NCAA (Monday)

[United]

yesterday: 1-0 +2.00

1 unit: 100-93 -2.40
2 unit: 57-31 +45.50

overall: 157-124 +43.10

Just finished getting through tomorrow, played these, be careful strange time and strange results or at least scores this weekend.

will try and give some reasons tomorrow on the (2) games

726 Marquette -18 -110 (2)
730 Creighton -10 -110 (2)
746 Indiana -12 -110 (2)

can't risk the (2) on any of these but do think 2 out of 3 are a good possibility, look for possible 1st and 2nd half plays

732 Zags -27 -110 (1) had to after their last performance, plus IUPUI struggling and especially on the road
738 Kansas -30 -110 (1) lucky to get the Nebraska game, could beat this team by a bunch if coach is not pissed at regulars
756 Mich St -33 -110 (1) Poor showing against Oak and this team needs to get it back together, they may Baptize, Houston

 

[Fadetheplays]

Bol United. Thx. Great call on Sunday

 

[United]

Marquette -18 (2)

N. Ilinois at 6-4 and 3-3 ats scoring 77.5 ppg and giving up 71.7 ppg for a diff of 5.8
Marquette at 7-3 and 4-5 ats scoring 82.5 ppg and giving up 76.1 ppg for a diff of 6.4

Diff of 1/2 to 1, Marquette worth 4 at home, line suggests 5, but here it is at 18. It appears a lot of value to take N. Ill and the generous points. And then I looked at things a closer. Like schedules: NIU playing a very weak schedule including cupcakes like St Francis, Rockford, and Chicago st, Central Connecticut, which really have their ppg out of whack which makes their diff a lot worse without those 4 included. So that's 4 of their w's and then Greenbay and Milw are down this year. Heck their toughest game was against Iowa St who they lost by 14 to and Iowa St is in a rebuilding mode.

Marquette solidly tested playing at Wiscy (82-63) last game 9 days ago. (anxious, coach is anxious), have plyed Georgia, LSU, Purdue, VCU, Wichits St)

I think they stand a good chance at rolling NIU. Dante Thorpe sat out last game for NIU with injury and is questionable for this game. He scores 11.2 ppg and shoots 78% from the ft line and 50% from 3 pt land, he will be missed if out for sure.

On the other hand: Marquette gets center Harry Froling eligible for the first time this season in the lineup in time for Monday's home game.
Froling, a 6-11 Australia native and SMU transfer who was forced to sit out Marquette's first 10 games, is expected to provide a significant frontcourt presence after transferring from SMU.

Now they will be even stronger with another post player. (like it)

really like this read:

ABOUT MARQUETTE (7-3): Second-year guard Markus Howard has been the driving force behind the Golden Eagles' offense, leading the Big East and ranking 16th in the nation in scoring (22.5 ppg); he has averaged nearly 30 points over his previous four games while knocking down an incredible 25 3-pointers over that span. Backcourt mate Andrew Rowsey is close behind at 21.8 points and has also been prolific from beyond the arc, making at least three 3-pointers in each of his previous four contests. Rebounding has been a major concern for Marquette, which averages just 31.3 boards per game (32nd out of 351 Division I teams).

Marquette shoots 79.7 percent from the free-throw line, tied for the sixth-best rate in the nation. (like those free points from free throws)

Northern Illinois averages just 5.9 made 3-pointers per game, ranking outside the top 300 nationally. (like it, especially when spotting so many)

So you see there really is a big difference in the difference for this game, big enough for me to gamble with a (2)


it's late, will get the other two games up tomorrow, or later tomorrow

 

[BuckitDude]

Great capping United. Gl today. Appreciate the work

 

[United]

Creighton 10 (2)

UTA at 8-3 and 5-3 ats and 2-2 away scoring 78.5 ppg giving up 69.2 ppg for a diff of 9.3
Creighton at 8-2 and 6-3 ats and 6-0 at home scoring 90.2 ppg giving up 71.6 ppg for a diff of 18.6 ppg

Getting a diff of 9.3 and Creighton worth the full 5 at home when students around, so let's say 3 since most have headed home, so could be anywhere from 13-15. But Creighton stats are even more in favor when they are home coring 96.2 and giving up 63.8 (so I have Creighton line set at 15-18)

UTA is tough, make no mistake about it. They only have 3 losses at Bama 77-76, at N. Iowa 62-58, and home to Florida Gulf Coast 85-78.
None of those teams play the style of ball as Creighton does, with the free rein to launch at anytime.

UTA led by Hervey: Plays 32.6 minute a game, scoring 23.6 ppg, 9 rebs, and shoots 83.7% ft
UTA led by Neil: Plays 33.7 minutes a game. scores 13.8 ppg, and dishes out 9 assists a game, shoots 89.7 ft% (listed ? and missed the last game 2 days ago.) Looked everywhere and can't find out if he;s in or not or what his injury is as it says undisclosed) I capped this game with him playing.

Point is: Those two guys are going to get tired at this pace, and with more possessions and running up and down the court, and playing more def they could get in foul trouble or start missing more shots.

Creighton top 3 players: have always been able to be kept fresh and rested due to great bench (Love it)

Foster averaging 29.6 minutes, scoring 18.6 ppg
Thomas averaging 27 minutes, scoring 15.7 ppg
Krampelc averaging 24 minutes. scoring 12.4 ppg

Creighton really tested playing NW, UCLA, Gonzaga, and Baylor. Lost to the Zags but final margin nit indicative of how close the game was, and lost to Baylor by 6 and that was with a long drought and with Baylor controlling tempo at home.






Status/Updated

Notes

Erick Neal G Ques Mon - Undisclosed - 12/17/17 Neal is dealing with an unspecified injury and it is unknown if he will play against Creighton on Monday.

(I just read where he missed the game due to personal reasons, NOT INJURY, still questionable, still assuming he will play)


Creighton's 902 points through 10 games is second-most in program history, trailing only the 915 after 10 games last season.


So fully aware that Neil may play in this game, I still like my chances with Creighton at home. Game may hang close but a Creighton spurt or two is all that it takes. I like my chances with the home team.

 

[United]

Indiana -12 (2)

IUPF at 7-5 and 2-6 ats and 1-5 away scoring 82.8 ppg giving up 74.9 ppg for a diff of 7.9
Indiana at 6- and 4-7 ats and 5-2 home scoring 74.7 ppg giving up 73.9 ppg for a diff of .8

Diff of 7 in favor of FW, IU worth 5 at home when students present, edge goes down to 3 when not,
so line suggests FW a 2-3 point fav, !!! Once again things can be deceiving because of scheduling.
SOme of FW wins over Defiance, Deleware St, Kokomo, SIUED, Stetson, UIC and Detroit Mercy,
Not taking anything away from them because they are well coached and play a hard style of hoops.

IU have also played cupcakes like they always do and old coach Crean was nice to bet on against big spreads. (watch out for him when he resurfaces next season)

About Indiana: Local point of view (mine)

Opened up with a home loss to Ind St 90-69 (I liked it as a ISU grad, along with wife and son, season ticket holders) but that was a farce and if they played tomorrow I'd take IU to win. ISU shot records from 3 pt land where they couldn't miss.
Miller trying to incorporate his style of play.


IU have away losses to Seton Hall 84-68, at Michigan 69-55, at Louisville 71-62 where they led at half, and home loss to Duke where they were right there before losing 91-81.
And the latest a 80-77 win over Notre Dame on a (N) court in the state.

SO this isn't the same team that lost to ISU way back on Nov 10.

They have all adjusted to Miller's style and they even play Def this year much better than last year.
Players have learned or adjusted to their roles. The rotation is set with the problem maker already transferred out.

Hartman has improved his minutes and is up 6.7 ppg and 3.2 rebs, 81% ft, and 38.1% 3 pt land,

Johnson hit 5 from downtown last game
Morgan a season high 34 against ND,

they have all improved.

Now my biggest reason for this play:

Last years score at FW: 71-68 W for FW in OT!!!!! (boy did they have to live with that) The year before at IU score was 90-65!!!, FW avenged that with sheer desire and effort.

Now no way will IU win this game by that amount. (hope I'm wrong) but I do expect some payback and I kn ow they won't be taken lightly!

Coach Miller is aware and after the ND game said "it's time to PREPARE for IUPF" " I know what happened last year" (I like it that he cares about that)


IPFW are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 road games. (liking that trend)
IPFW are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall. (still a ats trend that I like)

Friends: I don't know what going to happen or how this game is going to play out, I do know what I played (2) and really think Indiana is 15-16 points better than this team, and in this circumstance it would be even nicer if they have the killer and revenge attitude that it takes for payback for the embarrassing loss last season that hopefully will lead to the cover.

good luck everyone

 

[stock07]

Love the write-ups United....Great Job Bro....Good Luck

 

[StevieRay]

Ind line seems fishy. I had it around 14-15

 

[United]

Ind line seems fishy. I had it around 14-15

Indiana is a team that is still hard to figure out. I just hope I'm picking the right time.

I see the Marquette line is down to 16 and the Creighton line up to 13-14 in places.

crazy stuff

 

[LowTide]

Somebody must know that Neal is out for certain. Hard to explain a 4 point move against a solid team.

See what you think about USF. NAU is flying across the country to play 2 games against opponents they have no history against. They have shown nothing all year(losing to Embry -Riddle?) and now they are going to flick the switch when they are mentally on vacation. Their struggles to score coupled with USF’s slower tempo has me on board, but what do I know.

Good luck tonight buddy.

 

[PeePee]

Neal is upgraded to probable per sportsinsight

 

[hilltop]

United, I know how much time, effort and hard work goes into doing these write-ups and I want you to know that I appreciate and enjoy them. I am sure that others appreciate your hard work also. Thanks and GLTU tonight.

 

[kidman232]

​Creighton off the board at my book now

 

[tmader7]

​Creighton off the board at my book now

-13 at 5Ho's as I type.

~T~

 

[AxelFreed]

Neal on twitter intends to be on the court

 

[United]

thanks

Somebody must know that Neal is out for certain. Hard to explain a 4 point move against a solid team.

See what you think about USF. NAU is flying across the country to play 2 games against opponents they have no history against. They have shown nothing all year(losing to Embry -Riddle?) and now they are going to flick the switch when they are mentally on vacation. Their struggles to score coupled with USF’s slower tempo has me on board, but what do I know.


I think you have the right side in this game. A 2-9 team that is 1-5 away and gives up a ton of points in never a good team to play on but to fade away on. I'm staying off of it because all of my other action already. Plus, just not quite sure how good S Florida is as they last won two games in a row last year in Nov. Their schedule didn't look real tough to me. N Zona away losses by (32 to Santa Clara), (22 to Kansas St) (28 to san diego) and (37 to Arizona St) Can S Florida add to that list by 9?

Like you mentioned a long way to travel for a team that gives up a ton of points on the road. One nice positive you have going is S Florida is 30th in the nation at 76.3 % ft shooting and has a player (Jiggets that is
Good luck tonight buddy.

 

[United]

thanks for the info

Neal is upgraded to probable per sportsinsight

 

[United]

thanks, made my play with him playing,

Neal on twitter intends to be on the court

 

[United]

Creighton at -13, Indiana at -13, and Marquette at 16 1/2,

Very tempted to hit UTA +13 for a (1), but then I would be doubting my original play which I think Creighton will wear them down.
I'll post the play if I go for it

 

[Pdogsi]

I played all three last night when you posted United.

Last night:
Marquette -18 -110
Creighton -10 -110
Indiana -12 -110

Today:
Marquette -16.5 -110
Creighton -13 -110
Indiana -13.5 -110

Outside of Marquette, your plays move in the right direction IF you get them in early. That's why i like your early posts, b/c you are usually ahead of the line sways. Thank you for that... and BOL to US!