only 50% with my approach in two weeks of the nfl action, which is not great compared to what i've done with this approach in two weeks of college. however, i'm not panicking because i know that i need more data to win this system and the data that i've gathered so far in the nfl is close to what i had in week 3 or 4 in the ncaa...so, more time needed and i expect the nfl to turn profit for me starting next week.
here is what i already said about this mnf game and i will add more systems and stats later today....i'll repeat, my approach needs more time and data to start winning big, so be carefull if you are following. even though this is my strongest play ytd (most confident), i do not recommend to bet more $ than usual yet.
minnesota @ new orleans
play: MINNESOTA +3.5 *B*
i have new orleans rated 14 places better and that fact alone puts them in a 2-10 ats group this week. they are also the biggest public play (by far) in that group and that too situate them on top of the group. they are 1-3 su and 1-3 teams as underdogs of 2-8 points are 40-20 ats in last 60. minnesota was in the same group of teams last week, but they failed, simply because they turned the ball over too many times and because they were outcoached by tennesse. i doubt that the linemakers will make such a big mistake on the same team two weeks in a row, especially with this beeing the nationally televized mnf game. new orleans at home vs teams w/less wins is 0-4 su in last 4, 1-6 su in last 7, 4-12 su in last 16, 0-4 ats in last 4, 1-8 ats in last 9, 3-18 ats in last 21 and 1-9 su and 0-10 ats if favored by less than 7 against those teams. i like this desperate minnesota team to win this game outright.
a lot more to come...
here is what i already said about this mnf game and i will add more systems and stats later today....i'll repeat, my approach needs more time and data to start winning big, so be carefull if you are following. even though this is my strongest play ytd (most confident), i do not recommend to bet more $ than usual yet.
minnesota @ new orleans
play: MINNESOTA +3.5 *B*
i have new orleans rated 14 places better and that fact alone puts them in a 2-10 ats group this week. they are also the biggest public play (by far) in that group and that too situate them on top of the group. they are 1-3 su and 1-3 teams as underdogs of 2-8 points are 40-20 ats in last 60. minnesota was in the same group of teams last week, but they failed, simply because they turned the ball over too many times and because they were outcoached by tennesse. i doubt that the linemakers will make such a big mistake on the same team two weeks in a row, especially with this beeing the nationally televized mnf game. new orleans at home vs teams w/less wins is 0-4 su in last 4, 1-6 su in last 7, 4-12 su in last 16, 0-4 ats in last 4, 1-8 ats in last 9, 3-18 ats in last 21 and 1-9 su and 0-10 ats if favored by less than 7 against those teams. i like this desperate minnesota team to win this game outright.
a lot more to come...
