NCAA (Monday)

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Sunday : 3-3 +.70

1 unit: 197-176 +3.45
2 unit: 109-76 +51.50
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 307-253 +54.65

Just played these. Starting on reasons right after this post. Will write up the (2) and then the (1) until I get tired and then will finish tomorrow if I don't get done tonight.


716 Duke -14 1/2 -110 (1)
722 Wiscy -2 1/2 -110 (1)
723 E Tenn St -18 1/2 -110 (1)


726 Wofford -10 1/2 -110 (2)
 

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Wofford (2)

WC at 9-12 and 8-8-1 ats and 2-9 away and 4-4 conf scoring 68.1 ppg giving up 75.8 for diff of -7.7
Woff at 15-6 and 8-7 ats and 10-2 home and 6-2 conf scoring 77.4 ppg giving up 70.1 for a diff of 7.3

Diff of 15 and Woff worth 3 at home so all games line could be higher.

Home/Away Diff of 24.4 (like it a lot)

WC scoring 64.7 ppg giving up 84.5 diff of -19.8
Woff scoring 75.2 ppg giving up 70.6 diff of 4.6

Wofford are ranked 99 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 46.0% fg, 77.7% ft and 41.7% from 3 pt land. (big advantage)
WC are ranked 339 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 39.2% fg, 67.5% ft and 33.0% from 3 pt land.

even gets better on the: Home/Away shooting numbers

WC away shooting 37% fg, 67.8% ft, and 30.3 from 3 pt land
Woff home shooting 45.8% fg, 79.9% ft, and 41.2 from 3 pt land

WC giving up 84.5 ppg on the road. (I like it)

Favorite is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. (Woff the fav, like it at home)

Woff won last year at home 84-56 (28)

WC have lost away conf games by 100-66, 66-50, 85-71 to Furman, ETST, Samford, (will take my chances with Wofford adding to the list)

Wofford for a (2) If I lose I lose


rest tomorrow, going to therapy in the A.M so sometime tomorrow
 

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Duke (1)

Duke coming off the home loss assured me that I would be looking at their next game, and it does happen to be at home which is even better imo.
The line is higher than it should be, to be expected, but the loss of Notre Dame will be hard for them to compensate for. We all lnpw Colson has been out for awhile now, (21.9 ppg and 10 rebs,) now add Farrell again, (34.9 minutes, 15.7 ppg and 5,3 assists) and I almost bet you ND to's will be over their season average of 10. Add 2 straight ND w's at Duke and if that doesn't give coach K and Grayson fired up then I don't know what will.
I honestly think Duke will smoke them, but ND has a history of keeping games like this close, so only a (1) for me.

Wiscy (1)

Neb at 16-8 and 16-6 ats and 2-6 away and 7-4 in conf scoring 73.3 ppg giving up 69.2 for a diff of 4.1
Wiscy at 10-12 and 8-12-1 ats and 9-3 home and 3-6 in conf scoring 68.0 ppg giving up 66.3 diff of 1.7


Diff of 2.4 in fav of Neb, Wiscy worth 4-5 at home, so line is about spot on with season numbers

I hate ot go against Neb as they are having a really good season and 16-6 ats is tough to bet against and a dog also, just can't be that easy can it?

Home/Away strongly fav Wiscy,as all b ut one of their wins have been at home this season.

Having trouble with the computer saying RX not responding right now, so will head to therapy and finish later
 

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Wiscy (1)

Neb at 16-8 and 16-6 ats and 2-6 away and 7-4 in conf scoring 73.3 ppg giving up 69.2 for a diff of 4.1
Wiscy at 10-12 and 8-12-1 ats and 9-3 home and 3-6 in conf scoring 68.0 ppg giving up 66.3 diff of 1.7


Diff of 2.4 in fav of Neb, Wiscy worth 4-5 at home, so line is about spot on with season numbers

I hate to go against Neb as they are having a really good season and 16-6 ats is tough to bet against and a dog also, just can't be that easy can it?

Home/Away strongly fav Wiscy,as all but one of their wins have been at home this season.

Neb Away shooting: scoring: 62.9 ppg, 36.5% fg, 33.3 from 3 pt land, and 74% ft
Wiscy home shooting:scoring: 75.7 ppg, 49.8% fg, 40% from 3 pt land, and 70.5% ft, (stronger in everything but FT % )

WIscy D much stingier at home only giving up 64.9 ppg compared to Neb at 70.4

Wiscy has always been a tough place on the away teams.
This is not a veteran Wiscy team but they have played together enough now and should still be able to feed off the students at home where Wiscy is 9-3 and Neb stands 2-6 away.

Home team in this series have won 7 out of last 10 and covered the spread at 6-2-1. (like it)


East Tenn St (1)


ETS at 18-4 and 13-4-1 ats and 8-3 away and 9-0 in conf scoring 76.9 ppg giving up 65.0 ppg diff of 11.9
Cit at 7-13 and 5-7-1 ats and 5-4 home and 2-6 in conf scoring 85.0 ppg giving up 91.0 ppg for diff of -6

Diff of 18 and I'll give Citadel the minimum 3 at home, so line a tad high including all games.

Citadel are ranked 313 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 41.0% fg, 65.6% ft and 32.9% from 3 pt land. (bad, they do take a lot of shots and 3 pointers)

ETS are ranked 28 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 48.3% fg, 71.6% ft and 36.1% from 3 pt land. (hope their hitting tonight)


Some reasons why I like ETS:

13-4-1 ats (nice team to ride so far this season)


ETSU are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. (road doesn't seem to be slowing them down)
ETSU are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Southern. (hardly any team in this sconf is slowing them down)

Shows me that both the coach and team are doing a good job at maintaining focus: A goal of (9-0) staying undefeated in conf and not underestimating teams are what this team has been doing so far.

Citadel at 5-4 at home but only 5-12-2 ats last 19 home games. (tells me not much of a home court advantage or just mainly piss poor def)

Both games last year won by ETS: 90-69 (21) home and 115-71 (44) at Citadel

Worth the bet for me at a (1)


I have lean on the K/KS game. Just waiting to see how the line is about a hour before game time.

Good luck everyone

good luck everyone


 

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thanks Stevie, FTP, and Stock,

good news, released from the Dr. and therapy today, they said I can do it on my own now and should be ready to golf In April,
 

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thanks Stevie, FTP, and Stock,

good news, released from the Dr. and therapy today, they said I can do it on my own now and should be ready to golf In April,

im looking at golf about then also. Been getting Sinvisc injections in knees , holding out knee replacements as long as I can
 

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im looking at golf about then also. Been getting Sinvisc injections in knees , holding out knee replacements as long as I can

I just had the left one replaced about 3 years ago. Best move I ever made! I was getting the shots which worked for awhile and then they just didn;t last as long. Now the knee feels great, and I can go up and down stairs, without favoring the bannister. It's worth it my friend!
 

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Thanks and good luck tonight....
 

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716 Duke -14 1/2 -110 (1)
722 Wiscy -2 1/2 -110 (1)
723 E Tenn St -18 1/2 -110 (1)


726 Wofford -10 1/2 -110 (2)

2nd half: Wofford -6 1/2 (1)
 

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Wofford had some chances, just could get over the double digit hump
 

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recap: 2-3 -2.40


1 unit: 199-178 +3.25
2 unit: 109-77 +49.30
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 309-256 +52.25

716 Duke -14 1/2 -110 (1) W
722 Wiscy -2 1/2 -110 (1) L
723 E Tenn St -18 1/2 -110 (1) L


726 Wofford -10 1/2 -110 (2) L

2nd half: Wofford -6 1/2 (1) W
 

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