My Strongest Play of The Playoffs So Far....

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spreadbeater

spreadbeater

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Houston -2 (buying half point)

Before I hear it from everyone about this line, I posted to play the Rockets at -2 in my playoff thread as soon as the line opened. I would still recomend playing the Rockets, buying them down to -3 from the current 3.5/4.
As posted in my playoff thread, I played Dallas to win the series when the Mavericks were down 1-0. Even though I have that play still pending, I absolutely love the Rockets to win tonight to force a game 7. As some of you guys may remember, there was a thread that someone started "Can The Mavericks Come back and Win?". This was when the Mavericks were down 2-0. I think that I was one of the only people that actually thought that they had a good chance to come back and win. I still do, however, they will not get it done tonight. One of the reasons why I thought the Mavericks would still be in the series is because these two teams are extremely evenly matched. It is very difficult for any NBA team to win 4 straight against an opponent, and much more difficult if the two teams are this evenly matched. I simply do not see Dallas pulling off 4 in a row overall and 3 in a row at Houston. Although Dallas won the first two in Houston, they had to come back in both games to get the win. Dallas had to have a 20-0 scoring run in game 3 to come back and win in Houston. In game 4, Dallas was down once again and went on a similar run in the middle of the fourth quarter to get back in the game and eventually win. I just do not see the same happening again.
Houston was in the last game until the end at Dallas and if it wasnt for some critical missed free throws, they could have pulled that one out. I fully ecpect the Rockets to be on a mission tonight, as their backs are against the wall. I fully expect a great performance from McGrady and solid contributions from both Yao and David Wesley. This one is going 7. Rockets will win tonight.
Once again, about the line. I played this as soon as it opened, buying it to -2 from 2.5. If I had to play it now, I would buy it down to -3 from 3.5/4. It would still be a very strong play. I just do not see Dallas winning 4 in a row and 3 in a row at Houston. I cannot see it. Plain and simple. Houston is the better team in my opinion and they will show it tonight. Good luck guys!

SB
 
NEWPORT

NEWPORT

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gl I like them in that first half as well -2 NEWPORT:103631605
 
spreadbeater

spreadbeater

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I was looking at that also Newport. May take a shot at it for a small amount. Good luck tonight.


SB
 
Piranha

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I agree totally that Houston will win tonight and there will be a game 7.......but I not sure if they will cover. For me the ML is the safer bet but ouch -190 I don't like. Reason why I feel this way is because Houston got screwed on a late call last game when a Dallas player came from out of bounds and knocked the ball out of the Houston players hand ending in a foul and free throws for Dallas.....at the time Houston was only down by 3 with possession. The outcome of the game would have been different had the referee not missed that call. Alot of time when a situation like that occurs there is some kind of redemption towards the next game. May or may not happen this time but more times than not it does. Talking from many years of experience.
 
spreadbeater

spreadbeater

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Piranha said:
I agree totally that Houston will win tonight and there will be a game 7.......but I not sure if they will cover. For me the ML is the safer bet but ouch -190 I don't like. Reason why I feel this way is because Houston got screwed on a late call last game when a Dallas player came from out of bounds and knocked the ball out of the Houston players hand ending in a foul and free throws for Dallas.....at the time Houston was only down by 3 with possession. The outcome of the game would have been different had the referee not missed that call. Alot of time when a situation like that occurs there is some kind of redemption towards the next game. May or may not happen this time but more times than not it does. Talking from many years of experience.


Interesting take. I see a close game with Houston stepping up late and winning by 5-9 points. At least hope they do!:103631605
 
spreadbeater

spreadbeater

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I hope that some of you guys won with me tonight. Congrats to the winners!


:party: :party: :party: :party:
 

OMNIVOROUS FROG

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Another fine call.

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:

However, it was a steam move, and ...
 
spreadbeater

spreadbeater

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OMNIVOROUS FROG said:
Another fine call.

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:

However, it was a steam move, and ...


Great to hear from you OF. Do not understand the last statement though about it being a steam move. However, great to hear from you and to know that a frog is still lurking around the forum. Hope to hear your insights and thoughts soon.

SB
 

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