Penn @ Central Florida -9 1/2 (2)
and under 128 1/2 (2)
Penn at 3-5 and 2-2 ats scoring 68.0 ppg giving up 67.8 ppg for a diff of 0.3
UCF at 7-1 and 3-1 ats scoring 71.5 ppg giving up 55.0 ppg for a diff of 16.5
Diff of 16 and UCF worth 3-4 at home. I feel line could be higher. I do see where B.J. Taylor for UCF did not play last game as he was not in the box score. Could be why the line is lower. He plays 33 minutes, 16 ppg, 4.3 rebs, 5 assists, shoots 45.7% fg and 81%ft line. He is not listed on any injury reports that I could find so I don't know his status for this game. Upon further research I found a little sentence about him after their last game that said he sat out with a hand injury and his replacements did a nice job of filling in.
I still like UCF in this game for many reasons. The biggest being Tacko Fall. (7'6 and 300 pounds)
Fall scoring 13.4 points per game and his fg% is 81%.
Fall averaging 12.6 boards per game and 2.8 blocks.
No wonder UCF is #3 in rebs per game at 45.9 and in the top in reb margin at 12 per game.
UCF is #2 in scoring def allowing only 55 points per game (big reason for the under) both teams at 1-3 on the o/u so far in lined games.
The two teams off & def numbers average to 116.7 ppg. So it seems a little high and when I look at overall shooting % the under is worth a shot for me.
Penn St 43%fg and 34.3 from 3 pt land and only shooting 67.3% from the ft line.
Against one of the better reb teams and def teams like this one on their home turf I'm hoping for even lower numbers.
CF perfect at home and only loss was to Nova 67-57 (10) on a neutral.
Penn also played Nova at the Palestra and lost 82-57 (25)
So I guess I'm buying in for Dawkins and this CF team and hoping they might be for real, or at least 10 points better than a struggling Penn team on the road.
South Carolina vs Seton Hall -2 (2) at MSG
South Carolina at 8-0 and 3-3 ats scoring 73.9 ppg giving up 55.5 ppg for a dif of 18.4
Seton Hall at 7-2 and 3-5 ats scoring 78.3 ppg giving up 69.1 ppg for a diff of 9.2
Diff of 9 and on a neutral. One would think the undefeated SC team would be at least a 5 point fav yet a line of -2. I'm not going to bite on SC as a dog. Their is a huge reason why they are a dog.
That is the suspension of Thurnwell. By far the teams most valuable player on both off and def.
Thurnwell leads the team in minutes played wt 31 a game.
Missing for SC will be 18.4 ppg, 6.7 rebs, 4.1 assists, 1.3 blocks, 87.5 ft% and 48.3% from 3 pt land. (THAT IS A BUNCH OF OFFENSE) He made everyone else on the court more of a threat because he was always getting special attention.
He was also the teams best def player as he always had to guard the other teams best player.
It's not like this 7-2 Seton Hall team is a dog anyway. They have played a stronger schedule than SC in my opinion. They beat Iowa at Iowa by 8. Ok, Iowa down some, but yu saw what they did to Iowa St at home. They lost to Florida by 5. They just cmae back from Hawaii with w's over the home team Hawaii by 11 and then beat Cal by 3.
They play hard and have a very good shot at winning this game. I'm sure SC will have players step up in Thornwell's absence. They are to well coached and disciplined by Coach Martin not to.
But when you take once again 18.7 points and 47%fg, 87.5 ft% and 48.3 3 pt out of your line up that is HUGE.
good luck and be careful with my plays as ball has been bouncing the other way for me
and under 128 1/2 (2)
Penn at 3-5 and 2-2 ats scoring 68.0 ppg giving up 67.8 ppg for a diff of 0.3
UCF at 7-1 and 3-1 ats scoring 71.5 ppg giving up 55.0 ppg for a diff of 16.5
Diff of 16 and UCF worth 3-4 at home. I feel line could be higher. I do see where B.J. Taylor for UCF did not play last game as he was not in the box score. Could be why the line is lower. He plays 33 minutes, 16 ppg, 4.3 rebs, 5 assists, shoots 45.7% fg and 81%ft line. He is not listed on any injury reports that I could find so I don't know his status for this game. Upon further research I found a little sentence about him after their last game that said he sat out with a hand injury and his replacements did a nice job of filling in.
I still like UCF in this game for many reasons. The biggest being Tacko Fall. (7'6 and 300 pounds)
Fall scoring 13.4 points per game and his fg% is 81%.
Fall averaging 12.6 boards per game and 2.8 blocks.
No wonder UCF is #3 in rebs per game at 45.9 and in the top in reb margin at 12 per game.
UCF is #2 in scoring def allowing only 55 points per game (big reason for the under) both teams at 1-3 on the o/u so far in lined games.
The two teams off & def numbers average to 116.7 ppg. So it seems a little high and when I look at overall shooting % the under is worth a shot for me.
Penn St 43%fg and 34.3 from 3 pt land and only shooting 67.3% from the ft line.
Against one of the better reb teams and def teams like this one on their home turf I'm hoping for even lower numbers.
CF perfect at home and only loss was to Nova 67-57 (10) on a neutral.
Penn also played Nova at the Palestra and lost 82-57 (25)
So I guess I'm buying in for Dawkins and this CF team and hoping they might be for real, or at least 10 points better than a struggling Penn team on the road.
South Carolina vs Seton Hall -2 (2) at MSG
South Carolina at 8-0 and 3-3 ats scoring 73.9 ppg giving up 55.5 ppg for a dif of 18.4
Seton Hall at 7-2 and 3-5 ats scoring 78.3 ppg giving up 69.1 ppg for a diff of 9.2
Diff of 9 and on a neutral. One would think the undefeated SC team would be at least a 5 point fav yet a line of -2. I'm not going to bite on SC as a dog. Their is a huge reason why they are a dog.
That is the suspension of Thurnwell. By far the teams most valuable player on both off and def.
Thurnwell leads the team in minutes played wt 31 a game.
Missing for SC will be 18.4 ppg, 6.7 rebs, 4.1 assists, 1.3 blocks, 87.5 ft% and 48.3% from 3 pt land. (THAT IS A BUNCH OF OFFENSE) He made everyone else on the court more of a threat because he was always getting special attention.
He was also the teams best def player as he always had to guard the other teams best player.
It's not like this 7-2 Seton Hall team is a dog anyway. They have played a stronger schedule than SC in my opinion. They beat Iowa at Iowa by 8. Ok, Iowa down some, but yu saw what they did to Iowa St at home. They lost to Florida by 5. They just cmae back from Hawaii with w's over the home team Hawaii by 11 and then beat Cal by 3.
They play hard and have a very good shot at winning this game. I'm sure SC will have players step up in Thornwell's absence. They are to well coached and disciplined by Coach Martin not to.
But when you take once again 18.7 points and 47%fg, 87.5 ft% and 48.3 3 pt out of your line up that is HUGE.
good luck and be careful with my plays as ball has been bouncing the other way for me
U, I posted an apology for whatever misunderstanding in SR's thread yesterday, I believe. Taylor's fill in scored 6 points last game which is why I thought you were thinking under, only way I could play it, he's not Taylor. Jumping in the car head first with ya on the Hall, Carolina isn't squat without Thornwell. GL tonight!
~T~
~T~
recap: 3-2 +1.60
overall: 110-102 +9.60
1 unit: 41-46 -10.70
2 unit: 47-41 +3.80
3 unit: 22-15 +16.50
overall: 110-102 +9.60
#516 UCF -9 1/2 -110 (2) L
#516 UCF under 128 1/2 (2) W
#520 Seton Hall -2 -120 (2) W
add:
2nd half: UCF over 69 1/2 -110 (2) L going for the middle
add:
2nd half: Seton Hall -3 1/2 -110 (2) W
overall: 110-102 +9.60
1 unit: 41-46 -10.70
2 unit: 47-41 +3.80
3 unit: 22-15 +16.50
overall: 110-102 +9.60
#516 UCF -9 1/2 -110 (2) L
#516 UCF under 128 1/2 (2) W
#520 Seton Hall -2 -120 (2) W
add:
2nd half: UCF over 69 1/2 -110 (2) L going for the middle
add:
2nd half: Seton Hall -3 1/2 -110 (2) W
