NCAA HOOPS 151

[one51rum]

ICW @ Lamar could be interesting, looking at it I am kind of leaning to ICW +5 , they do well on the road and as a dog, won their last 4 and 5 of 6 losing at Duke, but 3 of those games were against smaller schools, and Lamar has won their last 2 and 7 of their last 8 but they are very good away, they each won at home last year playing each other, but ICW is 4-1 ats away and 4-1 ats as a dog, but just 1-4 STR up away...and 4-2 ats after a win,and 2-0 ats with 1 day off.... Lamar is 0-2 ats at home, and 1-1 ats as a favorite, and 0-1 ats as a home favorite, and 1-0 ats with 1 day off.....ICW does shoot better on the road, 43% and 37% from 3, while Lamar at home shoots 39% and 29% from 3 at home , 3 of the 5 losses for ICW were within 5 points 70-72, 74-75, and 78-83 so they do tend to keep things close, so 5 may be worth a look ...just passing info along

ICW+4.5 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

sorry for not posting this when I bet it but I bet over in the wisc/Rutgers game 155 I know I did a write up and cant find it

over 155 1.5 units

 

[poppers]

Good Luck today Rum!!

 

[krg]

Good luck tonight Rum

 

[one51rum]

NBA Knicks -12 1 unit
Over 209 same game 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

0-5 last night very bad

 

[one51rum]

1st game I am going with is Ill-Chicago at Missouri st +3 just had them at Belmont +7 they covered in a very high scoring game losing by 5, Missouri st is 5-2 STR up at home this year, 2-3 STR up as a favorite, 1-2 STR up as a home favorite, 3-2 ats at home and 2-3 ats after a loss, they have lost their last 3 games 1-2 ats as a home favorite ...Ill Chicago is 3-2 STR up away and as an away dog, and are 6-5 STR up as a dog, and they are 5-0 ats away, and 8-3 ats as a dog, and 5-0 ats as an away dog....ILL Chicago last 3 games are shooting 49.7% and 40% from 3, last 3 games Missouri st is shooting 40% and 27% from 3 ...and Missouri st has won the last 4 meetings and I think that gives Ill Chicago more motivation in this game I will take 3 points here



Ill-Chicago+3 1 unit

am liking West Virginia at home tomorrow also, getting 3 they are 3-0 ats vs ranked teams this year, they already beat Arizona earlier on a neutral court 83-76 now at home, I do like it

 

[one51rum]

taking Georgia tonight at home +3 vs KY, this is more or less a gut instinct play, no real good trends or anything Georgia is only 1-2 ats as a dog, even at home they are only 5-4 ats , just a gut play here





Geeorgia +3 1 unit



also I have been on Florida in almost every game and I am not jumping off now, even though they lost at KY, they were close to covering, 2 missed ft's late and I cover, even after a 18-0 run by KY and a 10-0 run and another 10-0 run, not many teams could with stand that....

Florida -3 2 unit to show ya how strong they are rarely do you see a team now -4 and the ML is -190 that's crazy, should be like a -155, not sure where most people play at, but I play at HardRock mostly and I cannot cash out every play, some they do not let you, and if the line moves it gets exspensive to cash out, rarely is it at no cost....I think Florida will really play well tonight, finally a home game they should get this by 8+ this will be a big test for both, Tennessee's defense will be tested tonight



Taking BYU tonight ML -125 2 units this line has been dropping which means money is going on Texas Tech, but I am not worried about that, maybe its because Texas Tech won both meetings last year, I think BYU at home gets this done tonight do like -2 also but going ML here they are coming off a bad loss on the road, and I think they play hard for this one, Texas Tech has not been a dog yet this year, and they are just 4-5 ats after a win, BYU is 2-0 ats after a loss



I am thinking about taking Miss st -2 at Vandy, just the line does not make sense, I really like this Miss st team, they are 2-0 ats away this year and 2-0 STR up as an away favorite, this line is dropping, and I understand that, Vandy is a very good team, Miss st won at Memphis and at SMU which is 2 quality road wins,

and I do like Akron at home tonight -7 vs C Michigan, Akron has not played at home in a while since like 12-7 and I think they will be happy to be at home again...they have beaten C Michigan the last 7 times I think, they shoot the 3 very well, and C Michigan has been struggling, the last 3 games they are only averaging 51 pts a game and are giving up 78, that's a -27 score margin, and last 3 games Akron is avg 71 pts and giving up 64 for a +7 score margin, and away CM is avg 64 and giving up 78, and at home Akron is avg 88.5 and giving up 76,...Last 3 games CM is shooting just 31% and just 22.8% from 3 and I just do not see them shooting much better at Akron, at home Akron is shooting 46.9% and 37.9% from 3 this should be a 12 point +win I think tonight , CM is 5-2 ats as a dog, but I think Akron plays well tonight

Akron-7 1 unit

 

[killykill]

Get em rummer!

 

[krg]

Best of luck tonight Rum.

 

[poppers]

Good Luck Rum!!

 

[one51rum]

Over 150 BG/W.Michigan 1.5 units these 2 have played some very high scoring games,

 

[one51rum]

west Virginia +4 1 unit at home vs Arizona WV 3-0 ats vs ranked teams this year 8-0 STR up at home

Over 76.5 TT Fla 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

Clemson +4 1.5 units

Iowa -3 1 unit

CINNCY+6 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

again I did not post Morgan st +4 and the OVER 154 both win too sorry

 

[one51rum]

teaser San Jose st +14.5/Fresno+20/new mex -2 +150

Fresno st +15 1.5 units

 

[one51rum]

AGAIN I win my 1st posted play with write up and it won very easy ILLINOIS-Chicago +3 wins outright by about 20 cant ask for a better play to be explained to you why it is a play, next write up Florida, Georgia, BYU, Miss st, Akron 5-1 thats not bad and I really need to stop following, fresno st , Clemson were followed I should have stopped after 1st 5 write ups

gl 151

 

[one51rum]

ok again hard not to take Illinois st on the road at Evansville, this Illinois st team has some really well away this year, only road game that they lost was a 97-99 loss at Belmont, but I think they did cover that spread , because they are 3-1 STR up away and 4-0 ats away this year, and they are 11-3 ats this year, this is one of those teams that if you got on them early, they could make it a good year, Evansville is coming off a 4 pt home loss to Indiana st , they are 4-4 STR up at home this year but are just 3-9 STR up as a dog this year, 3-4 ats at home and are 4-8 ats as a dog, and again Illinois st has a rest disadvantage, and with a rest disadvantage they are 5-1 STR up and 5-1 ats this year, and Evansville with a rest advantage are 0-3 ats this year



Last 3 games Ill st is shooting just over 50% and are shooting the 2 at 63.1%...last 3 Evansville is shooting 42% and shooting the 2 at 46.8%, and away Illinois st is shooting again 50% and the 2 at 55% and the 3 at 43% that's big, and at home Evans is shooting 45% 53% from 2 and 36% from 3 have to stay with the hot team here, who seems to enjoy being on the road

Illinois st -5 1 unit



also I am going to go with Rhode Island at home -5, have not been on them for a few and I feel like this is a good spot for them here, GW is a good team as they are 12-3 this year but they have been weaker on the road here, and they did win about 4 in a row vs RI until last year when RI finally got them on the road and won 88-65, RI is 9-0 at home this year, and they are 6-0 STR up as a home favorite , also I do like the OVER in this game, as RI is 9-4 OVER this year and they are 7-3 OVER after a win, and 9-2 OVER as a favorite and 5-1 OVER as a home favorite..... GW is 2-0 OVER as a dog this year

Rhode Island -5 regular

Over 150 small

 

[one51rum]

also last night I went and bet Navy +2 at Holy Cross, Navy has won their last 23 games, but another thing is that Navy lost 6 games in a row before winning these last 2 and 4 were away and 2 were on Neutral courts, they were in every game, they lost by 8 pts twice, 5 points twice, and 6 pts twice, and maybe now they have found a way to win thos closer games, they have also won the last 3 vs HC, and 2 of those were away, they are 4-2 ats away this year and are 5-3 ats as a dog, and are 4-0 ats as an away dog , HC is 1-2 ats at home and are 0-2 ats as a favorite ...this game could go OVER also...total is 144 and Navy is 3-1 OVER after a win and HC is 2-0 OVER as a favorite
NAVY+2 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

and Gut Instinct play ILLINOIS-9 -130 1.5 units Penn st is 0-2 ats as a dog this year, coming off a loss they are better but I think Illinois is just a really good team, they just went out west and destroyed teams , and the OVER 163 in this game looks good, Penn st does like to score points too, just not sure if they are going to want to get into a run and gun game with Illinois, so they may try to slow this down ...Penn st is avg 86 pts a game, 80 pts last 3 games and they avg 78 on the road, if Penn st scores in the mid 70's or higher this is going to go way OVER 163 this could be a 92-80 type of game real easyiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii
Illinois-9 1.5 units
Over 163 small play

also am looking into St Thomas at home -3 , SD St has beaten them 6 of last 7 but St Thomas is playing really well right now just coming home from a 4 game road trip where they won 3 of the 4 and covered the one they lost at UCRiverside, losing by 2 and they are scoring a lot of points also averaging 85 points in their last 3 games and giving up 82, and SD st last 3 they are averaging 81 and giving up 85, and at home st Thomas is avg 88 and giving up 76 and SD st on the road is avg 73 and giving up 76, this could be a very high scoring game also, st Thomas is 11-2-1 OVER this year and SD st is 8-6 OVER, and are 4-1 OVER as a dog, st Thomas is 6-0-1 OVER as a favorite total is 156, this could be an OVER someone is getting into the low 80's in this game
will post when I play

gl 151