 19-5 ats this season and 11-3 ats away. I don't think they get a whole lot of respect and they just keep winning the close games and their lines reamin reasonable. This one seems to easy, so only betting a (1) on it because it is kind of a very strange line imop.
#813 Montana -3 1/2 -110 (1)
Montana at 17-8 (12-2) and 11-9-2 ats scoring 72.8 ppg giving up 67.9 ppg for a diff of 4.9
Idaho St at 14-12 (9-5) and 15-7 ats scoring 75.1 ppg giving up 75.5 ppg for a diff of -0.4
Diff of 5, 5 1/2, give Idaho St the 3-4 at home. Line is close, your getting the veteran 12-2 conf team who is in the battle for the conf title with Weber who they do have on deck Sat. (little scary) Idaho St have been battling injuries all season. They have been up and down, but actually playing pretty well in conf games. Idaho are 5-0 their last 5 home games and their stats are much better at home.
Why Montana?
Montana are 5-0 last 5 at Idaho. (good)
First place in conf at stake. (no over look)
Montana are hot! 13-2 last 15 games and 6 of those w's on the road!
Montana have 4 players averaging in DD's. (great balance) Led by Breunig at 19.2 ppg
Montana have won 11 straight games in this series. (domination)
So if Idaho St can pull it off and end that run then I guess I lose another one.
Good luck everyone
k:..You said you're retired so I guess someone gotta pay the bills!
