well a decent day yesterday and as usual the games that I capped that no one else posted I was 6-0-1 del st, over Highpoint, over st Thomas, Presbyterian, I'll Chicago, will n Mary and Nicholls st pushed
today again I think I have to go with Ill st at home -7 , S Illinois has lost 3 straight, last 3 games they are avg 67 points and giving up 80, shooting just 40% and 26% from 3 , and on the road they are avg 72 and giving up 81, and Ill st at home is avg 75 and giving up 68 , they have been shooting the 3 at 39% last 3 games, and S Ill won both meetings last year, so I am sure Ill st knows this, and wants to get the W and with 2-3 days off Ill st is 5-0 ats, and S I'll with 3 days off is 1-3-1 ats ,
Ill st -7 1 unit
also I am going to go against most I think and take Marist at home -1 they are playing really well this year, 10-2 and are 6-0 STR up at home and 6-0 STR up as a home favorite, now with the line being just 1 that works for me, they are 2-1 ats in conf games and Quinn is 3-0 ats in conf and I do know that, after losing both last year to Quinn, I think being at home this is a game they may be want to really win, should be a good game, I do understand taking Quinn here, but just going with the hot team who have won 6 in a row, and just hoping they want this one more, most likely for 1st place, going against the line move, and Quinn is not shooting very well away so far as they are shooting just 38.9% away and the 3 at 26.8% away,and the 2 at 46.7% away... and Marist is shooting 46.9% at home and 30.4% from 3 and 56.7% from 2 at home, ..Quinn away is avg 70 pts and giving up 77, Marist at home is avg 69 and giving up 62 , the total is 137 last 3 meetings between these 2 have all went under that total ..actually grabbing Marist at ML -120
Marist ML -120 1 unit
also today going to go with N.Texas +9 at Memphis, Memphis just seems to play diff at home for some reason, this is going to be a odd game, we know N Texas wants to keep this a lower scoring game under 70, and Memphis wants this higher scoring, this is a gut instinct play, Memphis is 2-2 last 4 at home, and I just think N Texas can keep this closer, I am thinking 4-6 points , last 3 games N Texas is avg 69 pts and giving up 61, and away they avg 62 and give up 60 so they do have a +2 scores margin away, Memphis at home is avg 80 and giving up 75 I think this is a 5 point game, I do think they keep Memphis under 75 but N Texas can shoot the 3 , 74-69 final
N Texas +9 1.5 units