Good luck everyone
#523 NC -3 -110
NC at 13-2 and 5-8-2 ats scoring 86.5 ppg giving up 70.5 ppg for a diff of 16.0
Florida St at 10-3 and 5-4 ats scoring 81.5 giving up 70.9 ppg for a diff of 10.6
Diff of 6.6 and looks like they add 3 to 4 for Florida St home court. The lines get much tighter in conf play as the teams always know each others plays and personal to the T.
Most of the stats fav NC although all stats are pretty close between these two teams. I like NC because they shoot 50% from the field and 72.7 from the ft line.
Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina
Florida State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina (like it and a small spread to cover)
Florida State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NC (like it)
I like Paige at the Point: 14.8 ppg, 2.6 rebs, 3.6 assists, shooting 50% fg, 80% ft, and 42.2 from 3 pt land.
NC also has 2 other players shooting over 80% form the ft line.
They have 5 players averaging DD's, so the def has to worry about everyone, not just one or two scorers.
Florida St coming off a two game road trip beating Florida by two and losing to Clemson by 9. They have Miami Fl on deck.
NC picked #1 in some pre-season polls, and I'm going with the talent and the speedsters in this one.
#525 WV -9 1/2 -110
WV at 12-1 and 6-4 ats scoring 86.0 ppg giving up 61.9 ppg for a diff of 24.2
TCU at 8-5 and 3-4 ats scoring 70.8 ppg giving up 65.2 ppg for a diff of 5.6
I really like this game a lot. The diff suggests 18-19, and if you give TCU at home 3, line would be15-16 points. I'm giving 9 1/2 and have to win by 10.
Every stat favors WV. The big one: TCU turns it over 15 a game, can you imagine what this WV pressure will do to them.
TCU best win this year was against Illoinois St, that's it, rest of their w's were over rinky dinks or teams that are down this year.
They lost last game by 21 to Okl St.
WV will just crush you if given the chance.
A little worry that this is WV 3rd straight game on the road, w over Kansas St in double ot, 88-63 over Virginia Tech, and now TCU who you know will be fired up at home.
WV doesn't play again for 5 days so hooping they will go hard as they only won last year by 1 and 11 points playing TCU.
TCU is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing West Virginia (need to make it 6 in a row
TCU is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing West Virginia (like it) hopefully to many athletes for TCU to keep up with. (look for possible half time play if WV is down at half)
#536 Kansas -6 1/2 -110
Oklahoma at 12-0 and 6-4 ats scoring 87.0 ppg giving up 67.5 ppg for a diff of 19.5
Kansas at 12-1 and 9-2 ats scoring 88.3 ppg giving up 65.0 ppg for a diff of 23.3
I'm giving more credit to Kansas at home than this line. I have them worth 5. Line should be 8-9. I know, how do you give a team like Oklahoma that many points. It's easy for me based on the way they are beating teams and covering spreads this season.
Kansas is 6-1 ats at home and 3-1 ats away, they are loaded with talent and very seldom lose at home and have owned Oklahoma going 13-2 SU in its last 15 games against the Sooners.
I came very close to playing the over in this game. This is also a game to be ready for half time action for a possible middle or total bet.
Oklahoma is tough! They have been flirting with losing games lately and I think this just might be the one that gets them their first loss and brings them back down to earth.
#546 Marist Pick -110
ST. Peters at 4-7 and 5-2 ats scoring 67.8 ppg giving up 69.9 ppg for a diff of -2.1
Marist at 4-8 and 4-2-1 ats scoring 71.3 ppg giving up 78.2 ppg for a diff of -6.8
I have to be honest, I don't know much about either team, I just play Marist in this game because of the trend, and it has been strong, Marist covers a lot in this series
HEAD TO HEAD SUMMARY
TEAM........... SU... ATS... AVG SCORE AVG ½ SCORE
Saint Peter's 4-6... 1-9 ... 62.2........... 28.9 42.6
Marist......... 6-4... 9-1.... 64.5........... 28.2 43.2
Saint Peter's is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Saint Peter's is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist (seem to have trouble winning at Marist)
Saint Peter's is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist
Marist is 9-1 ats last 10 in this series and are on a 9 game ats streak inn this series.
That's the only reason why I'm playing a game like this.
#550 Texas Southern -17 -110
Alcorn St at 3-9 and 0-1 ats scoring 63.1 ppg giving up 79.3 ppg for a diff of-16.2
Texas S at 2-11 and 2-2 ats scoring 70.2 ppg giving up 79.3 ppg for a diff of-9.1
Diff of 7, but still the line is at 17, Texas S worth 10 at home you wonder, no, worth 3, BUT, look at the schedules, this diff is really way off base when you compare teams that they have played.
Texas S has played AT ALL OF THESE PLACES: Miss St, Wash St, Clemson, Baylor, New Mexico, Cuse, Iona, Central M, at Creighton, obviously they will play anyone, anywhere, anytime.
They are coached by ex Indiana coach Mike Davis, and he beefs up the schedule so they dominate their conf. He gets players to come to Tex S because of the schedule, because they know they have a chance to play in the NCAA tournament because they get better playing these teams instead of yo, yo's.
Alcorn St schedule : Prairie View A&M, Louisiana College, Blue Mountain, etc, giving them some credit though as they did play at Indiana, Oakland, and Mercer.
Tex S are 10-0 last 10 in this series. Tex S won both games last year by 21,
Last year conf records:
Tex S at 16-2
Alcorn at 4-14
I could lose this game, like any other game, but trying to find some games where I really think I might have a edge and hoping that this is one of them.
#523 NC -3 -110
NC at 13-2 and 5-8-2 ats scoring 86.5 ppg giving up 70.5 ppg for a diff of 16.0
Florida St at 10-3 and 5-4 ats scoring 81.5 giving up 70.9 ppg for a diff of 10.6
Diff of 6.6 and looks like they add 3 to 4 for Florida St home court. The lines get much tighter in conf play as the teams always know each others plays and personal to the T.
Most of the stats fav NC although all stats are pretty close between these two teams. I like NC because they shoot 50% from the field and 72.7 from the ft line.
Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina
Florida State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina (like it and a small spread to cover)
Florida State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NC (like it)
I like Paige at the Point: 14.8 ppg, 2.6 rebs, 3.6 assists, shooting 50% fg, 80% ft, and 42.2 from 3 pt land.
NC also has 2 other players shooting over 80% form the ft line.
They have 5 players averaging DD's, so the def has to worry about everyone, not just one or two scorers.
Florida St coming off a two game road trip beating Florida by two and losing to Clemson by 9. They have Miami Fl on deck.
NC picked #1 in some pre-season polls, and I'm going with the talent and the speedsters in this one.
#525 WV -9 1/2 -110
WV at 12-1 and 6-4 ats scoring 86.0 ppg giving up 61.9 ppg for a diff of 24.2
TCU at 8-5 and 3-4 ats scoring 70.8 ppg giving up 65.2 ppg for a diff of 5.6
I really like this game a lot. The diff suggests 18-19, and if you give TCU at home 3, line would be15-16 points. I'm giving 9 1/2 and have to win by 10.
Every stat favors WV. The big one: TCU turns it over 15 a game, can you imagine what this WV pressure will do to them.
TCU best win this year was against Illoinois St, that's it, rest of their w's were over rinky dinks or teams that are down this year.
They lost last game by 21 to Okl St.
WV will just crush you if given the chance.
A little worry that this is WV 3rd straight game on the road, w over Kansas St in double ot, 88-63 over Virginia Tech, and now TCU who you know will be fired up at home.
WV doesn't play again for 5 days so hooping they will go hard as they only won last year by 1 and 11 points playing TCU.
TCU is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing West Virginia (need to make it 6 in a row
TCU is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing West Virginia (like it) hopefully to many athletes for TCU to keep up with. (look for possible half time play if WV is down at half)
#536 Kansas -6 1/2 -110
Oklahoma at 12-0 and 6-4 ats scoring 87.0 ppg giving up 67.5 ppg for a diff of 19.5
Kansas at 12-1 and 9-2 ats scoring 88.3 ppg giving up 65.0 ppg for a diff of 23.3
I'm giving more credit to Kansas at home than this line. I have them worth 5. Line should be 8-9. I know, how do you give a team like Oklahoma that many points. It's easy for me based on the way they are beating teams and covering spreads this season.
Kansas is 6-1 ats at home and 3-1 ats away, they are loaded with talent and very seldom lose at home and have owned Oklahoma going 13-2 SU in its last 15 games against the Sooners.
I came very close to playing the over in this game. This is also a game to be ready for half time action for a possible middle or total bet.
Oklahoma is tough! They have been flirting with losing games lately and I think this just might be the one that gets them their first loss and brings them back down to earth.
#546 Marist Pick -110
ST. Peters at 4-7 and 5-2 ats scoring 67.8 ppg giving up 69.9 ppg for a diff of -2.1
Marist at 4-8 and 4-2-1 ats scoring 71.3 ppg giving up 78.2 ppg for a diff of -6.8
I have to be honest, I don't know much about either team, I just play Marist in this game because of the trend, and it has been strong, Marist covers a lot in this series
HEAD TO HEAD SUMMARY
TEAM........... SU... ATS... AVG SCORE AVG ½ SCORE
Saint Peter's 4-6... 1-9 ... 62.2........... 28.9 42.6
Marist......... 6-4... 9-1.... 64.5........... 28.2 43.2
Saint Peter's is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Saint Peter's is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist (seem to have trouble winning at Marist)
Saint Peter's is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist
Marist is 9-1 ats last 10 in this series and are on a 9 game ats streak inn this series.
That's the only reason why I'm playing a game like this.
#550 Texas Southern -17 -110
Alcorn St at 3-9 and 0-1 ats scoring 63.1 ppg giving up 79.3 ppg for a diff of-16.2
Texas S at 2-11 and 2-2 ats scoring 70.2 ppg giving up 79.3 ppg for a diff of-9.1
Diff of 7, but still the line is at 17, Texas S worth 10 at home you wonder, no, worth 3, BUT, look at the schedules, this diff is really way off base when you compare teams that they have played.
Texas S has played AT ALL OF THESE PLACES: Miss St, Wash St, Clemson, Baylor, New Mexico, Cuse, Iona, Central M, at Creighton, obviously they will play anyone, anywhere, anytime.
They are coached by ex Indiana coach Mike Davis, and he beefs up the schedule so they dominate their conf. He gets players to come to Tex S because of the schedule, because they know they have a chance to play in the NCAA tournament because they get better playing these teams instead of yo, yo's.
Alcorn St schedule : Prairie View A&M, Louisiana College, Blue Mountain, etc, giving them some credit though as they did play at Indiana, Oakland, and Mercer.
Tex S are 10-0 last 10 in this series. Tex S won both games last year by 21,
Last year conf records:
Tex S at 16-2
Alcorn at 4-14
I could lose this game, like any other game, but trying to find some games where I really think I might have a edge and hoping that this is one of them.
Happy New Year! I realize these well wishes are belated, but I was on "vacation" from the Rx for the past week.
I've just returned, so this is my first opportunity to express myself. I consider you one of the "good guys" here at the Rx.
I just want to tell you how grateful I am for the NCAA hoops plays you post here on a daily basis.
It takes time and effort to ferret out plays most likely to win ATS. This does not go unnoticed by me or any of us.
I'm tailing all 5 of your plays above. Best of luck to you, me, and everyone tailing. :toast:
