My final pick>>

[PatPatriot]

Pats by 10 or better.This is why.

Oakland W
Pitt. W
St Louis MVP QB W
Tennessee MVP QB W
Indy MVP QB W
Carolina W
Indy MVP QB W

All of these teams have never rushed for over 100 yds in a playoff game against the Pats last 3 years.
They stop the passing teams they stop the running teams.

Heres another angle teams that have played the Jets at home have gone 0-6-1 ATS losing to the spread by 7+ points on average the next week. And 1-6 SU. Included in these blowout losses to the spread is the Pats and Pitt.Jets aren't smart but very tough.

Lots of people are hedging and middling by teasing Pitt. +9 with whatever.IMO Pats -3 its the only "safe" line the books could put out there.

Pats 17-6 or 20-6.

Key player to watch....Deion Branch

 

[BetMe]

Patriot

spoken like a true Homer.

 

[YankeesRule]

A Patriots fan picking the Patriots.NOT!

 

[PatPatriot]

Homer or not you can't dispute the facts.

 

[Pats01]

good call

Nice analysis and good call. I think Vegas has a little too much respect for Pitts and the line should have moved, but they've had a great year. Think of it...3 losses between 2 teams! Should be a dogfight, but I see Pats by 4 or more, maybe 27 to 21.

 

[Fidel]

Fair and Balanced

I can see you are a very objective poster. Why even post that? What else are you going to think?

Wait, wait don't tell me we're winning the war in Iraq also, aren't we? Such Objectivity!

 

[PatPatriot]

Fidel my comrade, my original pick earlier in the week was Pitt +3.Very hard to take road favs at anytime.

But after going over the schedule and some other things.

The Pats are 18-1 against quality opponents.
The Pats played everyonelses A game every week not the Clevland Browns twice.
Pit caught Pats off abye.

Can Pitt win? Absolutley.Will it be a surprise? No.
Whos the pressure team? Pats
Who has the pressure on them? Pitt

Pitt will have to score more than 17 to win...I don't think they can.

If the Pats get up bye 13 by half it could end up 35-0.