#520 Louisville -1 -110 (1)
NC at 19-2 (8-0) and 8-11-2 ats scoring 85.8 ppg giving up 70.3 ppg for a diff of 15.5
Louisville at 17-4 (6-2) and 8-9 ats scoring 79.3 ppg giving up 60.2 ppg for a diff of 19.1
I imagine this was a tough game to set a line for. One would have to be very careful to give the #1 (USA, #2 AP) ranked NC to many points, and on the other hand to give Louisville points at home would also be very tough. Who really is #1 this year? Oklahoma, NC, Kansas, Iowa, I could list at least 15 more teams that can beat anyone of these teams on their own home court for sure. We've seen it happen so many times this year. The parity is unbelievable this year. I don't know who's better, NC or Louisville. Considering the situation the game ought to be a pick it. I could type of all kinds of stats for both teams on this game. Believe me I have them scribbled down. The main reason I played Louis are they at home where they seldom lose a basketball game. They just lost last game at home to Virginia. (Humiliated), They are 15-1 at home. They are worth 4 points at home to me. NC have only lost 2 games all year. They were both on the road to N. Iowa (4) and Texas (2). NC are 8-0 in conf. They are doing what their supposed to be doing and that is winning. They have yet to play Louisville, ND, Duke, Virginia, Miami in conf. So what I'm seeing is a #1 or 2 ranked team about to get their first big conf test on the road against a really good team coming off a loss at home. I expect a dog fight and the teams did split the two conf games last year defending home court. NC did beat them in the conf tournament.
#528 Baylor -4 1/2 -110 (1)
Texas at 14-7 (5-3) and 9-11 ats scoring 73.2 ppg giving up 67.2 ppg for a diff of 6.0
Baylor at 17-4 (6-2) and 5-9-1 ats scoring 79.8 ppg giving up 67.6 ppg for a diff of 12.2
Even though this is a rivalry game I still like the line and Baylor at home in this match up. Baylor has the advantage in all of the major stats. Baylor shooting 47.7% fg and 73.3% ft compared to Texas at 43.6% fg and 63.9% ft. Baylor with the offensive rebs margin by 3. Surprisingly, Baylor averaging 3 more steals a game than Texas.
Baylor has 5 players averaging DD's ppg and I like that balance.
Baylor is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home and 16 out of the last 17 with the only loss to Oklahoma.
Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Texas is a live dog and could very well win this game and of course stand a decent shot at covering with the points. I really think Baylor is the better all around team and at home stand a good chance to put one on a very inconsistent Texas team so far this year. One game they look really tough and the next they look like any other team.
The teams split last year as Baylor won at home 83-60 and Texas won at home 71-69. I don't think Baylor will hesitate to run up the score if given the chance that is. They take this rivalry very seriously and have the experienced team that can get the job done. Only a (1) unit play because you never know what Texas team your going to get. Baylor is no WV, they will shoot a lot better than they did. (only reason Texas won that game)
#536 Citadel/Chatt over 175 -110 (1)
Citadel at 10-12 and 8-6 ats scoring 89.6 ppg giving up 91.7 ppg for a diff of -2.1
Chatt at 18-3 and 10-6 ats scoring 76.4 ppg giving up 66.8 for a diff of 9.6
I had a * down by this Citadel team at the beginning of the season. The star noted their coaching change from a slow pace offensive system to a run and gun type of system. Last year Citadel averaged 63.9 ppg. This year with their new coach (Baucom) they are scoring 89.6 ppg. Baucom came from VMI and you know they pit up the points when he coached there, always up towards the top in scoring average. Well evidently, they also still play def the same way as they are giving up 91.7 ppg.
Citadel is 6-1 on the o/u away from home
Chat are 4-1 on the o/u at home
So any past trends between these two schools can be completely ignored. If they go into Chatt and play this style of ball Chatt could score over a 100 on them.
I like that both teams shoot well from the ft line, 74.6% and 71.3%.
I like that both teams make a lot fo 3's as Citadel averaging 11.7 and Chatt 8.2 3's a game.
I don't know what will happen. I'm hoping what will happen is Chatt players will really get into a game like this and want to score some points.
#540 MD Eastern Shore -3 -110 (1)
Howard at 9-11 and 0-1 ats scoring 74.6 ppg giving up 77.0 ppg for a diff of -2.4
MES at 6-16 and 2-1 ats scoring 66.1 ppg giving up 76.8 ppg for a diff of -10.7
I don't expect anyone to play this game. I don't even know how to explain my reasons for playing the game. Howard has only had 1 lined game and Mes 3.
I read about both teams. I looked at the stats and their schedules. And of course one of my favorite's, how they do against each other on their home court in heads up play.
I concluded that MES played the tougher non conf schedule so the diff is way out of whack and decided to ignore that. What I couldn't ignore was the head to head trend between these two teams.
Both teams take care of business against each other at home.
MD Eastern Shore: last 5 in this series at home over Howard: Margins: 11, 14, L-4, 13, and 10
Howard: last 5 at home in this series over MES: Margins: 9, 32, 19, 2, 4
So without further reasoning, I'll try it, and if I win, I'll look for the return game at Howard.
Got to run a errand and then I'll be back to give reasons on Monmouth/Sienna game.
NC at 19-2 (8-0) and 8-11-2 ats scoring 85.8 ppg giving up 70.3 ppg for a diff of 15.5
Louisville at 17-4 (6-2) and 8-9 ats scoring 79.3 ppg giving up 60.2 ppg for a diff of 19.1
I imagine this was a tough game to set a line for. One would have to be very careful to give the #1 (USA, #2 AP) ranked NC to many points, and on the other hand to give Louisville points at home would also be very tough. Who really is #1 this year? Oklahoma, NC, Kansas, Iowa, I could list at least 15 more teams that can beat anyone of these teams on their own home court for sure. We've seen it happen so many times this year. The parity is unbelievable this year. I don't know who's better, NC or Louisville. Considering the situation the game ought to be a pick it. I could type of all kinds of stats for both teams on this game. Believe me I have them scribbled down. The main reason I played Louis are they at home where they seldom lose a basketball game. They just lost last game at home to Virginia. (Humiliated), They are 15-1 at home. They are worth 4 points at home to me. NC have only lost 2 games all year. They were both on the road to N. Iowa (4) and Texas (2). NC are 8-0 in conf. They are doing what their supposed to be doing and that is winning. They have yet to play Louisville, ND, Duke, Virginia, Miami in conf. So what I'm seeing is a #1 or 2 ranked team about to get their first big conf test on the road against a really good team coming off a loss at home. I expect a dog fight and the teams did split the two conf games last year defending home court. NC did beat them in the conf tournament.
#528 Baylor -4 1/2 -110 (1)
Texas at 14-7 (5-3) and 9-11 ats scoring 73.2 ppg giving up 67.2 ppg for a diff of 6.0
Baylor at 17-4 (6-2) and 5-9-1 ats scoring 79.8 ppg giving up 67.6 ppg for a diff of 12.2
Even though this is a rivalry game I still like the line and Baylor at home in this match up. Baylor has the advantage in all of the major stats. Baylor shooting 47.7% fg and 73.3% ft compared to Texas at 43.6% fg and 63.9% ft. Baylor with the offensive rebs margin by 3. Surprisingly, Baylor averaging 3 more steals a game than Texas.
Baylor has 5 players averaging DD's ppg and I like that balance.
Baylor is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home and 16 out of the last 17 with the only loss to Oklahoma.
Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Texas is a live dog and could very well win this game and of course stand a decent shot at covering with the points. I really think Baylor is the better all around team and at home stand a good chance to put one on a very inconsistent Texas team so far this year. One game they look really tough and the next they look like any other team.
The teams split last year as Baylor won at home 83-60 and Texas won at home 71-69. I don't think Baylor will hesitate to run up the score if given the chance that is. They take this rivalry very seriously and have the experienced team that can get the job done. Only a (1) unit play because you never know what Texas team your going to get. Baylor is no WV, they will shoot a lot better than they did. (only reason Texas won that game)
#536 Citadel/Chatt over 175 -110 (1)
Citadel at 10-12 and 8-6 ats scoring 89.6 ppg giving up 91.7 ppg for a diff of -2.1
Chatt at 18-3 and 10-6 ats scoring 76.4 ppg giving up 66.8 for a diff of 9.6
I had a * down by this Citadel team at the beginning of the season. The star noted their coaching change from a slow pace offensive system to a run and gun type of system. Last year Citadel averaged 63.9 ppg. This year with their new coach (Baucom) they are scoring 89.6 ppg. Baucom came from VMI and you know they pit up the points when he coached there, always up towards the top in scoring average. Well evidently, they also still play def the same way as they are giving up 91.7 ppg.
Citadel is 6-1 on the o/u away from home
Chat are 4-1 on the o/u at home
So any past trends between these two schools can be completely ignored. If they go into Chatt and play this style of ball Chatt could score over a 100 on them.
I like that both teams shoot well from the ft line, 74.6% and 71.3%.
I like that both teams make a lot fo 3's as Citadel averaging 11.7 and Chatt 8.2 3's a game.
I don't know what will happen. I'm hoping what will happen is Chatt players will really get into a game like this and want to score some points.
#540 MD Eastern Shore -3 -110 (1)
Howard at 9-11 and 0-1 ats scoring 74.6 ppg giving up 77.0 ppg for a diff of -2.4
MES at 6-16 and 2-1 ats scoring 66.1 ppg giving up 76.8 ppg for a diff of -10.7
I don't expect anyone to play this game. I don't even know how to explain my reasons for playing the game. Howard has only had 1 lined game and Mes 3.
I read about both teams. I looked at the stats and their schedules. And of course one of my favorite's, how they do against each other on their home court in heads up play.
I concluded that MES played the tougher non conf schedule so the diff is way out of whack and decided to ignore that. What I couldn't ignore was the head to head trend between these two teams.
Both teams take care of business against each other at home.
MD Eastern Shore: last 5 in this series at home over Howard: Margins: 11, 14, L-4, 13, and 10
Howard: last 5 at home in this series over MES: Margins: 9, 32, 19, 2, 4
So without further reasoning, I'll try it, and if I win, I'll look for the return game at Howard.
Got to run a errand and then I'll be back to give reasons on Monmouth/Sienna game.
#531 Monmouth -1 1/2 -110 (2)
Monmouth at 17-5 (9-2) and 13-7 ats scoring 79.8 ppg giving up 72.7 ppg for a diff of 7.0
Siena at 15-7 (8-3) and 9-6-1 ats scoring 77.6 ppg giving up 72.3 ppg for a diff of 5.3
Diff of two points and I would think Siena is worth 3 at home. Siena could be the fav of 1 or 2 in this one. The experts know that Monmouth has played the much, much, much, tougher schedule. Monmouth 35th and Siena 86 in RPI.
Siena a perfect 9-0 at home and 8-3 in conf play. All 8 wins in conf have been by DD"S. They pound the boards, especially the offensive boards and our a very physical team. I read where they are 4-17 the last 21 con games against conf opponents that are in the top 5 of the MACC. They are 22-8 against the bottom 6 conf teams. Just saying, they have struggled against the better teams in conf.
In the first game won by Monmouth back on Jan. 18, by a score of 85-69, Monmouth forced 21 turnovers on Siena. Siena averages 16 to's a game. That doesn't mean they won't win thbis game. It just makes it a lot tougher to give a team like Monmouth more opportunities to score.
Monmouth shooting 44.4 % fg, 76.9 % ft, and 37.7% 3 pt land averaging 7.6 3's a game.
Siena shooting 46.4% fg, 70.9% ft, and 35.8 % from 3 pt land averaging 5.7 a game.
Siena has the reb edge 39.9 to 38.3.
Monmouth turns the ball over on the average of 12 a game to Siena 16 a game.
Monmouth has 6 players on their team that shoot over 80% from the ft line. 3 of them are starters who have the ball in their hands when it counts. (like it a lot)
Monmouth will definitely be tested once again on the road in this big revenge conf game and could very easily go down. (could be a fight) if Monmouth bench continues their theatrics.
I just can't see Monmouth intimidated playing on the road after already playing at or away from home:
UCLA won by 3
USC lost by 11
Georgetown won 15
Rutgers won by 6
Cornell won by 9
No wonder Monmouth is 13-7 ats.
I like the way Monmouth team plays together. They have 3 or 4 different people that can score or get hot at any time. They are a very competitive team that seems to be on a mission this season.
This should be a very exciting game and I would love to be there to watch it live. Anything could happen in this game. I just want my action on a team that I already know have been through test after test already on the road. All the other teams hate them now and they will get opponents absolute best effort from here on out.
Monmouth are 4-1 in this series since joining conf in 2014, including 3 straight.
good luck everyone
Monmouth at 17-5 (9-2) and 13-7 ats scoring 79.8 ppg giving up 72.7 ppg for a diff of 7.0
Siena at 15-7 (8-3) and 9-6-1 ats scoring 77.6 ppg giving up 72.3 ppg for a diff of 5.3
Diff of two points and I would think Siena is worth 3 at home. Siena could be the fav of 1 or 2 in this one. The experts know that Monmouth has played the much, much, much, tougher schedule. Monmouth 35th and Siena 86 in RPI.
Siena a perfect 9-0 at home and 8-3 in conf play. All 8 wins in conf have been by DD"S. They pound the boards, especially the offensive boards and our a very physical team. I read where they are 4-17 the last 21 con games against conf opponents that are in the top 5 of the MACC. They are 22-8 against the bottom 6 conf teams. Just saying, they have struggled against the better teams in conf.
In the first game won by Monmouth back on Jan. 18, by a score of 85-69, Monmouth forced 21 turnovers on Siena. Siena averages 16 to's a game. That doesn't mean they won't win thbis game. It just makes it a lot tougher to give a team like Monmouth more opportunities to score.
Monmouth shooting 44.4 % fg, 76.9 % ft, and 37.7% 3 pt land averaging 7.6 3's a game.
Siena shooting 46.4% fg, 70.9% ft, and 35.8 % from 3 pt land averaging 5.7 a game.
Siena has the reb edge 39.9 to 38.3.
Monmouth turns the ball over on the average of 12 a game to Siena 16 a game.
Monmouth has 6 players on their team that shoot over 80% from the ft line. 3 of them are starters who have the ball in their hands when it counts. (like it a lot)
Monmouth will definitely be tested once again on the road in this big revenge conf game and could very easily go down. (could be a fight) if Monmouth bench continues their theatrics.
I just can't see Monmouth intimidated playing on the road after already playing at or away from home:
UCLA won by 3
USC lost by 11
Georgetown won 15
Rutgers won by 6
Cornell won by 9
No wonder Monmouth is 13-7 ats.
I like the way Monmouth team plays together. They have 3 or 4 different people that can score or get hot at any time. They are a very competitive team that seems to be on a mission this season.
This should be a very exciting game and I would love to be there to watch it live. Anything could happen in this game. I just want my action on a team that I already know have been through test after test already on the road. All the other teams hate them now and they will get opponents absolute best effort from here on out.
Monmouth are 4-1 in this series since joining conf in 2014, including 3 straight.
good luck everyone
Thanks for your confidence....i loved this parlay tonight. Can u freakin believe TN Chat scored 77 in the 2ND HALF ALONE? I really wish i can watch this full game. Must have been a fun one to watch, with like you said, absolutely no defense being played by Citadel.
Congrats on your fine night and thanks for the big Monmouth winner! (I really wanna see Monmouth in the tournament, especially with all their crazy bench antics).
recap: 5-1 +4.90
overall: 245-194 +40.40
Thanks to all that dropped in/
1: 215-174 +24.75
2: 30-20 +15.65
#520 Louisville -1 -110 (1) W
#528 Baylor -4 1/2 -110 (1) L
#536 Citadel/Chatt over 175 -110 (1) W
#540 MD Eastern Shore -3 -110 (1) W
#531 Monmouth -1 1/2 -110 (2) W
add:
2nd half: Siena -1 1/2 -110 (1) W
overall: 245-194 +40.40
Thanks to all that dropped in/
1: 215-174 +24.75
2: 30-20 +15.65
#520 Louisville -1 -110 (1) W
#528 Baylor -4 1/2 -110 (1) L
#536 Citadel/Chatt over 175 -110 (1) W
#540 MD Eastern Shore -3 -110 (1) W
#531 Monmouth -1 1/2 -110 (2) W
add:
2nd half: Siena -1 1/2 -110 (1) W
