NBA -- Tuesday, January 4...

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brewers7

brewers7

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Preseason: Games bet: 22-18-1 (+2.75 Units), Overall Preseason record: 65-44-2
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Futures play: Detroit +525 to win championship (1.5 units)
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Main Card YTD: 46-24-1 (+21.45 units)
Sides: 31-19-1 (+11.00 units), Totals: 15-5 (+10.45 units)

Added Plays YTD: 28-27 (-0.30 units)
Sides: 15-17-1 (-2.25 units), Totals: 13-10 (+1.95 units)

Other plays YTD: 13-20 (-3.20 units)
2nd-Halves: 6-3 (+3.40 units)-----1st-Halves: 2-2 (+0.40 units)-----1st-Quarters: 2-4 (-1.35 units)
2nd-Quarters: 0-2-1 (-1.10 units)-----3rd-Quarters: 0-1 (-0.60 units)----- 4th-Quarters 0-0 (0.00 units)
Parlays: 0-3 (-0.40 units)-----Teasers: 1-3-1 (-2.50 units)-----R-Robins: 2-2 (-0.50 units)


Leans YTD: 75-72-2, (Sides: 42-41, Totals: 33-31-2)
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Note: My bet range generally goes from 0.5 to 5 units...I don't go above 3 units very often…Even though I use Pinnacle a lot, for grading purposes here, I will employ a -110 line for all straight plays…
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Been burned by Detroit too many times recently, so I bypassed them last night to put my top total on the Main Card, and it backfired, as DET covers when I don't bet them...Jinx stat of the night: My top total has only lost 2 in a row twice this entire season...2-unit plays now 10-2, I believe, after last night's loss, although hopefully SOON, my standard play will be 2 units...Been very stagnant the last 2+ weeks as I cannot get over the 25-unit hump, I am just stuck between 20 and 25...

New York Knicks +3 (1.5 units)

Just looking at SAC's Road games, and they have been less than impressive away from Home...Lost 4 in a row out of the gate to good teams, then beat LAL (ok, decent win there), MEMP (when they were is disarray right before Hubie Brown "retired"), NO (who are dreadful), then they blew a 4Q lead and lost at MIN (who have been less than impressive themselves all year), barely beat short-handed IND (in OT), just skipped by a struggling and injured MILW squad by 3, then beat dreadful Utah (who they have OWNED in recent years) last week...We're in January and they have 1 quality win all year on the Road...They have lost at least 5 in a row at MSG (didn't look back further) and are in a let-down situation after a BIG win vs SA their last time out...NY is flaky, but they haven't lost 2 in a row at Home all season and they are coming off a loss to the Nets...Marbury is playing awesome the last 3 games...The Bobby Jackson injury (out 16 weeks after surgery) is going to catch up to this SAC squad sooner AND later...MSG crowd can help the Knicks get by this over-rated SAC squad who really shouldn't be favored in this spot, but are because the public still loves this team...Just a side note, both times SAC had a total of 175 or lower this year, they went Over their next game...They had a 167 the last time out...

LEANS:

Minny -- They have lost 2 straight at Home and 4-of-5 games overall...If they cannot get up for this one, then they are more of a disappointment then even Kevin McHale has said they are...I think PHOE's revenge (for an earlier home loss to MIN) will have to wait till FEB 2 at Minny or APR 1 at Home...
NJ -- WASH has already beaten NJ twice this year, and I cannot see them beating the Nets 3 straight times...NJ is on the upswing while WASH probably won't be much more over .500 then where they are at right now all year...
Phoe/Min Under -- They played a 190 at PHOE, and since this game will undoubtedly be a tight one, even though the 1H will probably go Over, I feel the 2H will slow down dramatically, keeping the total Under...
LAL/SA Under -- After a season-high 3 straight Overs for SA, they have gone Under twice in a row and I look for that to continue tonight...Don't see Kobe getting 40+ for a 4th straight game against the "Kobe-stopper" Bruce Bowen...

Good Luck...brewers7

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ALL PICKS:
Sides: 1) NY, 2) Min, 3) NJ, 4) Ind, 5) LAL
Totals: 1) Min un, 2) LAL un, 3) NY ov, 4) Ind ov, 5) NJ un
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Please note: [color=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above[/color]...
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Main Card:
Yesterday: 0-1 (-2.20 units)
Last 3 days: 1-1 (-0.70 units)
Last 7 days: 3-2 (-0.35 units)

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Words of advice: Tail me when I am hot...Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Money management…Stay humble…Act professional…
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Mr.Leisure

Mr.Leisure

Pour your misery down on me
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Just want to say you are a solid capper and i read your thread everyday.

I HOPE YOUR RIGHT ABOUT THE KNICKS TONITE!
 
brewers7

brewers7

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Thank you very much for the kind words...You have been doing VERY well yourself all season long and here's to hoping we are on the right side of this puppy...
 
NEWPORT

NEWPORT

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Yes I must pay my compliments to you as well. I read your thread daily, and I truly like the way your break down games and plays. You are a trend handicapper, which is the best kind for the NBA, and you are a numbers cruncher as well. I truly appreciate your wisdom daily. Thanks


and with Clint Eastwood as your avitar.......You are the Man!!!!

Serioulsy thanks

NEWPORT
 

ATSHotSheet

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Looks like a lose to me, too bad.... Sactown is gay but im on em tonight. Sac is the nasties team. They are just ugly i hate them from the bottom of my heart. But tonight they should cover...
GL!
 
brewers7

brewers7

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Thanx guys, you are way too kind...And yes, Clint is the man, he's getting old, but those Spaghetti Westerns will live on forever...

Looks like you were right ATS, SAC-town is burying NY and the Knicks are laying another egg at Home...Nice call, that should be another stone, mortal loser for me tonight...Weird, January is usually my best month, but last year it was my worst month...Maybe it's time to pull the bet amount back for a week or 2 to see if this is going to be another bad January...We'll see...But thanx again, I am just looking to contribute to this forum as much as I can...

GL...
 
brewers7

brewers7

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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adding...

Have to try this...

Adding:

Phoenix/Minnesota Under 105, 2H (1/2 unit)

Hoping this game is taking a similar pattern to their first meeting, plus, heck, there were a boatload of points scored in the 1H...

GL...
 

ATSHotSheet

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guess january doesnt like you, might consider lowering ur units for reals now. you are a great capper and i enjoy reading ur write-ups. keep em coming, stabalize yourself, then POUND EM!
 

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