thanks basketball junkies, it was a nice time with family that went by much to fast
William & Mary @ Hofstra -3 (2)
W & M at 6-6 and 2-4 ats scoring 79.6 ppg giving up 73.1 ppg for a diff of 6 .5
Hofstra at 9-5 and 5-4-1 ats coring 79.2 ppg giving up 75.2 ppg for a diff of 4.0
Diff of 2.5 and I value Hofstra worth 4 at home so line is close. I still like Hofstra at home in this matchup. W & M has the slight edge in almost every category but they are close. On the road they don't have the favorable stats in this matchup.
W & M is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road (like it)
W & M is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hofstra (like it)
William & Mary is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games (not playing very well right now)
Hofstra is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games (playing good enough to win)
Hofstra is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home (always tougher at home)
I like that W & M are playing their 4th straight game on the road since Dec 22. Last game waxed by 20 at Northeastern, the did beat old D by 11, and lost by 11 to Rhode Island. They always seem to struggle in this matchup at Hofstra. Like I mentioned earlier, W & M with the better all around numbers even though they are very close but their numbers are not favorable to Hofstra at home.
W & M are certainly very capable of winning this game. I just think it will take one of their better efforts to come away with a W in a series that they have had a history of losing on the road to.
Citadel @ Wofford over 185 1/2 (2)
Citadel at 7-8 and 3-2-1 ats scoring 99.7 ppg and giving up 100.1 ppg for a diff of -0.4
Wofford at 6-8 and 8-3 ats scoring 76.6 ppg giving up 72.5 ppg for a diff of 4.1
When you take a shot on a total it's very important that you know the coaches style of play. In this case Citadel coach Duggar Baucom loves transition, and he wants his players to launch the 3 up. This is his 2nd season at Citadel and before that his VMI teams were always in the top 3 in ppg and 3 point attempts per game. Last year he took over this Citadel team who played slow under their previous coach. They still improved their scoring up to 86 ppg last year. (now they are at 99.7 ppg) My point being is their are a lot of possessions by his team. And in this case their defense is giving up 100.1 ppg.
Citadel making on the average 13.4 (3 pointers a game) they have already launched 578
Wofford making 9.7 (3's a game) launched 323 and made 126 for 42% from downtown
Both teams shooting 77.4 and 74.4 % form the ft line.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of The Citadel's last 8 games when playing on the road against Wofford (road one)
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wofford's last 5 games (good)
Last year Wofford won this game at home 99-89 for (188 total)
I'm going to take a shot at it and hope the 3's are falling in this one.
Oh and as you all know, long shots mean long rebounds that lead to easy points on the other end or rebounds for Citadel to launch again.
ULL @ Ark LR +1 1/2 (2)
ULL at 10-4 and 4-3 ats scoring 85.6 ppg giving up 72.0 ppg for a diff of 13.6
Ark LR at 10-4 and 3-6 ats scoring 74.7 ppg giving up 68.6 ppg for a diff of 6.1
Diff of 7.5 in favor of ULL. Ark LR worth 4 at home. I'd like to get that extra point or two but very happy with this line with the dog at home in this conf game.
Arkansas-Little Rock is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home (give me points)
Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road (giving points?)
Kind of hard for me not to take the home dog in this one:
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas-Little R
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas-Little R
So it doesn't mean at all that this is automatic W for Arl LR at home. (what it does mean that it's a play for me because I'm always looking for home teams that win a lot at home and especially against the team that they usually do quite well against at home.
Ark LR are 8-2 ats last 10 in this series. (very good)
last 5 games at Ark LR margins of victory by 7, 20, lost by 4, 11, and 9.
I may lose but no regrets.
Good luck everyone
William & Mary @ Hofstra -3 (2)
W & M at 6-6 and 2-4 ats scoring 79.6 ppg giving up 73.1 ppg for a diff of 6 .5
Hofstra at 9-5 and 5-4-1 ats coring 79.2 ppg giving up 75.2 ppg for a diff of 4.0
Diff of 2.5 and I value Hofstra worth 4 at home so line is close. I still like Hofstra at home in this matchup. W & M has the slight edge in almost every category but they are close. On the road they don't have the favorable stats in this matchup.
W & M is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road (like it)
W & M is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hofstra (like it)
William & Mary is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games (not playing very well right now)
Hofstra is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games (playing good enough to win)
Hofstra is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home (always tougher at home)
I like that W & M are playing their 4th straight game on the road since Dec 22. Last game waxed by 20 at Northeastern, the did beat old D by 11, and lost by 11 to Rhode Island. They always seem to struggle in this matchup at Hofstra. Like I mentioned earlier, W & M with the better all around numbers even though they are very close but their numbers are not favorable to Hofstra at home.
W & M are certainly very capable of winning this game. I just think it will take one of their better efforts to come away with a W in a series that they have had a history of losing on the road to.
Citadel @ Wofford over 185 1/2 (2)
Citadel at 7-8 and 3-2-1 ats scoring 99.7 ppg and giving up 100.1 ppg for a diff of -0.4
Wofford at 6-8 and 8-3 ats scoring 76.6 ppg giving up 72.5 ppg for a diff of 4.1
When you take a shot on a total it's very important that you know the coaches style of play. In this case Citadel coach Duggar Baucom loves transition, and he wants his players to launch the 3 up. This is his 2nd season at Citadel and before that his VMI teams were always in the top 3 in ppg and 3 point attempts per game. Last year he took over this Citadel team who played slow under their previous coach. They still improved their scoring up to 86 ppg last year. (now they are at 99.7 ppg) My point being is their are a lot of possessions by his team. And in this case their defense is giving up 100.1 ppg.
Citadel making on the average 13.4 (3 pointers a game) they have already launched 578
Wofford making 9.7 (3's a game) launched 323 and made 126 for 42% from downtown
Both teams shooting 77.4 and 74.4 % form the ft line.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of The Citadel's last 8 games when playing on the road against Wofford (road one)
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wofford's last 5 games (good)
Last year Wofford won this game at home 99-89 for (188 total)
I'm going to take a shot at it and hope the 3's are falling in this one.
Oh and as you all know, long shots mean long rebounds that lead to easy points on the other end or rebounds for Citadel to launch again.
ULL @ Ark LR +1 1/2 (2)
ULL at 10-4 and 4-3 ats scoring 85.6 ppg giving up 72.0 ppg for a diff of 13.6
Ark LR at 10-4 and 3-6 ats scoring 74.7 ppg giving up 68.6 ppg for a diff of 6.1
Diff of 7.5 in favor of ULL. Ark LR worth 4 at home. I'd like to get that extra point or two but very happy with this line with the dog at home in this conf game.
Arkansas-Little Rock is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home (give me points)
Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road (giving points?)
Kind of hard for me not to take the home dog in this one:
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas-Little R
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas-Little R
So it doesn't mean at all that this is automatic W for Arl LR at home. (what it does mean that it's a play for me because I'm always looking for home teams that win a lot at home and especially against the team that they usually do quite well against at home.
Ark LR are 8-2 ats last 10 in this series. (very good)
last 5 games at Ark LR margins of victory by 7, 20, lost by 4, 11, and 9.
I may lose but no regrets.
Good luck everyone
