Illinois St @ Drake -1
Ill St at 7-7 and 5-7 ats scoring 66.4 ppg giving up 68.0 diff -1.6
Drake at 5-8 and 5-5 ats scoring 72.2 ppg giving up 70.2 diff of 1.9
I like it, I have the line at Drake -4. Drake at home is worth 3 to me in conf play.
ISU shooting at 41.1 fg%, 61.3% ft, and 32.1 from 3 pt land averaging 6.6 3's a game.
Drake shooting 47.3% fg, 70.4% ft, and 42.8 from 3 pt range averaging 8.2 3's a game.
Those are some big differences in the shooting percentages in favor of the home team.
Drake is loaded with shooters at the guard spots.
Timmer is scoring 17.8 ppg, shooting 53.4 fg, and 80.3 ft, and 48.8 from 3 pt land.
Woodward, a transfer from Penn St, scoring 12.8 ppg, 45% fg, 78 ft%, and 40.0 form 3 pt land
The forwards aren't to shabby either.
Abrahamson (redshirt from Nova) 16.7 ppg, 4.2 rebs, 78 ft, and 40.9 form 3 pt land.
Jenson at 7'0 bringing down 5.8 rebs and shooting 54% fg, and 78.9 ft%
Drake is also 3-1 ats at home and 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Drake is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Illinois State
Illinois State is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Drake
Drake is usually a tough out a hoe in conf play.
ISU opened up conf play with a w at home over Missouri St by 13. The game was closer than the final score indicates.
Drake opened at Wichita St and was spanked by 20.
I just think they will be really inspired at home in this one after that last showing. Most of the students are back as classes start up the 4th.
Oregon -1 @ Oregon St
Oregon at 11-2 and 5-4-1 ats scoring 77.9 ppg giving up 65.5 ppg for a diff of 12.5
Oregon St at 9-2 & 5-5 ats scoring 74.9 ppg giving up 66.5 ppg for a diff of 8.5
Looks right on the money with Oregon St getting some credit for the home court.
I still played Oregon for a few reasons that I really like. One being is that Dylan Ennis (RS transfer from Nova) played for the first time this season last game. He logged about 10 minutes. He was the projected starter at PG before his injury. At Nova numbers were 9.9 ppg, 3.7 rebs, 3.5 assists per game.
Oregon leads the Pac 12 with 8.3 steals per game.
Oregon at 11-2 only losses to UNLV by 11, UNLV shot lights out in that game, and at Boise St by 2. ( a very uninspired effort by Oregon)
Oregon St at 9-2 and losses to Valpo at home by 6 and at Kansas by 15. They gave Kansas a good game in the first half.
But, as we all know this is a huge state rivalry game, and anything can happen, it's a gamble on who you really think has the best team and will come out on top.
Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oregon State. (not much home court advantage in those 5 games)
Oregon State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon. (very important to me)
Oregon State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oregon, (I know that's history, but I'm big on trends and like to ride them)
Oregon State is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oregon. (very important to me)
Oregon St is much better this year and return a load of experience along with newcomers, in witch two of them play a lot and have started games. Of course they have Gary Payton averaging 16.8 ppg, 8.2 rebs for a guard, 5 assists, shooting 54.3 fg%, human at the ft line 65.9% and 34.8 from 3 pt land. The dude logs 34.2 minutes a game. I really think the Oregon constant pressure will wear him down some in this game. He will have to defend and hopefully, maybe, some foul trouble.
Oregon was predicted 18 for a reason and I'm just stupid enough to bet them on the road in this rivalry game. I don't blame anyone if they played the other side on this one.
Denver @ North Dakota St -8 -110
Denver at 8-6 and 6-7 ats scoring 64.9 ppg giving up 63.3 ppg for a diff of 1.6
ND.ST at 10-4 and 3-8 ats scoring 72.6 ppg giving up 64.7 ppg for a diff of 7.9
Right on the diff #s but not giving a lot of home court advantage. (NDS currently riding a 30 game home court winning streak) good enough for 6th in the nation. Now I'm riding that streak. As far as ats goes, I will take my chances.
Denver just lost on the road on new years day 68-59 at South Dakota St. Denver is a very young team and playing back to back road conf games doesn't usually bold well for most teams, let alone a team with 9 freshman and 2 soph's on the roster. They returned one starter. Their leading scorer doesn't even start (he should though if I was coach). They have 9 players who average over 10 minutes a game. They run that dam Princeton offense and are good 3 point shooters.
SDS has nothing better to do than play hoops on this fine Sunday. Why else would you even go to college their. J/K
They returned a veteran team and are playing well. Their ats is bad because they aren't sneaking up on anyone and their lines have been high.
It's their conf opener and they last played a rinky dink team on the 30th.
NDS rank 4th in the nation in fewest turnovers a game at 9.6. They cause their opponents 14.2 a game good enough to rank 15th in the nation on to's margin.
I'll take a chance and play them at home. If I lose I lose.
Good luck everyone, always bet reasonably, and for god sakes don't blame me if you lose, you don't have to play what I do
Ill St at 7-7 and 5-7 ats scoring 66.4 ppg giving up 68.0 diff -1.6
Drake at 5-8 and 5-5 ats scoring 72.2 ppg giving up 70.2 diff of 1.9
I like it, I have the line at Drake -4. Drake at home is worth 3 to me in conf play.
ISU shooting at 41.1 fg%, 61.3% ft, and 32.1 from 3 pt land averaging 6.6 3's a game.
Drake shooting 47.3% fg, 70.4% ft, and 42.8 from 3 pt range averaging 8.2 3's a game.
Those are some big differences in the shooting percentages in favor of the home team.
Drake is loaded with shooters at the guard spots.
Timmer is scoring 17.8 ppg, shooting 53.4 fg, and 80.3 ft, and 48.8 from 3 pt land.
Woodward, a transfer from Penn St, scoring 12.8 ppg, 45% fg, 78 ft%, and 40.0 form 3 pt land
The forwards aren't to shabby either.
Abrahamson (redshirt from Nova) 16.7 ppg, 4.2 rebs, 78 ft, and 40.9 form 3 pt land.
Jenson at 7'0 bringing down 5.8 rebs and shooting 54% fg, and 78.9 ft%
Drake is also 3-1 ats at home and 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Drake is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Illinois State
Illinois State is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Drake
Drake is usually a tough out a hoe in conf play.
ISU opened up conf play with a w at home over Missouri St by 13. The game was closer than the final score indicates.
Drake opened at Wichita St and was spanked by 20.
I just think they will be really inspired at home in this one after that last showing. Most of the students are back as classes start up the 4th.
Oregon -1 @ Oregon St
Oregon at 11-2 and 5-4-1 ats scoring 77.9 ppg giving up 65.5 ppg for a diff of 12.5
Oregon St at 9-2 & 5-5 ats scoring 74.9 ppg giving up 66.5 ppg for a diff of 8.5
Looks right on the money with Oregon St getting some credit for the home court.
I still played Oregon for a few reasons that I really like. One being is that Dylan Ennis (RS transfer from Nova) played for the first time this season last game. He logged about 10 minutes. He was the projected starter at PG before his injury. At Nova numbers were 9.9 ppg, 3.7 rebs, 3.5 assists per game.
Oregon leads the Pac 12 with 8.3 steals per game.
Oregon at 11-2 only losses to UNLV by 11, UNLV shot lights out in that game, and at Boise St by 2. ( a very uninspired effort by Oregon)
Oregon St at 9-2 and losses to Valpo at home by 6 and at Kansas by 15. They gave Kansas a good game in the first half.
But, as we all know this is a huge state rivalry game, and anything can happen, it's a gamble on who you really think has the best team and will come out on top.
Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oregon State. (not much home court advantage in those 5 games)
Oregon State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon. (very important to me)
Oregon State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oregon, (I know that's history, but I'm big on trends and like to ride them)
Oregon State is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oregon. (very important to me)
Oregon St is much better this year and return a load of experience along with newcomers, in witch two of them play a lot and have started games. Of course they have Gary Payton averaging 16.8 ppg, 8.2 rebs for a guard, 5 assists, shooting 54.3 fg%, human at the ft line 65.9% and 34.8 from 3 pt land. The dude logs 34.2 minutes a game. I really think the Oregon constant pressure will wear him down some in this game. He will have to defend and hopefully, maybe, some foul trouble.
Oregon was predicted 18 for a reason and I'm just stupid enough to bet them on the road in this rivalry game. I don't blame anyone if they played the other side on this one.
Denver @ North Dakota St -8 -110
Denver at 8-6 and 6-7 ats scoring 64.9 ppg giving up 63.3 ppg for a diff of 1.6
ND.ST at 10-4 and 3-8 ats scoring 72.6 ppg giving up 64.7 ppg for a diff of 7.9
Right on the diff #s but not giving a lot of home court advantage. (NDS currently riding a 30 game home court winning streak) good enough for 6th in the nation. Now I'm riding that streak. As far as ats goes, I will take my chances.
Denver just lost on the road on new years day 68-59 at South Dakota St. Denver is a very young team and playing back to back road conf games doesn't usually bold well for most teams, let alone a team with 9 freshman and 2 soph's on the roster. They returned one starter. Their leading scorer doesn't even start (he should though if I was coach). They have 9 players who average over 10 minutes a game. They run that dam Princeton offense and are good 3 point shooters.
SDS has nothing better to do than play hoops on this fine Sunday. Why else would you even go to college their. J/K
They returned a veteran team and are playing well. Their ats is bad because they aren't sneaking up on anyone and their lines have been high.
It's their conf opener and they last played a rinky dink team on the 30th.
NDS rank 4th in the nation in fewest turnovers a game at 9.6. They cause their opponents 14.2 a game good enough to rank 15th in the nation on to's margin.
I'll take a chance and play them at home. If I lose I lose.
Good luck everyone, always bet reasonably, and for god sakes don't blame me if you lose, you don't have to play what I do
United just wanted to say thank you for all your hard work and that I'm glad your back. Many of us could learn a thing or two from you whether it's about capping or quitting capping to spend time with family. I've always enjoyed reading your opinions on games and have tailed you from the distance many many times over the last few years. Thanks again! I only hope I can return the favor for you in the future. Best of luck tomorrow! Haven't looked at the games yet as I've been puking from the Oregon fb game lol!
I really appreciate that. When I was losing in the NFL I never got cheap shots. It's kind of funny, but yet at the same time it makes me wonder why I even post sometimes.
Anyway, BAS took care of it, and I guess one has to expect those things from time to time, especially on a forum where anyone can sign up and type their mind.
good luck
First of all welcome back United u were missed... A LOT...
Great picks for sunday i love it especially when someone is selective about their bets... I personally think there's an optimum number of plays that should be done at a time... Not any more not any less as too many causes confusion and locks a lot of cash and too little reduces the amount as well as the chance of a profit... Anyway great picks once again... Especially love the chances of Drake and NDS... Not too sure about Oregon game though will wait for the completion of first half and place an in play bet may be.... Thanks a lot mate... cheersgif
