#720 Boston College +9 -110
ND at 9-4 and 4-7 ats scoring 78.1 ppg giving up 68.4 ppg for a diff of 9.7
BC at 7-7 and 3-6 ats scoring 67.2 ppg gving up 66.3 ppg for a diff of 0.9
I have the game lined at -6 so making the play on BC even though all stats fav ND in this game. It's n ot like ND have been a covering machine. They are 4-7 ats and 2-2 on the road ats. BC not killing it either at 3-6 but are 3-3 at home. BC coming off a 17 point loss to Duke, where they really were competitive for awhile. I'm pretty sure that ND is not near Duke in talent this year and BC must know that they do stand a chance in this game. ND has Pitt on deck in just two days.
The last 7 games in this series the average score was ND 77.9 to BC 73.1. The highest line in those 7 games was ND -12 at home. (Game won by ND by 8) My point I'm going on is that although ND may cover this line, it would take a really good outing on the road to do so. This is conf time and it's very dangerous to give to many points to the home team. Most teams just want to get out of town with the W and prepare for their next game.
I just don't feel like this is one of those ND teams that are going to kill you this year.
#727 Cincy +7 bth -115
Cincy at 11-4 and 4-6-1 ats scoring 77.5 ppg giving up 61.9 ppg for a diff of 15.6
SMU at 13-0 and 4-5 ats scoring 82.9 ppg giving up 62.4 ppg for a diff of 20.5
Line is a tad low most likely because SMU had a decent player quit just recently. Jr. G Frazier averaging 11.9 ppg, 4.4 rebs, had 8 starts, left for personal reasons. Article said that he was disgruntled with his role. Coincidently, this was the player that was involved with Brown getting suspended for some one else taking one of his course on line or something like that.
Anyway, any kind of distraction and one that effects your line up and team is a little plus.
Most stats in favor of SMU but are close to vest. Cincy plays SMU tough winning both games last year by 8 and 6 points. Last year they were a 6/2 point dog at SMU and won by 8.
Cincy has played well on the road going 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
Hoping for a dog fight in this one.
#758 LT -3 -110
Old D at 8-6 and 2-8 ats scoring 67.0 ppg giving up 59.4 ppg for a diff of 7.6
LT at 12-2 and 4-2 ats scoring 81.6 ppg giving up 68.2 ppg for a diff of 13.4
I have this line at LT -7 so of course I'm biting at it. They probably caught me to.
LT is leading in almost every stat but points allowed and FT%, although it's close.
LT is undefeated at home and 3-0 ats at home with only losses on the road to Memphis and Mississippi.
Old D is 2-8 ats and 0-5 ats on the road.
Old Dominion is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road (doesn't mean they will be 0-6, but still like how they don't win much on the road)
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home (doesn't mean they will be 6-0, but still like how they have taken care of business at home)
#761 St. Mary's -11 1/2 -110
St Mary's at 13-1 and 11-0 ats scoring 80.0 ppg giving up 57.8 ppg for a diff of 22.2
LM at 7-7 and 8-5 ats scoring 71.9 ppg giving up 73.4 ppg for a diff of -1.5
There is no suckering me in on this game. I'm riding them. They are 11-0 ats. I've written so much about this team already this year that I'm keeping it short this time.
Loyola Marymount is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Mary's
Loyola Marymount is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home
I think it will be very tough for a team like LM that gives up 73.4 ppg to slow down a team like St M that scores 80 a game and shoots 54% from the field.
St M def only allowing 57.8 ppg so they play ball at both ends of the court.
Once again, ride the hot teams, ride the cold teams, and generally you will do very well in the long run. If I lose I lose!
#788 Murray St -7 -110
Ten T at 10-5 and 4-3-1 ats scoring 79.7 ppg giving up 74.0 ppg for a diff of 5.7
Murray St at 7-7 and 5-6 ats scoring 70.4 ppg giving up 68.8 ppg for a diff of 1.6
Some might wonder the 4 point diff and the line of 7 in this game. I wondered so I checked into it further.
Not putting any team down here, just looking at facts. Tenn T has lost on the road to AF (10), NMS (13), Ark (26), Chat (11), and Iowa (22) Pretty safe to say that they haven't done well on the road.
Tenn T wins that have definitely skewed their numbers have been over Piedmont (38), Cincy Clermont (25), Miss Valley St (37), and SIU Ed (23). So no wonder the point diff is so far above water.
How good are they? We can only speculate I guess.
I never want to assume, ass-u-me, anything, but going to bet on Murray St because of their schedule and past success in this series.
Murray St has played a couple of cupcakes to, only two from looking at their schedule. They have also played many decent teams.
They have played Middle Tenn ST, Georgia, Wisc Mil, Pepper, Houston, Evansville, Ill St, S. Ill, Wright St, amd Morehead St. (tested I would think)
Heads Up in this series last 10: Murray St leads 9-1 and are 7-3 ats The average score has been 75-61. The last 4 in this series the point diff has been 20.7 Murray St fav.
Murray won both games last year 83-67 and 92-53.
Now if Tenn T can turn this whole thing around then more power to them and I pay up!
good luck my friends, and bet reasonably, and let's get back on track!
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