#844 Michigan St -7 -110
Indy at 20-5 (10-2) and 13-12 ats scoring 84.1 ppg giving up 68.8 ppg for a diff of 15.3
Mich St at 20-5 (7-5) and 15-9 ats scoring 79.5 ppg giving up 63.6 ppg for a diff of 15.8
Diff about even. Mich St worth 5 at home. I always say IU diff has a lot to do with Crean playing cupcakes and running it up. So line is right imo. Now its just find the winner. IU coming off the big W over Iowa at home. No place like home in the big 10, and many of the other conf for that matter. Michigan coming off back to back road games . They got Michigan at Michigan and lost to Purdue by a point. Then Purdue loses Sat at Michigan. Crazy stuff going on everywhere. Maryland losing at home to Wiscy just proves anything can happen.
Anyway, shooting stats are all close, quite surprisingly Mich St right their with IU on the 3's and a tad higher %. Michigan big edge on the boards and I really think IU's Bryant will be sitting a lot on the bench in foul trouble. Yogi Ferrel will have his hands full with Valentine. IU is streaky, but the streaks are far less often away from Bloomington and those fans. Mich St also has the edge in to's as IU averaging 14 a game and they usually lead to points. Mich St averaging 12 a game.
Mich St are 9-5 ats at home and IU 3-6 away. (like it)
Indiana is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Michigan State (I know they are getting a td spot)
Indiana is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Michigan State (I like this stat even better)
Michigan State is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home (they just don't lose very often at home, although Iowa and Nebraska just got them this year. (scares me some but not enough)
Almost every really decent college basketball team has been going through their little spurts of bad runs. Mich St struggled, Duke struggled, A & M is struggling, Wichita St, on and on, point is you have to forget those bad stretches or we Would run out of teams to bet on if we quit on them all. I like this situation the Spartans are in at home. At 7-5 in conf, and although they are most likely in the dance unless they would go on a major losing streak, they still need to climb up the standings and try to push for a higher seed both in conf tourney and the NCAA tourney. As you know I'm not afraid to bet against my home state teams. I like to win and Mich St gives me the best shot at it at home in this one. And, one more big edge for Mich St, the head coach.
#855 Evansville -4 1/2 -110
Aces at 19-7 (8-5) and 10-10-1 ats scoring 76.2 ppg giving up 66.9 ppg for a diff of 9.3
Loyola C at 12-13 (5-8) and 9-15 ats scoring 64.3 ppg giving up 64.5 ppg for a diff of -0.2
Diff of 9. I give Loyola 3 at home. I have it at -6, experts have it at -4 1/2. I personally think they don't understand the complete situation of this game. Even though Wichita St lost today for their 2nd loss in conf, the battle is now for 2nd place. Aces at 8-5 in conf and only trail Ill St by a game and are tied with S Ill for 3rd. Coming in second place is so important because you won't have to play Wichita St until the championship game of the conf tournament. And this is what the contenders are playing for right now. So their will be no over look against this team that Evansville handed with ease at home.
LC are 4-10 ats at home (just not getting it done like expected this season)
Aces are 5-3-1 ats on the road. (could be better but they are the fav a lot this year in conf play)
Loyola of Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home (home in this one)
Aces shooting a very nice 50% fg and 71.3% from the line. LC shoots higher form the line at 74% (to bad they don't get to the line compared to Evansville)
Check this out:
Aces: FTA: 679 FTM: 484 Evansville has made (50)more ft's than LC have attempted.
LC: FTA: 434 FTM: 321
I know Evansville could get knocked off in this game. Like I said this year is getting even more crazy. If they do, I pay up.
#858 Utah -15 -110
Wash St at 9-15 (1-11) and 10-13 ats scoring 73.5 ppg giving up 76.3 ppg for a diff of -2.8
Utah at 18-7 (7-5) and 9-13-1 ats scoring 78.8 ppg giving up 70.4 ppg for a diff of 8.4
Diff of 11, Utah worth 4 at home. Line is right on the button. Let's gamble! Every stat goes to Utah, rebs, shooting, less to's, get to the ft line more, tough at home, usually smoke Wash St at home. No wonder Wash St 1-22 in conf, they just aren't a very good basketball team and have battled the injury bug all season.
Washington State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah (good)
Washington State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah (better)
On Jan 18, Utah 92-71 at Wash St. (21)
Last 2 games at Utah the margins were: 22 and 18 (this one should be that bad, but the way things are going this year nothing would surprise me)
#860 Florida St pick -110
Miami at 19-4 (8-3) and 13-8-1 ats scoring 78.0 ppg giving up 66.1 ppg for a diff of 11.9
Florida St at 16-8 (6-6) and 9-10-1 ats scoring 78.7 ppg giving up 73.1 ppg for a diff of 5.6
Diff of 6, I give Florida St 4 at home, I thought they would be a live dog and they end up being a dog in tis game. I still played them at a pick. A little revenge ins sore for MF. I remember the last game between these two teams. Florida St coach benched on of his better players and di not tell anyone that he was going to do that until game time. Thank Gog In had MF in that game. The team didn't respond to the situation. I don't know what was going on with that team, or that player, but now at 6-6 on conf play they can't afford any hanky panky with the line up.
MF have been an ats covering team this year at 13-8-1. But at least on the road they are only 4-5 ats and 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road. (cooling down)
Miami is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Florida State (don't win to often at this place)
Getting late on me, I just like the home team in this game in a revenge mode.
#861 Minnesota +21 -110
Minny 6-18 (0-12) and 7-15 ats scoring 69.3 ppg giving up 74.5 ppg for a diff of -5.3
Iowa at 19-5 (10-2) and 13-8 ats scoring 80.5 ppg giving up 68.1 ppg for a diff of 12.4
Diff of 17, Iowa worth 4 to 5 at home imo. Line is right. I must not be right playing a 21 point dog who is 7-15 ats and 2-7 ats on the road. No wonder they are 0-12 in conf. And their was talk at one time that UNLV were interested in little Pittino. Iowa tied for first and coming of a loss to Indy. Iowa could have this spread covered by half time if the coach really turns them loose. I really am counting on Mich St to beat Indy, to break the tie since Maryland went down today, and then I'm thinking Iowa might not be as focused, or I mean not important to kick their ass by 20 or more. Just win. Don't get anyone hurt. let everyone play, work on your sets, and all that jazz.
Meanwhile, you have a 0-12 team that has just been getting their asses kicked all year. Sometimes they have hung around to only lose at the end.
I must have more reasons to play this forsaken team at Iowa.
+21 is the biggest reason along with the above mentioned,
You know I'm a big on trends, although not strong, I still like it,
Iowa is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Minnesota (with the +21 just hoping this trend goes to 1-11-1 ats last 16 games)
The last 10 games these two teams are 5-5 with the average score 68.1 to 67.2.
The last 3 games were decided by 5, 2, 6 points. Minny actually beat them by 5 at Iowa last year.
Iowa is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Minnesota
I will be ready for half time of this game in case I need a out or have a shot at a middle.
Good luck everyone and good night.
