My season picks/thread

[Addicted2quack]

First off, welcome back everyone, hope you all had a blessed offseason and I look forward to another exciting season of college football.

this will be my season long thread for picks. I've done ok my first two seasons of betting football, but last year was my only my first year at the RX. There are some fantastic cappers here and I respect many of you guys. I wasn't able To enter the contest because quite frankly I didn't have the money to do so. My goal is to do so next year and use this season as a trial run. BOL to all those who entered tho, should be fun to see who comes out on top. I'm just here to better myself and my knowledge of sports, so questions,comments and suggestions are always welcome. I don't wager much because I stay within my financial lane, but if it's over 100$ I will usually include the amount, otherwise everything else is 10-20$.

9/3

picks: via bovada

• first half: Tcu -10 (-105)

• first half: WKU - .5 (-115)

• first half: Arizona -18.5 (-110)

• Michigan v. Utah under 46 (-115)

 

[Addicted2quack]

Started off 1-3, oh well.

9/4 picks:

• WMU +17.5 (-110)

• WMU +10 first half (-110)

 

[thecruncher]

GL this season Quack, from 2 blocks north of Nike...

 

[Addicted2quack]

GL this season Quack, from 2 blocks north of Nike...

thats a great area crunch!!!

 

[boss415]

Good luck this year. $$$$$$

 

[Addicted2quack]

2-5 ATS

the he first week of college football is always fun and I play a lot, once this week is over I back off a lot of games. These are all for chump change, measly 10-20$

• Arkansas state +28 (-110)
• texas state +29.5 (-110)
• Stanford -11 (-115)
• Virginia +19.5 (-110)
• temple +7 (-110)
• temple vs PSU under 44 (-115)
• bowling green +21.5 (-110)
• Arizona state +3 (-110)
• ULL +17 (-105)
• Texas +10 (-110)

 

[Addicted2quack]

6-11 ATS so far.

im very glad I didn't waste my money this far with these bets and put anything large on them... Everything was small to get a feel for this year, and I'm fortunate I stuck to my financial lane.... After these final two games of week 1 I' will limit my selections heading into the rest of the season.

9/6 pick:

• Purdue +7 (-105)
• Purdue vs Marshall over 60 (-115) BOl everyone

9/7 pick:

A lot of the favorites haven't played very well thus far and I'm banking on a Qb dilemma, off field issues, a hostile environment on the road and first game jitters to keep va tech in this game early and put the Buckeyes between a rock and a hard place early. My instinct tells me to take the Buckeyes because they are the best team in the country and are extraordinarily deep everywhere across the board. But for some reason Va tech appears to be Ohio states kryptonite. I really want to play the defending champs here but they burned me last year in happy valley not covering -13, I feel this is a similar situation. The hook at +14.5 for a home dog is just to appealing to pass up. In all honesty I feel the Buckeyes have every advantage other than home field and should win by 20-23 points, but the dogs are barking loud early and I'm hoping va tech can take this down to the wire with defense and ball control. BOl guys
• Va tech +14.5 (-110)

 

[Addicted2quack]

7-12 ATS with the va tech pick pending. Felt like Purdue had that.... Oh well, that's how the game goes sometimes.

 

[Addicted2quack]

Here are some games I am looking at:

oklahoma man as a pick'em
ole miss -26.5
oregon state +14
georgia -19.5
Oregon +3.5 and rising

here are my picks for next weekend

• Cal -8; this team is the second best team in the pac 12 north and can challenge anyone offensively. I don't expect San Diego state to be able to hang with cal offensively. They may slow them down a little but I still see cal as a team on the rise and should hang 40 here winning 41-24

• USC -43; after watching USC utterly take apart Arkansas state who is a good sun belt team, I can't imagine them not doing the same to Idaho who is a lesser opponent. If Kessler keeps the pace and the defensive continues the pressure it should be the same result, but I'm not betting this large, for fear of sark letting off the gas pedal way to early.

• Utah -12; Utah state is a very good defensive team but is offensively inept. I can't imagine Utah at home failing to cover here. This game should be very physical and emotional for these in state rivals, but I expect Utah to handle that Utah state offense better than they did Michigan who has much better athletes than Utah state. I expect the Utes to win by 20-24. This team has something going under the radar of the national scene.

ill probably have another play or two as the week goes on, just watching lines

 

[thecruncher]

Cal is the temptation of the week. By last year's stats SDSU would challenge for the win -- but now I'm agreeing with you.

 

[Addicted2quack]

Cal is the temptation of the week. By last year's stats SDSU would challenge for the win -- but now I'm agreeing with you.

This is game is at cal which isn't a far trip for the Aztecs but it will be an interesting setting and the crowd should be packed as both schools fan bases should represent well. I didn't hear much about the Aztecs last year but they are number 42 on Phil steeles returning starters with about 6-7 on each side of the ball. Call has a great scheme and Goff is a very good passer. They are always loaded with WR's who go get the ball, and their running game has steadily improved over the last couple years with sunny dykes at the helm. Anything under 10 is a play for me. Bol on your action

 

[Addicted2quack]

7-13 ATS... Still betting measly wagers so I can't exactly be mad at myself... Until i get these teams and conferences figured out, there's no reason to bet larger money... Back at it soon. Bol on everyone's action as always

 

[Addicted2quack]

9/10 pick:

tonights game between western Kentucky and la tech should be interesting. It appears a lot of money has flooded the line from -2 WKU to +2.5 right now at bovada. I'm going to try and hold off for a little while longer to see if the game will get to +3, but regardless I'm taking WKU... The line swing is odd to me considering la tech just played southern university and WKU just beat vandy.... Regardless of what you believe, vandy is an sec school and far superior than southern in terms of talent and ability. With that being stated, WKU played well defensively and should be able to slow down la tech quite a bit. WKU also has a ton of returning starters and a very good senior QB. The offense started off slowly but should rebound tonight for their home opener. I can't see this game being a blowout by other team because la tech has a good offense as well, but I see a lot of value on WKU tonight now that they are dogs. I also like the over at 63 for the possible offense involved. One last thing to consider in this game is that la tech is coming off a short week and playing on 4 days rest, this being the fifth day. On top of that they had to travel one of those days and have Kansas state coming up next week.... Not exactly a look ahead scenario, but certainly a short week scenario on the road against a senior Qb and an offense looking to get back on track and score a ton.

For or now I'll play the over

pick over 63 (-105)

 

[Addicted2quack]

Wku +2.5 (-110)

 

[Addicted2quack]

Two winners to start of the week right, very nice indeed.

9-13 ATS now.

selections already in for Saturday are:

cal -8
utah -12
usc -43

eilk be looking at games the rest of the week. Bol everyone

 

[Swalker]

Nice that we won the double together tonight...good luck this weekend!

 

[Addicted2quack]

Nice that we won the double together tonight...good luck this weekend!

Thanks man, Bol to you as well on all your action

 

[Addicted2quack]

9/11 picks:

so let's talk about FAU and Miami for a second. FAU is coming off an overtime loss to Tulsa where they put up 40+ points and over 500 yards of offense. They are led by a very mobile QB with experience In that offense, so I expect the owls to be able to put points on the board. Miami is coming off an easy blowout of Bethune cookman where they scored at will and held Bethune cookman to under a 100 yards of total offense...big whoop in my opinion. Now, on the other hand FAU gave up over 600 yards on defense and 47 points....yikes! Right now bovada has the total set at 56 (-110) and Miami -18. If you ask me Miami isn't going to keep the Owls from scoring ; in fact I predict FAU to put up about 20-24 points, and I don't see the Owls being able to stop Miami either who I believe should get to 40 and may even reach 50... Just off the top of my head I can't fathom this game staying under 62 for any reason. Giving FAU +18 points is to much to make a play on Miami even tho they are the better team, but it also doesn't warrant a play from me either for the Owls because I have no idea how many points their defense will give up. The play here is the over for sure as I think Vegas set the total way to low. Vegas is undoubtedly much smarter than myself and most everyone else but I'll take my chances with Miami scoring a lot, FAU giving up a lot and chipping in with 20 of their own. For shits and giggles I'll say 52-24 Miami.

pick over 56 (-110); all of my plays so far have been 10$, this will be my first sizeable play of the season at 50$
bol everyone

 

[thecruncher]

Nice night, Quacker!

 

[Addicted2quack]

Nice night, Quacker!

Thanks crunch... What do your numbers show about the FAU and Miami game?