#880 Monmouth -13 -110
Fairfield at 12-10 (6-6) and 8-9 ats scoring 79.0 ppg giving up 79.6 ppg for a diff of -0.7
Monmouth at 18-5 (10-2) and 14-7 ats scoring 80.4 ppg giving up 73.4 ppg for a diff of 7.0
Diff suggests 7, give Monmouth 3 at home, I get 10-11, and I'm giving 13. What do you really expect when you play this team, especially at home. Monmouth won he first meeting at FF back on Jan 11, by a score of 86-74. FF jumped all over them and led by as many as 12 in the first half and had a 7 point half time lead. Final score tells you how the 2nd half of that went for them. I just don't think Monmouth will come out flat in this one this time at home. Monmouth 10-2 in conf and have Iona right on their tail. Monmouth is 3rd in the nation at the ft line, 77.5%.
Monmouth: FTA: 564 Fairfield: FTA: 426
Monmouth: FTM: 437 Fairfield: FTM: 314
Monmouth has made more ft's than Fairfield has attempted. (I really liken that stat)
Monmouth has 6 players who average over 80% from the ft line. (pick your poison on who you foul)
Monmouth also leads in the rebs, 3pt %, turnover margin, and are even better at home with the stats.
FF are 4-5 on the road and 2-3 in conf on the road.
FF are 4-1 ats last 5 in this series: (don't like it) BUT (They were 4-0 until Monmouth covered the -5 at FF a couple of weeks ago) This is same Monmouth team and they are better than the past two years. The scary thing is that Monmouth only has 1 sr. on the team.
Monmouth have two players that come off the bench and average close to DD ppg. They are a deep team when they sub.
Fairfield coming off a 64-59 loss at home to Quinn. Just 3 days earlier, Monmouth beat Quinn at Quinn by a score of 66-51. (just a example of the talent level between the two teams) I know every game is different and FF may play hard and cover the spread or even pull off the miracle upset, but that's why it's gambling and I'm taking Monmouth and hope to see their bench on sports center doing some more stunts after this game.
#886 St Pete/Siena under 137 1/2 -110
St. Peters at 8-12 (6-5) and 10-6 ats scoring 66.3 ppg giving up 68.6 ppg for a diff of -2.3
Siena at 15-8 (8-4) and 9-7-1 ats scoring 78.0 ppg giving up 73.2 ppg for a diff of 4.8
I first started to look at this game my intentions were to bet Siena at home in a bounce back mode after the loss at home to Monmouth. I changed my mind after I saw how well St Peters (7-3 ats away) have been playing on the road. This one is also on ESPNU and that means it will be big for both teams because that doesn't happen to often. What we have in this game is two teams with contrasting styles of play. One is low scoring both on off and def and the other scores more and gives up more.
St Peter's shooting 41.9% fg, 65% ft, and 32.9 from 3 pt land averaging 6.3 a game. I honestly believe they will shoot even worse in this hornets nest.
Siena shooting 46.3 % fg, 71.6% ft, and 35.7 % from 3 pt land averaging 5.3 a game. I don't think they will have as many possession to reach their season totals.
Siena are 2-6 on the o/u at home.
St P are 5-5 on the o/u away.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Peter's last 6 games on the road (good)
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saint Peter's last 11 games when playing on the road against Siena ( really looks good)
The last 10 games in this match-up the O/U is 3-7 with the average score 62.5 to 58.4. The half time average score has been 26.8 to 27.4
I don't know. I'm just following the % of a 10 game trend between the two teams. Trying to find an edge in this grind anyway I can.
#888 CM/Akron over 146 -110
C. Michigan at 13-9 (6-3) and 7-7-1 ats scoring 77.1 ppg giving up 71.7 ppg for a diff of 5.4
Akron at 18-4 (7-2) and 10-6 ats scoring 76.6 ppg giving up 66.3 ppg for a diff of 10.3
What we have in this game is the two division leaders going at it and one in a revenge mode. I'm getting 145.8 for the total when you do the math. That is for all games this season and not for what these two teams could possibly put up against each other. In the first meeting, Central Mich won at home 92-81 (173) with a line of 148 for the total. What I liked most about that game was: FTA: 40 and FTM: 30, that's right 30 points with the clock stopped.
The game at Akron last year was won by Akron 82-76 (158) with a line of 138 1/2. What I liked most about that game was: FTA: 62 and FTM: 40, that's right 40 points with the clocked stopped and a lot left on the board with the 22 misses.
Both teams have the same coaches, same styles as the past, wish we could have the same refs to blow the whistle for foul shots.
Speaking of which will be very important if this game is to go over the number: both teams get to the line
CM: FTA: 441 FTM: 316
Akr: FTA: 457 FTM: 317
CM shoot 36.2% form 3 pt land and 71% ft,
Another stat that I like is that they don't turn it over a lot. They average 10 and 11 to's respectively a game. That means you get a shot off more often and have a chance to score or get fouled. To's can lead to some easy points on a press, but on the other hand in half court they waste a lot of game clock. And when you bet a over, at least if your like me. you like seeing a lot of time on the clock when you check the score out and you have a over. Completely opposite when you have the under of course.
Good luck everyone
Akron leads the conf in 3 pt % at 38.4 and average (11.1) a game.
Fairfield at 12-10 (6-6) and 8-9 ats scoring 79.0 ppg giving up 79.6 ppg for a diff of -0.7
Monmouth at 18-5 (10-2) and 14-7 ats scoring 80.4 ppg giving up 73.4 ppg for a diff of 7.0
Diff suggests 7, give Monmouth 3 at home, I get 10-11, and I'm giving 13. What do you really expect when you play this team, especially at home. Monmouth won he first meeting at FF back on Jan 11, by a score of 86-74. FF jumped all over them and led by as many as 12 in the first half and had a 7 point half time lead. Final score tells you how the 2nd half of that went for them. I just don't think Monmouth will come out flat in this one this time at home. Monmouth 10-2 in conf and have Iona right on their tail. Monmouth is 3rd in the nation at the ft line, 77.5%.
Monmouth: FTA: 564 Fairfield: FTA: 426
Monmouth: FTM: 437 Fairfield: FTM: 314
Monmouth has made more ft's than Fairfield has attempted. (I really liken that stat)
Monmouth has 6 players who average over 80% from the ft line. (pick your poison on who you foul)
Monmouth also leads in the rebs, 3pt %, turnover margin, and are even better at home with the stats.
FF are 4-5 on the road and 2-3 in conf on the road.
FF are 4-1 ats last 5 in this series: (don't like it) BUT (They were 4-0 until Monmouth covered the -5 at FF a couple of weeks ago) This is same Monmouth team and they are better than the past two years. The scary thing is that Monmouth only has 1 sr. on the team.
Monmouth have two players that come off the bench and average close to DD ppg. They are a deep team when they sub.
Fairfield coming off a 64-59 loss at home to Quinn. Just 3 days earlier, Monmouth beat Quinn at Quinn by a score of 66-51. (just a example of the talent level between the two teams) I know every game is different and FF may play hard and cover the spread or even pull off the miracle upset, but that's why it's gambling and I'm taking Monmouth and hope to see their bench on sports center doing some more stunts after this game.
#886 St Pete/Siena under 137 1/2 -110
St. Peters at 8-12 (6-5) and 10-6 ats scoring 66.3 ppg giving up 68.6 ppg for a diff of -2.3
Siena at 15-8 (8-4) and 9-7-1 ats scoring 78.0 ppg giving up 73.2 ppg for a diff of 4.8
I first started to look at this game my intentions were to bet Siena at home in a bounce back mode after the loss at home to Monmouth. I changed my mind after I saw how well St Peters (7-3 ats away) have been playing on the road. This one is also on ESPNU and that means it will be big for both teams because that doesn't happen to often. What we have in this game is two teams with contrasting styles of play. One is low scoring both on off and def and the other scores more and gives up more.
St Peter's shooting 41.9% fg, 65% ft, and 32.9 from 3 pt land averaging 6.3 a game. I honestly believe they will shoot even worse in this hornets nest.
Siena shooting 46.3 % fg, 71.6% ft, and 35.7 % from 3 pt land averaging 5.3 a game. I don't think they will have as many possession to reach their season totals.
Siena are 2-6 on the o/u at home.
St P are 5-5 on the o/u away.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Peter's last 6 games on the road (good)
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saint Peter's last 11 games when playing on the road against Siena ( really looks good)
The last 10 games in this match-up the O/U is 3-7 with the average score 62.5 to 58.4. The half time average score has been 26.8 to 27.4
I don't know. I'm just following the % of a 10 game trend between the two teams. Trying to find an edge in this grind anyway I can.
#888 CM/Akron over 146 -110
C. Michigan at 13-9 (6-3) and 7-7-1 ats scoring 77.1 ppg giving up 71.7 ppg for a diff of 5.4
Akron at 18-4 (7-2) and 10-6 ats scoring 76.6 ppg giving up 66.3 ppg for a diff of 10.3
What we have in this game is the two division leaders going at it and one in a revenge mode. I'm getting 145.8 for the total when you do the math. That is for all games this season and not for what these two teams could possibly put up against each other. In the first meeting, Central Mich won at home 92-81 (173) with a line of 148 for the total. What I liked most about that game was: FTA: 40 and FTM: 30, that's right 30 points with the clock stopped.
The game at Akron last year was won by Akron 82-76 (158) with a line of 138 1/2. What I liked most about that game was: FTA: 62 and FTM: 40, that's right 40 points with the clocked stopped and a lot left on the board with the 22 misses.
Both teams have the same coaches, same styles as the past, wish we could have the same refs to blow the whistle for foul shots.
Speaking of which will be very important if this game is to go over the number: both teams get to the line
CM: FTA: 441 FTM: 316
Akr: FTA: 457 FTM: 317
CM shoot 36.2% form 3 pt land and 71% ft,
Another stat that I like is that they don't turn it over a lot. They average 10 and 11 to's respectively a game. That means you get a shot off more often and have a chance to score or get fouled. To's can lead to some easy points on a press, but on the other hand in half court they waste a lot of game clock. And when you bet a over, at least if your like me. you like seeing a lot of time on the clock when you check the score out and you have a over. Completely opposite when you have the under of course.
Good luck everyone
Akron leads the conf in 3 pt % at 38.4 and average (11.1) a game.
