National Football League Pre-Season

[Loves2kickass]

I personally don't wager pre-season games but I'll throw out leans for all games with my line advantage with each side.

Note: These are handicapped as if they were regular season games so take that with a grain of salt and decide for yourself. We all know most of the game time minutes are played without presumed season starters.

All game lines posted will be from Circa at the time of the post. These could be a good fade or tail and after a handful of games we should see a pattern either way.

Best of luck.

 

[Mofome2]

Bol and thxs for posting

 

[Loves2kickass]

Thu, Aug 1, 24

HOF

Houston Texans v Chicago Bears
Spread Rating - Houston -1.1

HOUSTON TEXANS -2, -10 (Line Adv. +0.9)
Circa Sports

Houston a play at -1.5 or higher

 

[Loves2kickass]

Bol and thxs for posting

No problem bro. We'll see how the pre-season transpires.

 

[bristolnole]

Two questions:
If your spread rating is 1.1, why is your selection Houston at -2 and not Chicago +2?
When you say Houston is a play at -1.5 or higher, don't you mean -1.5 or lower?

Best of luck, and just looking to understand what you're doing early on here.
Thanks

 

[Mofome2]

Two questions:
If your spread rating is 1.1, why is your selection Houston at -2 and not Chicago +2?
When you say Houston is a play at -1.5 or higher, don't you mean -1.5 or lower?

Best of luck, and just looking to understand what you're doing early on here.
Thanks

Thinking it is the Texans should be an almost 3 point fav. Could be wrong

 

[itchyback]

...coach pre x record

 

[Loves2kickass]

Two questions:
If your spread rating is 1.1, why is your selection Houston at -2 and not Chicago +2?
When you say Houston is a play at -1.5 or higher, don't you mean -1.5 or lower?

Best of luck, and just looking to understand what you're doing early on here.
Thanks

No, what i posted is correct. I favor the betting line as compared to my spread rating. The opposite of how you interpreted it.

Spread Rating Houston -1.1
Betting line Houston -2

For tonight's game I favor the betting line at any number above -1.1 (-1.5 or higher) for Houston. If line would have been Chicago -1 per say, the play would have been Chicago, again favoring the betting line as compared to my spread rating.

The higher the line advantage the stronger the bet. As it stated I'm using regular season (week one) numbers for the pre-season so proceed with caution.

Hopefully that all makes sense.

 

[Loves2kickass]

During the regular season/post season I adjust my spread ratings after all games are completed each week, usually on Tuesday. I can't adjust for pre season because of the amount of players on both rosters that will be on the field and the unknown of who will be on the field.

 

[bristolnole]

for sure....Pre-Season is just that. I get it.....

But you said if Chicago was -1, the play would have been on Chicago? Is this assuming the "spread rating" was still Houston -1.1?
I'm having trouble with the reasoning here....Seems your play would be a stronger play on Houston....

Sorry dude, just trying to grasp it.....No biggie
Thanks.

 

[Loves2kickass]

for sure....Pre-Season is just that. I get it.....

But you said if Chicago was -1, the play would have been on Chicago? Is this assuming the "spread rating" was still Houston -1.1?
I'm having trouble with the reasoning here....Seems your play would be a stronger play on Houston....

Sorry dude, just trying to grasp it.....No biggie
Thanks.

No problem at all. I lean to the BETTING LINE as compared to my spread rating so it's opposite of what you're thinking. If I have Houston at -1.1 and Chicago is the BETTING LINE favorite at -1, I play the Bears, the side of the book and vise versa.

Maybe I'll leave my spread ratings out of my posts and just post my leans and bets. That would diminish any confusion.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Thu, Aug 1, 24

HOF

Houston Texans v Chicago Bears
Spread Rating - Houston -1.1

HOUSTON TEXANS -2, -10 (Line Adv. +0.9)
Circa Sports

Houston a play at -1.5 or higher

Game cancelled/No result

 

[bristolnole]

No problem at all. I lean to the BETTING LINE as compared to my spread rating so it's opposite of what you're thinking. If I have Houston at -1.1 and Chicago is the BETTING LINE favorite at -1, I play the Bears, the side of the book and vise versa.

Maybe I'll leave my spread ratings out of my posts and just post my leans and bets. That would diminish any confusion.

I really appreciate you explaining it - As long as YOU get it, and it's profitable, I'm on board!

AND.....I support your last paragraph completely! lol

Best of luck going forward

 

[Loves2kickass]

Fri, Aug 9, 24

Houston Texans -2.5, -10
Atlanta Falcons -2.5, -10
Philadelphia Eagles -2, -10