This was tough for me as I had to eliminate a lot of games that I liked. If you have any questions I did get through almost all of the games for St. I'll be in and out tomorrow but will do my best to reply back.
#524 VCU -9 -110
GW at 17-5 (6-3) and 8-10-1 ats scoring 76.0 ppg giving up 68.5 ppg for a diff of 7.5
VCU at 17-5 (9-0) and 13-4 ats scoring 78.6 ppg giving up 67.0 ppg for a diff of 11.6
Diff of 4, I value VCU at 4 at home, so 8-9 is pretty accurate for the game.
A couple of things I really like is VCU is 13-7 ats and 7-2 ats at home. GW are 2-5 ats away,
VCU riding a 12 game winning streak. Last game Johnson hit 8 (3's) and finished with 30. He has been on fire.
VCU a perfect 9-0 in conf . Dayton has only one loss and on their trail if they slip up. That will be tough though, as VCU has won 14 straight conf games and are very stingy at home on def.
George Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road (good)
Virginia Commonwealth is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing George Washington (good)
VCU are 7-1 straight up and 7-1 ats last 8 in this series with a average score of 77.6 to 63.8.
#563 N. Iowa -6 -110
N. Iowa at 13-11 (5-6) and 11-12 ats scoring 69.3 ppg giving up 65.3 ppg for a diff of 4.0
Drake at 6-17 (1-10) and 7-13 ats scoring 69.0 ppg giving up 72.0 ppg for a diff of -3.0
Diff of 7, I give Drake the mandatory 3 at home, line should be -10 imo. I will run with N. Iowa as they have really started to play like expected to play all season. Drake is just bad. they are 7-13 ats and only 3-6 ats at home. N. Iowa not exactly tearing it up on the road either. Probably why the line is down some from what I expected.
Northern Iowa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road (I bet them?)
Northern Iowa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road ( I bet them?)
Now you see why.
Drake is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
Drake is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
Drake is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Drake is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
N. Iowa lead in all shooting stats, less to's, but Drake does have the reb edge in tbis match-up.
I personally watched Drake play at ISU the other night. ISU had two players battling the flu and Drake probably played as well as they could and still lost by 7.
N Iowa one the first meeting a couple of weeks ago at home by a score of 77-44. I really doubt that Drake can turn it around and cover this game. (if they do I pay up)
N. Iowa are 8-2 and 7-3 ats last 10 in this series with a average score of 72.7 to 58.4. (playing N. Iowa in tis one)
#598 Maryland -4 -115
Purdue at 19-4 ( 7-3) and 12-7 ats scoring 79.0 ppg giving up 62.6 ppg for a diff of 16.4
Maryland at 20-3 ( 9-2) and 11-11-1 ats scoring 76.5 ppg giving up 64.2 ppg for a diff of 12.3
A diff of 4, Maryland worth at least 4 at home in conf play, line is still right because of Purdue beating up on people in non conf, plays the 50 point w over Rutgers.
Stats are close, except Purdue has the stronger rebounding stats. I think Maryland has some good post players that will battle the Purdue bigs.
Maryland won the only matchup in this series last year at Purdue by 69-60. A lot fo the same players still around for both teams in this one.
Iowa beat the Boilers both games this year. Maryland took care of Iowa at home. I just like the home team that was predicted to win this conf at the beginning and many picked them to be a #1 seed at the beginning of then year.
#590 Kentucky -7 1/2 -110
Florida at 15-7 (6-3) and 12-7-1 ats scoring 75.0 ppg giving up 65.8 ppg for a diff of 9.2
Kentucky at 16-6 (6-3) and 9-13 ats scoring 78.1 ppg giving up 68.3 ppg for a diff of 9.9
Records are close, tied for 2nd in conf play, diff close, I value Kentucky at 5 at home. Line opened up at 6, now up to 7 1/2. Could be to many to spot a team like Florida. I'm still playing them. Kentucky have lost back to back games and that doesn't happen often. I'm not writing them off yet, especially at home against rival Florida. Besides, losing on the road at Kansas and Tenn that happens to a lot of teams.
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road (good)
Florida is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kentucky (good)
Florida is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kentucky Real good)
Kentucky have won the last 3 in this series by 15, 17, and 7 points.
Kentucky and Florida both are only 1 game behind A & M.
I'm taking the wildcats at home in a double bounce back mode.
#718 NDS -3 -110
IU-FW at 19-6 (8-2) and 17-3 ats scoring 80.4 ppg giving up 75.9 ppg for a diff of 4.5
ND.ST at 15-8 (5-4) and 7-13 ats scoring 71.7 ppg giving up 65.3 ppg for a diff of 6.5
Diff of 2, I give them a +3 at home. Could be 5 but you have a team that is an incredible 17-3 ats and 11-2 ats away. what the hell am I doing playing against this team from my home state. They have made me some green this season. To make matters worse they have the edge in almost all of the stats.
IUPU Fort Wayne are 4-6 straight up and 9-1 ats last 10 in this series with the average score of 66.7 to 68.6.
Okay so why NDS when everything leads to IUPU?
Here's why: NDS have won the last in this series at home by 4, 3, 11, 12, and 16 points. But because of giving to many points they failed to cover the spread. They were giving 5 1/2, 8, 13, 15, and 11.
It's different this time around. The line is attainable. Historically, this has been a tough trip for them to make. They had a really tough game at SD on Thursday. Just ask IUPUI (the other Indiana school in tis conf about the longest trip on the two Indiana teams schedule.
I guess will see what happens and I can't blame anyone for not betting IUPF in this one. I think I will get away with it, or at least I'm betting on it.
#675 Indiana -8 -110
Indiana at 19-4 (9-1) and 12-11 ats scoring 85.0 ppg giving up 68.5 ppg for a diff of 16.5
Penn St at 11-12 (2-8) and 10-11-1 ats scoring 65.3 ppg giving up 69.1 ppg for a diff of -3.9
Diff of 20, Penn St the automatic 3 at home, 17, no way, IU pours it on whenever possible to have that big diff with cupcake teams in n on Conf game,
All that aside this appears to be a mismatch on paper and on the court. Stranger things have happened than Penn St pulling it off, or in this case keeping it within the number.
Indy leads in every stat, doubles Penn St in 3's, outscores them by 20 ppg, and even gives up one less point a game. I'm not basing this play off the Michigan game, (although that was pretty dam impressive and I lost) basing it more on Penn St play. They are a young team. They have been taking their lumps. I just hope IU doesn't take this game for granted. They are tied for 1st place in conf with Iowa. The y paly Iowa in 5 days. I would think they would want to head into that game with first place on the line.
Be warned: Last 3 games in thus series have been decided by 3, 1, and 3 points, the 1 point game Penn St beat IU at IU.
#620 Wyoming -1
Utah St at 11-10 (3-7) and 7-11 ats scoring 72.2 ppg giving up 71.1 ppg for a diff of 1.2
Wyoming at 11-13 (4-7) and 10-9-1 ats scoring 70.6 ppg for a diff of 70.0 ppg for a diff of 0.6
No respect here with this line as I have it at 3-4. Wyoming is 18-7 straight up in its last 25 games at home and has been a tough out for Utah St. Just like Utah St has been a tough out when at home for Wyoming. The teams are 3-3 at home the last 6 in the series. Wyoming margins of victory at home by 2, 23, and 17, in this series. I actually saw Wyoming play live early in the year when they played a game at ISU. I liked the way they played hard on def and they were very good ft shooters. I see that they are hitting 72.8% from the line and shooting 36.3% from 3 pt land averaging 9.3 a game. Utah St shooting 68.5% ft, and 35.9 from 3 pt land averaging 5.8 a game.
Worth a try for me at basically a pick it at home with a lot of edges in their favor.
Good luck everyone
#524 VCU -9 -110
GW at 17-5 (6-3) and 8-10-1 ats scoring 76.0 ppg giving up 68.5 ppg for a diff of 7.5
VCU at 17-5 (9-0) and 13-4 ats scoring 78.6 ppg giving up 67.0 ppg for a diff of 11.6
Diff of 4, I value VCU at 4 at home, so 8-9 is pretty accurate for the game.
A couple of things I really like is VCU is 13-7 ats and 7-2 ats at home. GW are 2-5 ats away,
VCU riding a 12 game winning streak. Last game Johnson hit 8 (3's) and finished with 30. He has been on fire.
VCU a perfect 9-0 in conf . Dayton has only one loss and on their trail if they slip up. That will be tough though, as VCU has won 14 straight conf games and are very stingy at home on def.
George Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road (good)
Virginia Commonwealth is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing George Washington (good)
VCU are 7-1 straight up and 7-1 ats last 8 in this series with a average score of 77.6 to 63.8.
#563 N. Iowa -6 -110
N. Iowa at 13-11 (5-6) and 11-12 ats scoring 69.3 ppg giving up 65.3 ppg for a diff of 4.0
Drake at 6-17 (1-10) and 7-13 ats scoring 69.0 ppg giving up 72.0 ppg for a diff of -3.0
Diff of 7, I give Drake the mandatory 3 at home, line should be -10 imo. I will run with N. Iowa as they have really started to play like expected to play all season. Drake is just bad. they are 7-13 ats and only 3-6 ats at home. N. Iowa not exactly tearing it up on the road either. Probably why the line is down some from what I expected.
Northern Iowa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road (I bet them?)
Northern Iowa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road ( I bet them?)
Now you see why.
Drake is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
Drake is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
Drake is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Drake is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
N. Iowa lead in all shooting stats, less to's, but Drake does have the reb edge in tbis match-up.
I personally watched Drake play at ISU the other night. ISU had two players battling the flu and Drake probably played as well as they could and still lost by 7.
N Iowa one the first meeting a couple of weeks ago at home by a score of 77-44. I really doubt that Drake can turn it around and cover this game. (if they do I pay up)
N. Iowa are 8-2 and 7-3 ats last 10 in this series with a average score of 72.7 to 58.4. (playing N. Iowa in tis one)
#598 Maryland -4 -115
Purdue at 19-4 ( 7-3) and 12-7 ats scoring 79.0 ppg giving up 62.6 ppg for a diff of 16.4
Maryland at 20-3 ( 9-2) and 11-11-1 ats scoring 76.5 ppg giving up 64.2 ppg for a diff of 12.3
A diff of 4, Maryland worth at least 4 at home in conf play, line is still right because of Purdue beating up on people in non conf, plays the 50 point w over Rutgers.
Stats are close, except Purdue has the stronger rebounding stats. I think Maryland has some good post players that will battle the Purdue bigs.
Maryland won the only matchup in this series last year at Purdue by 69-60. A lot fo the same players still around for both teams in this one.
Iowa beat the Boilers both games this year. Maryland took care of Iowa at home. I just like the home team that was predicted to win this conf at the beginning and many picked them to be a #1 seed at the beginning of then year.
#590 Kentucky -7 1/2 -110
Florida at 15-7 (6-3) and 12-7-1 ats scoring 75.0 ppg giving up 65.8 ppg for a diff of 9.2
Kentucky at 16-6 (6-3) and 9-13 ats scoring 78.1 ppg giving up 68.3 ppg for a diff of 9.9
Records are close, tied for 2nd in conf play, diff close, I value Kentucky at 5 at home. Line opened up at 6, now up to 7 1/2. Could be to many to spot a team like Florida. I'm still playing them. Kentucky have lost back to back games and that doesn't happen often. I'm not writing them off yet, especially at home against rival Florida. Besides, losing on the road at Kansas and Tenn that happens to a lot of teams.
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road (good)
Florida is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kentucky (good)
Florida is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kentucky Real good)
Kentucky have won the last 3 in this series by 15, 17, and 7 points.
Kentucky and Florida both are only 1 game behind A & M.
I'm taking the wildcats at home in a double bounce back mode.
#718 NDS -3 -110
IU-FW at 19-6 (8-2) and 17-3 ats scoring 80.4 ppg giving up 75.9 ppg for a diff of 4.5
ND.ST at 15-8 (5-4) and 7-13 ats scoring 71.7 ppg giving up 65.3 ppg for a diff of 6.5
Diff of 2, I give them a +3 at home. Could be 5 but you have a team that is an incredible 17-3 ats and 11-2 ats away. what the hell am I doing playing against this team from my home state. They have made me some green this season. To make matters worse they have the edge in almost all of the stats.
IUPU Fort Wayne are 4-6 straight up and 9-1 ats last 10 in this series with the average score of 66.7 to 68.6.
Okay so why NDS when everything leads to IUPU?
Here's why: NDS have won the last in this series at home by 4, 3, 11, 12, and 16 points. But because of giving to many points they failed to cover the spread. They were giving 5 1/2, 8, 13, 15, and 11.
It's different this time around. The line is attainable. Historically, this has been a tough trip for them to make. They had a really tough game at SD on Thursday. Just ask IUPUI (the other Indiana school in tis conf about the longest trip on the two Indiana teams schedule.
I guess will see what happens and I can't blame anyone for not betting IUPF in this one. I think I will get away with it, or at least I'm betting on it.
#675 Indiana -8 -110
Indiana at 19-4 (9-1) and 12-11 ats scoring 85.0 ppg giving up 68.5 ppg for a diff of 16.5
Penn St at 11-12 (2-8) and 10-11-1 ats scoring 65.3 ppg giving up 69.1 ppg for a diff of -3.9
Diff of 20, Penn St the automatic 3 at home, 17, no way, IU pours it on whenever possible to have that big diff with cupcake teams in n on Conf game,
All that aside this appears to be a mismatch on paper and on the court. Stranger things have happened than Penn St pulling it off, or in this case keeping it within the number.
Indy leads in every stat, doubles Penn St in 3's, outscores them by 20 ppg, and even gives up one less point a game. I'm not basing this play off the Michigan game, (although that was pretty dam impressive and I lost) basing it more on Penn St play. They are a young team. They have been taking their lumps. I just hope IU doesn't take this game for granted. They are tied for 1st place in conf with Iowa. The y paly Iowa in 5 days. I would think they would want to head into that game with first place on the line.
Be warned: Last 3 games in thus series have been decided by 3, 1, and 3 points, the 1 point game Penn St beat IU at IU.
#620 Wyoming -1
Utah St at 11-10 (3-7) and 7-11 ats scoring 72.2 ppg giving up 71.1 ppg for a diff of 1.2
Wyoming at 11-13 (4-7) and 10-9-1 ats scoring 70.6 ppg for a diff of 70.0 ppg for a diff of 0.6
No respect here with this line as I have it at 3-4. Wyoming is 18-7 straight up in its last 25 games at home and has been a tough out for Utah St. Just like Utah St has been a tough out when at home for Wyoming. The teams are 3-3 at home the last 6 in the series. Wyoming margins of victory at home by 2, 23, and 17, in this series. I actually saw Wyoming play live early in the year when they played a game at ISU. I liked the way they played hard on def and they were very good ft shooters. I see that they are hitting 72.8% from the line and shooting 36.3% from 3 pt land averaging 9.3 a game. Utah St shooting 68.5% ft, and 35.9 from 3 pt land averaging 5.8 a game.
Worth a try for me at basically a pick it at home with a lot of edges in their favor.
Good luck everyone
I hope everyone had a + night
recap: 6-3 +2.60
overall: 45.90
1: 236-207 +32.45
2: 30-21 +13.45
#524 VCU -9 -110 L
#563 N. Iowa -6 -110 W
#598 Maryland -4 -115 W
#590 Kentucky -7 1/2 -110 W
#718 NDS -3 -110 W
#675 Indiana -8 -110 L
#620 Wyoming -1 W
add:
#646 Penn -1 -115 W
#659 ISU -11 bth -120 L
recap: 6-3 +2.60
overall: 45.90
1: 236-207 +32.45
2: 30-21 +13.45
#524 VCU -9 -110 L
#563 N. Iowa -6 -110 W
#598 Maryland -4 -115 W
#590 Kentucky -7 1/2 -110 W
#718 NDS -3 -110 W
#675 Indiana -8 -110 L
#620 Wyoming -1 W
add:
#646 Penn -1 -115 W
#659 ISU -11 bth -120 L
