NBA-- Wednesday, November 10...

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Striving towards handicapping perfection...
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
2,726
Tokens
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Preseason: Games bet: 22-18-1 (+2.75 Units), Overall record: 65-44-2
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Futures play: Detroit +525 to win championship (1.5 units)
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Main Card YTD: 9-4-1 (+3.40 units)
Sides: 4-4-1 (-2.1 units), Totals: 5-0 (+5.5 units)

Added Plays YTD: 0-3 (-2.20 units)
Sides: 0-3 (-2.2 units), Totals: 0-0 (0 units)

Other plays YTD: 5-5 (+0.50 units)
2nd-Halves: 2-1 (+0.45 units)-----1st-Halves: 1-0 (+1 unit)-----1st-Quarters: 0-1 (-1.15 units)
Parlays: 0-1 (-0.10 units)-----Teasers: 1-2-1 (-1.9 units)-----R-Robins: 1-0 (+2.20 units)


Leans YTD: 10-14-1, (Sides: 5-8, Totals: 5-6-1)
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Note: My bet range generally goes from 0.5 to 5 units...I don't go above 3 units very often…Even though I use Pinnacle a lot, for grading purposes here, I will employ a -110 line for all straight plays…
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The dilemma tonight is that I like a lot of games...A lot of games...But I've been hot the last 4 days...My thinking is that a drubbing is on the horizon...My friends tell me to ride out the hot streak...I dunno...The leans below may turn into added plays, I just don't know yet, but the game I do like and already bet is:

Washington Wizards -3 (2 units)

Orlando had a big win over Dallas last night, but the key here is whether Mobley and/or cato play tonight:

"Cuttino Mobley left the game during the third quarter with a strained right groin, while Kelvin Cato left the contest because of a sprained ankle. Mobley and Cato are questionable for tonight's game."

Even if they do, I still like the Wiz, because both teams have played a back-to-back situation once this season and ORL lost at CHAR after a last-second win at New Orleans, while the Wizards beat CHAR after beating Memphis...I'm hoping the late run WASH made last night at Miami gives them some momentum into this game...And yes, I did notice ORL swept WAS last year, but that is a "lower echelon trend" in my book, the back-to-back results from Week 1 of this year is a stronger factor to look at...

Leans:
MILW -12 (CHAR missing starting point guard Knight and maybe Ely, too)...
SAC -1.5 (maybe they have righted the ship?)
TOR +11 (a lot of points and TOR starters didn't play too many minutes last night, perhaps Utah looking ahead to DET coming to town?)
LAC +5.5 (Artest out, let-down for IND after big win last night at Minny)...
PHI -9 (Nets banged up: "Jason Collins was forced to leave the contest with a sprained left ankle. It is unknown if Best, Mercer or Collins will be available tonight")...
MEMP -4 (they play the Lakers tough at Home and I doubt MEMP goes to 0-5)...
Phoe/Cle Over 200.5 (maybe CLE opens it up tonight?)
Sac/Sea Over 204.5 (SEA scoring a lot at Home, possible shoot-out)
Orl/Was Over 202 (both teams went Over in their other 2nd-game-in-2-nights game)...

Good Luck...brewers7

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Please note: [color=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above[/color]...
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Main Card:
Yesterday: 3-0 (+3.00 units)
Last 3 days: 3-1 (+0.80 units)
Last 7 days: 8-3-1 (+3.45 units)

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Words of advice: Tail me when I am hot...Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Money management…Stay humble…Act professional…
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Striving towards handicapping perfection...
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
2,726
Tokens
So do I!!!...LOL...But, I have 40 minutes to decide whether I just leave it at one bet for tonight...Ughhh...Decisions, decisions...
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
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I'm totally on Wizards with you. In fact, I grabbed them -1 O/L.

What I really like about this matchup is the fact that Wizards have the deepest bench in the East, coupled with Orlando injuries. Even if the injured players play they will not be 100% and on a second of a back-2-back you have to love Washington here.

Also, I think too much credit given to Orlando win over Dallas last night. Dallas was on an away game in second of back-2-back that went into OT and almost double OT. It was a perfect spot for a Dallas let down. Orlando beat Dallas at home but don't overrate that victory.

I see Orlando missing a lot of shots and the deep Washington bench coming through. Should be an easy game wire-to-wire.

GL!
 

New member
Joined
Oct 13, 2004
Messages
175
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brewers7 said:
So do I!!!...LOL...But, I have 40 minutes to decide whether I just leave it at one bet for tonight...Ughhh...Decisions, decisions...
Jump on Milwaukee my man....
 

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
2,726
Tokens
Knew I couldn't help myself...(ok rudeawakening, on it small)...

Adding:

Phoenix/Cleveland Over 51, 1Q (1/2 unit)

Milwaukee -12 (1/2 unit)

10-point teaser (1/2 unit)


Milwaukee -2
San Antonio -5
Toronto +20.5
Sacramento +9
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,869
Tokens
Woah... it was a 15-point lead for Wizards. I had that money spent.

Next thing I know 19-0 run by Magic in 3 minutes. Add that to their 20-5 run in the first quarter. Wow...
 

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
2,726
Tokens
Looks like a ROUGH night 2nite...

ORL and those runs, how about Phoenix scoring just 2 points in the final 5:17 + of the 1Q to rob me of that 1Q Over...And MILW is getting pounded...Ouch...Taking it on the chin tonight...That's why there is always tomorrow...
 

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