NCAA (Monday)

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Yesterday: 7-1 +5.90

overall: 187-147 +27.40

1: 178-140 +25.15
2: 9-7 +225

Just played these, starting on reasons now.

#528 Wright St -5 -110 (1)
#524 Duke -11 -110 (1)
#530 Cleveland St -10 bth -120 (1)
 

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#528 Wright St -5 -110 (1)

Detroit at 9-7 and 7-7 ats scoring 84.4 ppg giving up 82.9 ppg for a diff of 1.5
Wright St at 10-8 and 8-7 ats scoring 66.1 ppg giving up 63.1 ppg for a diff of 3.0

Line is right on spot and I wish I would have gotten it at the opening line of 4. I'll take my chances with this line. Detroit has the advantage on the offensive boards 12.1 to 6.9. Yes Detroit pounds the boards because they all want to score. Problem is they don't get back on def. WS takes a shot and then they hustle back to play D. As you compare the two teams off and def numbers, it's obvious that they play different styles of ball. WS usually controls the tempo as the last 5 in this series have gone under and 8 out of the last 10 went under. I just can't play a Detroit game under so betting against them on the road. Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road.

Wright State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit (seem to hold their own)
Wright State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit (Detroit obviously struggles at wright St)



#524 Duke -11 -110 (1)

Syracuse at 12-7 and 8-10 ats scoring 71.1 ppg giving up 64.4 ppg for a diff of 6.7
Duke at 14-4 and 9-8 ats scoring 86.9 ppg giving up 70.7 ppg for a diff of 16.2

Diff of 10. Line opened at -12, now at -11, I have Duke worth 4 at home with those crazy fans. I understand why line is off as Duke have lost 4 games this year and two in a row. Duke still leads in every stat but points against. Cuse has not been very good on the road as they are 1-4-1 ats away. Cuse are 1-3 ats last 4 vs Duke. Anyway, this is a different Duke team. I can't remember the last time they lost back to back conf games. Duke got them at home last year b y 19. Cuse starters play a lot of minutes and I really think Cuse will wear down. I sure hope they don't pull a Mich St on me and play terrible at home. Sometimes you just got to hope you pick your spots right and hoping this is one of them. Cuse has looked really good their last two game winning by 22 over WF and 28 over BC. No doubt two of the weaker teams in conf. Cuse also lost to Clemson at home. They lost to NC at home by 11. I just think Duke will win by more than 11 at home and if they don't, I'll be on them next game to try and get it back.

#530 Cleveland St -10 bth -120 (1)

Illinois Chicago at 2-14 and 3-11 ats scoring 66.3 ppg giving up 78.1 ppg for a diff of -11.8
Cleve St at 6-13 and 7-10 ats scoring 62.7 ppg giving up 67.9 ppg for a diff of -5.2

Line could (should) be at 11 or 12. Cleve St not actually tearing anything up this year. They are generally a tough out at home. IC is just bad. They are 2-14 and 3-11 ats. They are 1-7 ats on the road. Shooting percentages are bad for both teams. Cleve St does have the edge in fg, ft,3pt, and steals. IC does turn it over at a high rate. I know it's a ugly game to play. I still feel like I have a better shot at hitting this one than Okl/Iowa St game. When a team is over a 10 point diff and on the road good things usually don't happen.

good luck everyone
 

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Good luck today United. I'm also on Cleveland St today. Your write ups are spot on.
 

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recap:: 1-2 -1.20

overall: 188-149 +26.20

1: 179-142 +23.95
2: 9-7 +2.25



#528 Wright St -5 -110 (1) L
#524 Duke -11 -110 (1) L
#530 Cleveland St -10 bth -120 (1) W
 

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