Name is Joe Hype, New to Forum

Joe Hype · Oct 1, 2008

I go by Joe Hype. Heard this forum was great. I am looking forward to becoming a family member of the RX. I may be posting my plays(nfl, maybe college football) as early as this weekend. Let's win some cash. Feel free to stop by my thread and say hello.

p.s. any cowboys fans out there? die hard cowboys fan here

Joe Hype · Oct 1, 2008

Leans for NFL Week 5:

Chargers -7.5
NYG -7
TB +3
Jax -4

Let's get a discussion going

kidslick · Oct 1, 2008

Joe

what sportsbook do you use

I see 6.5 -105 (betjamaica) in the charger game

Giants -9 I also see 8

welcome to the forum:drink:

Joe Hype · Oct 1, 2008

thanks kidslick for the welcome. appreciate it. glad to be here. i use sportsbook. not the greatest book but ive used it for a while now, used to it

Joe Hype · Oct 1, 2008

thought this could be useful

http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/05/turnovers-and-2008-expected-wins.html

thecruncher · Oct 1, 2008

Welcome, Joe. Just a heads up -- most people don't really care about someone new making picks that don't have any sort of write ups to go with them. People are interested when you have something to say about your handicapping process or the reasons you like a pick. It's fine to get a record started with picks, but it takes accumulating a pretty exceptional winning records to garner much interest in your selections, and even then you may be considered just lucky if it's still just picks and no rationale.

That is a cool site, though, thanks for sharing.

Loren78 · Oct 1, 2008

TB +3
Jax -4

Like them both....Welcome..

Joe Hype · Oct 1, 2008

sounds good cruncher, ill take that into definate consideration. thanks a lot

WormyPix · Oct 1, 2008

Hype, these look like fantastic plays. The only one I'm not sure on is SD. They travel to the east coast, and MIA is excited coming off a bye. The way they gameplanned for NE makes me think they'll be ready with more tricks.

DEN showed they can't rely on their "D" when their "O" falters. So with a great "D" in TB in town, it should only be worse. Plus this is now Griese's return to DEN, as he got "revenge" on his old team CHI.

Always smart to go against SEA on the road, esp on the east coast. But with Plaxico most likely suspended for the gm, it's a no play for me.

JAX is a smart one as PIT's oline problems will once again be highlighted vs a good pass rush. And with PIT down to some serious reserve RB's, things look grim on the road for PIT.

BOL, and welcome.

:toast:

Wave-O · Oct 1, 2008

Welcome Joe.:toast: Good luck this weekend.

Joe Hype · Oct 1, 2008

Joe Hype said:
Leans for NFL Week 5:

Chargers -7.5
NYG -7
TB +3
Jax -4

Let's get a discussion going

I will explain my reasonings for my leans

Chargers -7.5
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN DIEGO is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr></tbody></table>
NYG -7
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupCells">SEATTLE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SEATTLE is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) off a division game since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SEATTLE is 17-42 ATS (-29.2 Units) in October games since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SEATTLE is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SEATTLE is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">NY GIANTS are 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">NY GIANTS are 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">NY GIANTS are 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr></tbody></table>I KNOW THE "SINCE 1992" ISNT TOO RELEVANT, THE BOTTOM 3 ARE THE ONES I LIKE

Bucs +3
Bucs are putting up points and im starting to believe in them. The Broncos defensive woes continued last week at kansas city. Bucs are already a solid team, who can play some defense. I figure if broncos cant play d, and the bucs can score, and can somewhat slow down cutler, bucs should cover this

Jags -4
I love this play. Steelers are banged up, with willie parker out and mendenhall gone for the year, mewelde moore is the starter this week against a strong jags D. Jags will be at home on a nationally televised game. The crowd should be wild. Steelers passing game isnt too hot as of late, and Big Ben doesnt look good. Without the passing game, OR a running game, and on the road on short rest(off monday night football). i see jags covering this.

DennizdaMenace · Oct 1, 2008

I disagree with an earlier post..I dont give a fuck about write ups..just tracked results over a period of time...I have just sproated a couple gray pubic hairs..and I have seen too many pretty write ups take a dump!

Welcome to the RX Joe:toast:

Joe Hype · Oct 1, 2008

sorry about the gray pubic hairs denniz da menace. hopefully i can be successful on sunday to replace those grays with some normal pubes

DennizdaMenace · Oct 1, 2008

thecruncher said:
Welcome, Joe. Just a heads up -- most people don't really care about someone new making picks that don't have any sort of write ups to go with them. People are interested when you have something to say about your handicapping process or the reasons you like a pick. It's fine to get a record started with picks, but it takes accumulating a pretty exceptional winning records to garner much interest in your selections, and even then you may be considered just lucky if it's still just picks and no rationale.

That is a cool site, though, thanks for sharing.

Although I dont care for write ups..This is a solid post!

thecruncher · Oct 2, 2008

Denniz -- Yeah, for better or worse (write-ups, because many indeed can be crap), I'm just mentioning what I perceive. I just think it's harder to garner much interest in yourself without the write ups. You've got to outperform somebody who might be a little bit worse than you record wise (assuming you have a winning record) to get equal attention. Not to pass judgment on anyone, and this in no way says anything about his handicapping ability, but I'll use MistaFlava as an example. He has had his ups and downs like many, but when he started (if memory serves) he had a nice winning streak accompanied by very, very large write-ups. All I'm saying is that the write-ups helped his popularity quite a bit. Anyone feel free to correct me if you think I'm wrong.

Now people can see that you've got some interesting trends to go with your first two picks, and some personal assessments to go with the other two -- so people know where you're coming from, which is beneficial to EVERYONE.

officedepot · Oct 2, 2008

welcome and good luck man..

Joe Hype · Oct 2, 2008

wow, great first day on the forum. thanks for the positive feedback guys. lets get some cash. i will post my plays over the weekend. these are just my leans